EastCoast NPZ Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Looking at that death ridge in the midwest, it's hard to think all that heat is not going to dominate the pattern this summer. It seems even worse than the Texas heat bubble last summer that gave us our hottest July (?) on record. As much as I hate it, it would seem the smart money is on a torch for at least July, if not the whole summer. I sure hope I'm wrong (Noreastercane also). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Wut this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I could smell a fairly strong scent of smoke this morning. Are there any forest/brush fires off to the West? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I could smell a fairly strong scent of smoke this morning. Are there any forest/brush fires off to the West? Yes, near Skyline Drive http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/whats-that-smell-west-of-washington-dc-forest-fire-burning-on-skyline-drive/2012/06/28/gJQALya98V_blog.html#pagebreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Yes, near Skyline Drive http://www.washingto....html#pagebreak Thanks. I was surprised how strong the smell was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Well first of all, a +1 departure is not near-normal, that's above average. At least one record high was tied this month already. Taken out of context, I'd agree its not an all-out torch; however, coming after 16 straight months of above average temperatures, the 7th hottest winter and the hottest spring on record, yes, in my opinion, it qualifies as part of a larger torch pattern that's (mostly) been in play for the last 2.5 years. The repeated calls for the "pattern change" this year by everyone has not panned out, and I kept saying all year that they wouldn't, not at least until the spring and summer was over. Anyways that's my whole spiel, it seems to irritate everyone on here and tbh even I'm tired of writing about it, so I'll just shutup. That is all. I've been saying pretty much the same in different forums and they do't want to hear it. I still think that late summer onwards will have more normal temps and perhaps some months actually below! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Thanks. I was surprised how strong the smell was. NP. I had seen some tweets to CWG earlier this morning asking about a fire near DC as a few people in the Bethesda area smelled it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hank Scorpio Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Thanks. I was surprised how strong the smell was. Pretty sure I could smell it too and initially thought it was my car, since I only smelled it once I stepped out of my car after arriving at work. That's a pretty good distance that the smell traveled...neat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Shows you how much I've been outside today. I will step out to see if there's any smoke odor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Looking at that death ridge in the midwest, it's hard to think all that heat is not going to dominate the pattern this summer. It seems even worse than the Texas heat bubble last summer that gave us our hottest July (?) on record. As much as I hate it, it would seem the smart money is on a torch for at least July, if not the whole summer. I sure hope I'm wrong (Noreastercane also). The heat can stay centered over the western plains and intermountain west though and not always move east. There are some decent nino analogs that loosely support this with near normal temps on both coasts with some really hot stuff in the middle. GFS is trying to do just that after the holiday next week. I'm leaning towards short periods of anomalous heat with overall normal temps being dominant in July but what the heck to do I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 The temperature climb is taking a pause at 96.8. CRW - 96 HTS - 99 I guess this is about as close as we will get to experiencing desert like conditions. The humidity is pretty low and the hot breeze doesn't help any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 The heat can stay centered over the western plains and intermountain west though and not always move east. There are some decent nino analogs that loosely support this with near normal temps on both coasts with some really hot stuff in the middle. GFS is trying to do just that after the holiday next week. I'm leaning towards short periods of anomalous heat with overall normal temps being dominant in July but what the heck to do I know. Hopefully, a lot more than me. Hard not to think back to last summer when that Texas bubble occasionally spread NE for brief periods in May and June (right in time for holiday weekend heatwaves on Memorial Day and July 4), and then completely enveloped us for most of July. Yea, the ENSO state has changed since then, but has our luck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 My station hit 100.4 just before 5PM...HI is 107. A 45.7 degree spread in temperature today. HTS - 100 CRW - 99 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Weather at the pool was nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I smelled smoke earlier this eve after stepping outside. Can't now tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 My station hit 100.4 just before 5PM...HI is 107. A 45.7 degree spread in temperature today. HTS - 100 CRW - 99 Whats your elevation over yonder on ye other greener browner side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 First plus 90 of the year at my WV place. 90.7 there will be many more to follow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I could smell a fairly strong scent of smoke this morning. Are there any forest/brush fires off to the West? Am I the only one who knew about this yesterday? I posted a pic of it from Pinnacles in the SNP. Neighbors Mtn has a forest fire on it. and there is another one on Massanutten Mtn too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Whats your elevation over yonder on ye other greener browner side... I'm at 700 feet in the floor of a wide valley. Surrounding hills on both sides are around 1000'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 95 / 73 at Winchester Regional at 1 PM. Wxbug in Stephens City (R. E. Aylor middle school) says 98 / 74. As always, that station is several degrees hotter during the daytime; the thermometer must be installed on the roof. In any event, it's stifiling outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I smelled smoke earlier this eve after stepping outside. Can't now tho. one of them is still burning http://www.nps.gov/webcams-shen/pinnacles.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I'm hoping some convection fires and makes this evening interesting. I like cells that pop with setups like this. Lotsa heat and not alot of steering flow. Usually impressive cg stuff if you can get lucky with a cell. It's good viewing on the backside of cells like this too. Usually pretty vertical so the sky clears quick enough to watch the tower light up for a while as it drifts away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 Moisture really came back with a vengeance today with DPs getting into the 70s. Yesterdays heat was tolerable, not so today. 97/77 on my PWS...Davis console is telling me there is a "Dangerously High Heat Index" lol HTS currently has a 107 HI NWS forecast for tomorrow is for 103...unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 102 at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 96 at 2:30pm IMBY in Columbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 18 total 6 9 1874 102 6 9 2011 102 6 29 1874 101 6 11 1911 101 6 29 1934 101 6 26 1952 101 6 22 1988 101 6 15 1994 101 6 5 1925 100 6 9 1933 100 6 26 1954 100 6 29 1959 100 6 30 1959 100 6 10 1964 100 6 28 1969 100 6 25 1997 100 6 24 2010 100 6 29 2012 104 Updating this table, we not only set a new June record-high temperature, but also set a new record for the most 100+ readings on a particular June day -- now four on June 29th, breaking the tie with June 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 I think the point here is that you said that your spring/summer torch forecast was right. First of all, +1 is in fact not a torch. It's above normal but nothing super out of the ordinary. Second, the summer is not over...a little early to be breaking out the champagne and celebrating eh? You didn't say in your congratulations post that you meant the pattern over the last 2.5 years was torchy - you simply congratulated yourself on a well done torch forecast for just the spring/summer period...which is not over. People are just irritated that you seem to be all excited over a forecast that has not yet verified. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 lol Notice how I said it was a little early to be celebrating your victory. I was correct...you can't celebrate a good forecast before it happens. I don't really see the humor - my post to you was justified then. Now you can perhaps celebrate but your posts back in June was not well defended. Just saying... It's a little sad when you feel the need to bump a post from June just to add "lol" Congrats. Cool story I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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