WEATHER53 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Huge cutoff this weekend in New England?....going to be a battlezone here I think that will drift further south. I still think that the shorter and longer term projections will try to knock the trough out and replace it with a long lasting ridge and I do not think that will happen this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 we are starting to see the classic -NAO summer scenario that Wes has discussed before now that we are getting near July The trough sets up near New England and the ridge sets up over the MS/MO valley and we are caught in between...If we continue to have blocking, we will probably see this orientation a lot....usually the heat wins out, but in late June, I think it is more iffy and since we are caught in between, small differences in the axis and other misc factors can make our sensible weather quite variable and unpredictable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Already warmer than at any point yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 If we can stick in the 60s today and hit 98 on Thursday, we'd get a record low max and record max within 4 days of each other. Little chance, but still interesting to think about. While that won't happen, yesterday's DCA high of 71 was the lowest maximum for June 18th in 65 years. Also, it was lowest maximum for any June day since 68 on June 17, 2009.* * I just noticed that we also reached only 71 on June 5th this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 While that won't happen, yesterday's DCA high of 71 was the lowest maximum for June 18th in 65 years. Also, it was lowest maximum for any June day since 68 on June 17, 2009.* * I just noticed that we also reached only 71 on June 5th this year. It's a sign for the upcoming winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 06z NAM bufkit has a high of 99 tomorrow and 100 on Thursday at BWI. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Humid this morning when I walked out the door at 7:45. Maybe I just wasn't paying attention, but it appears that temps for this coming weekend have been bumped up a bit. Looks like we're still in the low 90s on Friday, around 90 on Saturday and high 80s on Sunday. Looks like my run of low BGE bills is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I'm rooting for a 100 at BWI on Thursday. One more step towards the hottest year ever. I've completely turned to the dark side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 our weather is so lame it hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 our weather is so lame it hurts You will enjoy the sun and like it... or what is it you called it a while back? Giant yellow ball in the sky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 wooo URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 157 PM EDT TUE JUN 19 2012 DCZ001-MDZ004>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ036>040-042-050>057- 501-502-200200- /O.NEW.KLWX.HT.Y.0002.120620T1600Z-120621T0000Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE- HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES- ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE- MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER... GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF... ST MARYS CITY...CHARLOTTESVILLE...LEESBURG...CULPEPER... MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH... FREDERICKSBURG...WARRENTON 157 PM EDT TUE JUN 19 2012 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. * HEAT INDEX VALUES...BETWEEN 100 AND 105. * TEMPERATURES...MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S. * IMPACT...THOSE OUTDOORS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME AS WELL AS THOSE PARTICULARLY SENSITIVE TO THE HEAT WILL BE AT RISK FOR HEAT EXHAUSTION AND OTHER HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED. THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT ILLNESSES ARE POSSIBLE. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-CONDITIONED ROOM...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK IN ON RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS. TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU WORK OR SPEND TIME OUTSIDE. WHEN POSSIBLE...RESCHEDULE STRENUOUS ACTIVITIES TO EARLY MORNING OR EVENING. KNOW THE SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS OF HEAT EXHAUSTION AND HEAT STROKE. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LOOSE FITTING CLOTHING WHEN POSSIBLE AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER. TO REDUCE RISK DURING OUTDOOR WORK...THE OCCUPATIONAL SAFETY AND HEALTH ADMINISTRATION RECOMMENDS SCHEDULING FREQUENT REST BREAKS IN SHADED OR AIR CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENTS. ANYONE OVERCOME BY HEAT SHOULD BE MOVED TO A COOL AND SHADED LOCATION. HEAT STROKE IS AN EMERGENCY - CALL 9 1 1. && $$ KONARIK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 our weather is so lame it hurts My brother sent me a photo of a long string of power lines down about 1000 ft from his house. I vaguely remembered experiencing a good thunderstorm, but it was fleeting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 My brother sent me a photo of a long string of power lines down about 1000 ft from his house. I vaguely remembered experiencing a good thunderstorm, but it was fleeting. both the euro and gfs are focusing in on next monday now though it looks like it would hit places southeast more. and it's kind of a weird setup the way the trough drops in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 they're also both bombing out a low as it goes thru new england on tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 they're also both bombing out a low as it goes thru new england on tuesday Totally looks legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Totally looks legit. pretty nuts for late june. looks like it barely gets us into the 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 89 at IAD. 93 down in RIC and CHO. And a S wind 87 at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I would flip a coin right now rather than try to predict the final week of June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Got over 90 today for the first time since end of May. HI currently 97. Outer Banks beach weather was rather cool last week with steady NE wind off the ocean...last three days got sand blasted if you went on the beach with 30 to 40 mph sustained wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I would flip a coin right now rather than try to predict the final week of June only talk about it if there is a ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 only talk about it if there is a ridge. I'd rather see some anomalous cutoff than 88/70 the entire week....summer is boring...I'll talk about it either way though...I gave plenty of attention to the cold snap...as far as my outlook, what's done is done...I've been wishcasting slightly, but I do think the final week is up in the air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I'd rather see some anomalous cutoff than 88/70 the entire week....summer is boring...I'll talk about it either way though...I gave plenty of attention to the cold snap...as far as my outlook, what's done is done...I've been wishcasting slightly, but I do think the final week is up in the air... Yeah maybe tho it sure looks like we trough for a bit. Fits the pattern of late. I love summer but I wouldnt mind some more cool if it's going to be boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Yeah maybe tho it sure looks like we trough for a bit. Fits the pattern of late. I love summer but I wouldnt mind some more cool if it's going to be boring. the next 3 days are going to suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 the next 3 days are going to suck probably.. today already kinda sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 HA for next 34 hrs starting a noon Wed till 10pm Thurs for DC metro and surrounding suburb counties... LWX considered EHW for thursday but held off due to DP questions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 7am Inner Harbor: 80/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 76/71 already at DCA. Only going up from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 ...ERN COLD FRONT... BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IN ASSOCIATION WITH SERN CANADIAN-OH VALLEY UPPER TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THE ERN U.S. DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD WITH UPWARDS OF 25-30KT OF MID LEVEL FLOW EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE WARM SECTOR PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT STRONG IT APPEARS SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING/DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR SUCH THAT THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD EASILY DEVELOP ALONG THE WIND SHIFT BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS IT PROGRESSES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. ROBUST UPDRAFTS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE WIND SHIFT AND A FEW STORMS COULD CERTAINLY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. AT THIS TIME WILL ONLY INTRODUCE 5% SEVERE PROBS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS THREAT BUT HIGHER PROBS MAY BE NEEDED IN LATER OUTLOOKS IF IT BECOMES MORE CLEAR THAT CONVECTION WILL BE MORE ORGANIZED/INTENSE THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED. Storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I'd meh that but its too hot already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 89/70. Haven't read cap weather today. What did they give it? 9/10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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