MN Transplant Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Will be interesting to see how much of the - departure we wipe away with this stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 Will be interesting to see how much of the - departure we wipe away with this stretch. I just updated so we have a baseline before the heat wave...-25.5 cumulative through yesterday....probably only a +2 or so today....we could put up a +11 on Thursday if everything goes right...someone asked me earlier if we ever had a cold summer after hitting 100 in June and all I could find was 1925 where 2 cold months followed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I just updated so we have a baseline before the heat wave...-25.5 cumulative through yesterday....probably only a +2 or so today....we could put up a +11 on Thursday if everything goes right...someone asked me earlier if we ever had a cold summer after hitting 100 in June and all I could find was 1925 where 2 cold months followed.. I believe that 1925 is indeed the champ for lowest average DC temperature June-August after hitting at least 100 in June (100 on June 5th). The 1925 average was 74.9, placing that meteorological summer 87th on the all-time list. 1874 had been the champ up to that point, with an average of 75.1 (85th), after hitting 102 on June 9th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 I believe that 1925 is indeed the champ for lowest average DC temperature June-August after hitting at least 100 in June (100 on June 5th). The 1925 average was 74.9, placing that meteorological summer 87th on the all-time list. 1874 had been the champ up to that point, with an average of 75.1 (85th), after hitting 102 on June 9th. decent Nino..around average temps..maybe slightly below...average to slightly above snow....I'd take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 19, 2012 Author Share Posted June 19, 2012 88 today, but we might sneak in an early evening max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 I believe that 1925 is indeed the champ for lowest average DC temperature June-August after hitting at least 100 in June (100 on June 5th). The 1925 average was 74.9, placing that meteorological summer 87th on the all-time list. 1874 had been the champ up to that point, with an average of 75.1 (85th), after hitting 102 on June 9th. Based on -- http://www.erh.noaa....ca/dcatemps.txt -- revisions to the 1925 and 1874 summer averages in DC: 1925 averaged 75.7, making it the 81st warmest summer in DC history; while 1874 averaged 76.4, making it the 58th warmest summer. Also, 1911, which recorded a temperature of 101 on June 11th, averaged 76.1 for the summer, making it cooler than 1874, at the 67th warmest summer. So, 1925 is still the coolest summer with a 100 degree day in June, but 1911 is the second coolest and 1874 is the third coolest, based upon the above table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 +6, +10, +7 would pretty much wipe out the departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 +6, +10, +7 would pretty much wipe out the departure. yeah....and we probably are a +8 or possibly more today...+6 on the min already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 19 85 68 20 86 68 21 86 68 +2 +9 +12.5 We'll have a + departure after today. Will be interesting to see what happens next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 22, 2012 Author Share Posted June 22, 2012 +2 +9 +12.5 We'll have a + departure after today. Will be interesting to see what happens next week. yeah for sure...I'm going to update the grid now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 22, 2012 Author Share Posted June 22, 2012 +2 +9 +12.5 We'll have a + departure after today. Will be interesting to see what happens next week. pretty much dead even through yesterday...-0.14.....I think a couple -7's are possible next week but hard to tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 pretty much dead even through yesterday...-0.14.....I think a couple -7's are possible next week but hard to tell Both the GFS and Euro want to throw some heat back at us after the mid-week reprieve. (the Euro builds some really nasty heat in the plains, 105+) Solid +10 on the high today. Low still TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 We'll see if the heat verifies and if it does how long it sticks around. Now that it's almost July is going to be getting pretty tough to push canadian air this far south but you gotta wonder. NAO going back to -2.0 opens the door at least. 12z gfs is advertising a serious trough during the first week of July too. If (and it's a big IF) we do get a trough like that in July then I think we can say that a new type of persistence is upon us and I don't think there will be a single complainer in the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 23, 2012 Author Share Posted June 23, 2012 I think there is a slight chance the month could finish with a zero departure. Would be pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 23, 2012 Author Share Posted June 23, 2012 We'll see if the heat verifies and if it does how long it sticks around. Now that it's almost July is going to be getting pretty tough to push canadian air this far south but you gotta wonder. NAO going back to -2.0 opens the door at least. 12z gfs is advertising a serious trough during the first week of July too. If (and it's a big IF) we do get a trough like that in July then I think we can say that a new type of persistence is upon us and I don't think there will be a single complainer in the MA. -NAO is becoming less and less of a cold helper and is biased toward more of a heat deliverer as it tends to put a + height anomaly in Dixie. We're still a battleground but usually the heat wins in July and August when we have blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 +4.5 today. We are going to put up a couple of sneaky departures here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Looks hot again to close so a + seems possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Another +4.5 at least. I wonder if this 2 day cold snap will really deliver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Looks hot again to close so a + seems possible Pretty much have it clinched now. 98, 99, 97, 91, 93 was a sneaky hot heat wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 +3 today unless we go below 74 before midnight. You can't stop the 2010s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 26, 2012 Author Share Posted June 26, 2012 updated through yesterday.....today is a -7 on the low..could end up about the same on the max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 27, 2012 Author Share Posted June 27, 2012 low of 66....most bootleg cool down ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 I think it will be interesting to track and discuss the summer, especially with the cool start. If June is below normal it will be up there with one of my worst busts ever. I think we are now on track to end up +....you likely nailed this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 I think we are now on track to end up +....you likely nailed this one. We're going to crack +1. It's not even going to be remotely close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 We're going to crack +1. It's not even going to be remotely close. When was their last negative departure in summer? July 2009? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted June 29, 2012 Share Posted June 29, 2012 When was their last negative departure in summer? July 2009? Yes. July 2009 averaged 76.9 degrees at DCA, which was 2.3 degrees below the 1971-2000 normal (and 3.0 degrees below the 1981-2010 normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 29, 2012 Author Share Posted June 29, 2012 When was their last negative departure in summer? July 2009? I say 40% chance we see a minus this July....our norm is ludicrously high now...80.0, or a +24 on the old cumulative departure....a few 94/75's on an otherwise normal 71-2000 month wont get us there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 DCA's low for the day just took a hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 DCA's low for the day just took a hit On both ends. Doesn't really matter. Just means like a +0.7 or so instead of a +1.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted July 1, 2012 Author Share Posted July 1, 2012 Final is +1.1 Sterling does all sorts of weird rounding so I am using their number.... not going to do a July departure thread, but may bump this one here and there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.