Buckeye05 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Parameter overlay each other slightly better for the upcoming Dakotas/Manitoba threat. Still, I'm doubtful of a significant event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 The big sup east of Colorado Springs was just an absolute beast. That thing was actually moving just west of due south for awhile. Talk about a storm dominating it's environment. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Parameter overlay each other slightly better for the upcoming Dakotas/Manitoba threat. Still, I'm doubtful of a significant event. Yeah, still debating if it's worth the drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Monster SE of Colorado Springs is warned again, literally heading right towards the radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Parameter overlay each other slightly better for the upcoming Dakotas/Manitoba threat. Still, I'm doubtful of a significant event. You gotta think boundary layer moisture is overdone on the NAM again. Expect Td's around 60F or less south of the border. Too lazy to modify the forecast soundings, but that would be detrimental to both CAPE and LCL heights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Long track beast is TOR warned again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 The Fort Collins storm actually had a reported tornado near Nunn. Also a wind report from that area too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 The big sup east of Colorado Springs was just an absolute beast. That thing was actually moving just west of due south for awhile. Talk about a storm dominating it's environment. Wow. Pretty interesting, given that last night at the same time the same thing was happening just 50 miles NW. That thing plagued the south metro Denver area till about 2 AM, rebuilding in the same area every time it tried to move, and actually moving west toward the foothills for an hour or three. More widespread hail and heavy rain than large hail in that one, and smaller tornadoes. Castle Rock had a report of 8 inches of hail requiring snowplows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Completely maxed out hail core north of Eaton, CO - insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Report of a home damaged from the Monster Colo. Springs cell near Ellicot and Big Springs Road Live feed http://www.kktv.com/video/live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 8, 2012 Author Share Posted June 8, 2012 Not surprised that the thing is still going, but what a storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 As a user of Wunderground for about 6 years, I've never seen the color white actually show up...ever. So I looked at GR, and it verified.The dark Grey from GR is 77 DBZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 8, 2012 Author Share Posted June 8, 2012 Circulation is going to be very close to the Pueblo radar site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 I was on this cell at the time of this radar grab, working with nothing but super-tiny radar on a regular cell phone (non smart phone). Made some poor navigational decisions, so I was approaching the cell directly from the north. Was faced with having to either core punch (while on a dirt road!) or turn back, so I had to turn back. Still got some great mammatus tho!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Damage to homes being reported south of Truckton. I don't doubt it judging by that hook echo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 8, 2012 Author Share Posted June 8, 2012 Also, regarding the weekend threat, this is the hodo from the 00z GFS near Winnipeg (and the warm front) at 00z Saturday evening...I'm definitely on a bit higher alert than usual for this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 The damage producing TOR warned cell is somehow managing to even clean up it's presentation...still trucking along at 10:38 mst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 With it being this close to the RADAR, I upped this next cap to 1.3 degrees elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 WOAH! just heard on Ward Co scanner feed that the air cannons being heard by residents (this is from fire chief) may be due to shooting cannons into the air to break apart the hail... Um, is this normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 8, 2012 Author Share Posted June 8, 2012 ..NRN PLAINS THE AFOREMENTIONED TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH RESPECT TO FRONTAL POSITION BREED LOWER-THAN-AVERAGE CONFIDENCE IN THE SPATIAL EXTENT OF THE SEVERE THREAT. THE NAM REMAINS FASTER AND EVENTUALLY DEPICTS A MORE NE-SW ORIENTATION OF THE BOUNDARY BY EARLY SUN...WHEREAS THE ECMWF IS SLOWER AND HAS A MORE N-S ORIENTATION. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT FRONTAL PROGRESSION INTO A STRONGLY DESTABILIZING BUT CAPPED AFTERNOON AIRMASS OVER THE DAKOTAS CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT PROBABLY OCCURRING BY EARLY EVENING. IN ADDITION TO FRONTAL LOCATION UNCERTAINTIES...GUIDANCE LARGELY APPEARS OVERDONE WITH MEAN MIXING RATIOS IN THE WARM SECTOR AS RICH MOISTURE IS CONFINED TO THE WRN GULF COAST AT PRESENT. ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL INCREASE...SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD LARGELY REMAIN IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S SAT AFTERNOON VERSUS UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. THIS SHOULD STILL YIELD MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG. ALTHOUGH STRONGER MID-LEVEL SWLYS WILL LAG THE SURFACE FRONT...THEY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE STRONG INSTABILITY. PRIMARY SEVERE RISKS SHOULD INITIALLY BE VERY LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. AS A SLY LLJ STRENGTHENS DURING THE EVENING...CONVECTION MAY GROW UPSCALE TOWARDS THE RED RIVER VALLEY WITH LARGELY HAIL/WIND THREATS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. A SEPARATE AREA OF CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP SAT EVENING/NIGHT IN A POST-FRONTAL REGIME CLOSER TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE MORE PRONOUNCED AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. ALTHOUGH ELEVATED BUOYANCY MAY REMAIN LIMITED...STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR WOULD PROMOTE A RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Wheatland tornado damage looks to be high end EF2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derek30 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Also, regarding the weekend threat, this is the hodo from the 00z GFS near Winnipeg (and the warm front) at 00z Saturday evening...I'm definitely on a bit higher alert than usual for this one... This is probably one of the best supercell/tornado set-ups we've seen up here since 2007. I think storms are going to initiate somewhere to the south of Brandon shortly after supper. Looks like the support will be there for supercells transitioning into an MCS of some sort after dark. Definitely on high alert for this one. Also worried about heavy rain with the storms moving quite slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 one of the daylight tornadoes of the yr. there have not necessarily been that many outside the outbreak days i suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 I always love watching DMC in SRSO. This is awesome. http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/templates/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=dev%2Flindsey%2Floops%2F6jun12_goes15_vis&image_width=1020&image_height=720 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Roger Hill with another nice shot yesterday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 late season is so uber Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Where exactly are those holographs from? I can't find any that look quite that impressive. That said, there are some decent parameters along the US/Canada border tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Roger Hill with another nice shot yesterday... #winning was this the Colorado Springs cell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Where exactly are those holographs from? I can't find any that look quite that impressive. That said, there are some decent parameters along the US/Canada border tomorrow. Winnipeg, ND, near the U.S./ Canada, where they coincide with the best SVR Wx Parameters... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Roger Hill with another nice shot yesterday... That blue tint higher up is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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