Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Figured we might as well get the June severe thread going since SPC's Day 2 for tomorrow now has far SW IL and W KY (including Paducah while knocking on St. Louis' door) under a Slight: http://www.spc.noaa....k/day2otlk.html ...MID MS VALLEY TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IN THE FORM OF AN MCS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY IN THE DAY FROM THE MID MS VALLEY TO THE TN VALLEY. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO PERSIST AND POSSIBLY STRENGTHEN AS DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS EAST ACROSS PARTS OF AL/GA AND SC. MODEST WNWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR RELATIVELY FAST-MOVING/ORGANIZED STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THESE AREAS DURING THE DAY WITH A CHANCE FOR DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THESE AREAS GIVEN THE POSSIBILITY FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION TO EVOLVE THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD...THUS LIMITING AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE YET-TO-FORM MCS MOVING INTO DAY 2. THE SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN EXTENDED A LITTLE FARTHER TO THE NW INTO SERN MO AND VICINITY...GIVEN MODEL INDICATION FOR ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY/SHEAR SUPPORTING GREATER SEVERE WEATHER COVERAGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted June 3, 2012 Author Share Posted June 3, 2012 Also a tiny sliver of SW KY (roughly from Wickliffe to Murray southwestward) in a 15% slight for wind and hail under the most recent Day 1 SPC outlook: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 5, 2012 Share Posted June 5, 2012 0845 PM TSTM WND DMG DIEHLSTADT 36.96N 89.43W 06/04/2012 SCOTT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT *** 3 FATAL *** UPDATED AND CORRECTED...TIME ADJUSTED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR DATA. MISSOURI STATE POLICE CONFIRMED 3 FATALITIES WITH NO INFORMATION CONCERNING INJURIES. STATE POLICE RECEIVED FIRST CALL AT 2109 PM LOCAL. LARGE HAIL WAS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. NWS WILL PERFORM STORM DAMAGE SURVEY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 5, 2012 Share Posted June 5, 2012 Dunno if we want to use the same thread but the SPC has a day 7 outlook highlighting most of Wisconsin and the UP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 5, 2012 Share Posted June 5, 2012 Dunno if we want to use the same thread but the SPC has a day 7 outlook highlighting most of Wisconsin and the UP I say start fresh. There doesn't appear to be anything going on until that system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 5, 2012 Share Posted June 5, 2012 0845 PM TSTM WND DMG DIEHLSTADT 36.96N 89.43W 06/04/2012 SCOTT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT *** 3 FATAL *** UPDATED AND CORRECTED...TIME ADJUSTED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR DATA. MISSOURI STATE POLICE CONFIRMED 3 FATALITIES WITH NO INFORMATION CONCERNING INJURIES. STATE POLICE RECEIVED FIRST CALL AT 2109 PM LOCAL. LARGE HAIL WAS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. NWS WILL PERFORM STORM DAMAGE SURVEY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. EF2 tornado confirmed...also accompanied by straight line winds up to 100 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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