Long Duration Noreaster - First week of June

[weatherMA]

This thread is deppressing. Jeans and hoodies incoming next week.

[CoastalWx]

This thread is deppressing. Jeans and hoodies incoming next week.

Eh, we need the rain. Next weekend looks nice and seasonable too with cool nights and mild days.

[Damage In Tolland]

As bad as it will be in Ct I am so glad I am not farther 'NE for this. That wx some of you will have for 2 days is slit your wrist wx. 60's and clouds are bad enough. 40s and rain is death in any month but especially summertime. This time next week it will all be an ugly memory.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro did a good job on this storm overall...all the guidance has trended toward its solution from a couple days ago.

[Tropopause_Fold]

As bad as it will be in Ct I am so glad I am not farther 'NE for this. That wx some of you will have for 2 days is slit your wrist wx. 60's and clouds are bad enough. 40s and rain is death in any month but especially summertime. This time next week it will all be an ugly memory.

KTOL will stay in the 50s on monday

[Damage In Tolland]

KTOL will stay in the 50s on monday

Maybe but one day of 50s and mostly cloudy is better than 2-3 days of rain wind and 40s in June

[CoastalWx]

KTOL will stay in the 50s on monday

And possibly Tuesday too. He didn't want to bet a few days ago.

[CoastalWx]

Maybe but one day of 50s and mostly cloudy is better than 2-3 days of rain wind and 40s in June

54 is way better than 49. All the possible outdoor activities that you could do with that temp.

[Tropopause_Fold]

54 is way better than 49. All the possible outdoor activities that you could do with that temp.

[HoarfrostHubb]

54 is way better than 49. All the possible outdoor activities that you could do with that temp.

[Damage In Tolland]

And possibly Tuesday too. He didn't want to bet a few days ago.

If it's just mostly cloudy here both days will touch 60..Still ugly, but far better than what you'll endure lol

[CoastalWx]

If it's just mostly cloudy here both days will touch 60..Still ugly, but far better than what you'll endure lol

You'll have periods of showers. I doubt 60. Who cares though...it's during the work week.

[Modfan]

Does anyone have a precip map for may; pretty dry around here and I could use the rain. Thanks Kev, I found the Lime at the hardware store on Rt 74 near the post office

[Damage In Tolland]

Local TV forecast for HFD..If they were even 5 degrees too warm..I'd sign right now

Saturday:

Cloudy with rain and possible thunder in the morning, rain tapering off to showers during the afternoon. High: 72 inland, 74 shore.

Sunday

: Partly sunny with a few showers developing during the afternoon. Low: 56. High: 75 inland, 76 shore.

Monday

: Mostly cloudy and much cooler, showers likely. Low: 52. High: 67 inland, 69 shore.

Tuesday:

Partly to mostly cloudy and cool, a chance for an afternoon shower. Low: 50. High: 70 inland, 70 shore.

Wednesday:

Partly to mostly cloudy, a chance for a shower. Low: 49. High: 70 inland, 71 shore.

Thursday:

Partly to mostly cloudy, a chance for a shower. Low: 49. High: 72 inland, 72 shore.

Friday:

Partly to mostly cloudy, a chance for a shower or two. Low: 50. High: 72 inland, 71 shore.

[Damage In Tolland]

I'd guess there will be some thunder this week with the self destructive sunshine..steep lapse rates and some surface based instability..Maybe some pea sized hailers?

[Damage In Tolland]

For those not following..pretty wild stuff right now in mid atl..Tor warning for both DC proper and BWI

[CoastalWx]

Looks like FW for NE MA.

[Typhoon Tip]

This "Sou'easter" (that oughta get Kev' and Scoot' going at it again... hahaha) has prompted coastal flood statements/advisories. Flood watch for Ne Mass - gosh this reminds me 2006.

[CoastalWx]

This "Sou'easter" (that oughta get Kev' and Scoot' going at it again... hahaha) has prompted coastal flood statements/advisories. Flood watch for Ne Mass - gosh this reminds me 2006.

The NAM spits out 11" of rain for areas just west of PWM.

[Brian5671]

The NAM spits out 11" of rain for areas just west of PWM.

Holy crap. That is May 06 again..can you post the QPF map?

[CoastalWx]

Holy crap. That is May 06 again..can you post the QPF map?

[Typhoon Tip]

Yeah, I know Scott ...kinda spooked.

[CoastalWx]

I will say this does have the potential to drop a sh*t ton of rain in a localized area like the NAM has. It's almost like a mini convergence band stalling for hours.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah, I know Scott ...kinda spooked.

We'll have to watch for any SW tick in that QPF field. Then there is the sheet rains which will overspread us Monday and into Tuesday. Those can be like 0.1 or 0.15" per hour stuff too that lasts for a long time, if the setup is there.

[MaineJayhawk]

The NAM spits out 11" of rain for areas just west of PWM.

Like maybe, say, 25 miles worth of west?

Save us, Sultan!

[CoastalWx]

Like maybe, say, 25 miles worth of west?

Save us, Sultan!

He's putting on his cape now and headed north on 95.

Seriously though...someone is going to get a ton of rain.

[HoarfrostHubb]

If only that was snow...

[HoarfrostHubb]

For those not following..pretty wild stuff right now in mid atl..Tor warning for both DC proper and BWI

Aviationdave posted sweet funnel shots from BWI

[Ginx snewx]

Like maybe, say, 25 miles worth of west?

Save us, Sultan!

Remember the Karma stuff I told you about when you made that pic? Its a b**ch, rent a wet vac now.

[Typhoon Tip]

Huh, NCEP doesn't seem too thrilled about loading up rain from Monday -Wednesday like that. They are on fence that it might just go more at instability with cool pool aloft.

I suppose it's possible given to inherently weak overall baroclinicity at this time of year, that what actually transpires is more amorphous than the models have...

Either way, suspect Sat/Sun are slam dunks at this point. Trough comes up negatively tilted and on-going convection in the MA likely to foisted up this way along with a weak frontal wave passing over or just S. Given to negative tilt and transportation of -LI region (0 to -3) spanning the event might mean one of those deals where you get a orange lightning.