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Long Duration Noreaster - First week of June

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

BOX was really bullish for just one or two days ago.

The euro went nuts on the 00z run a couple of days ago. I think they were referencing that possibility, but it looked a little amped up. I bet parts of the Cape gust near 40 tomorrow though. The soundings actually have low level CAPE meaning should be able to transfer momentum down to the surface. Also..probably some ocean effect showers in addition to a band of rain moving in from the water, due to WAA aloft...above the cold layer near the surface.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

We're on the south side of the cyclonic axis and are cashing in on some brief NVA/subsidence. But as that axis slips back S the wind is going to flip around and punch saturated GOM air all the way to NYC. Boston may not make it out of the 40s tomorrow. T1 on the FRH grid is locked at 10C for 30 straight hours, from 6z tonight until dawn on Tuesday. 20-25 kts for 12 straight hours with persistent mist and light rain is just ugly ugly ugly and there is no rationalizing that.

Heat signal is growing in the extended though. ECM cluster appears more +NAO like D9 onwards, and both operational ECM and GFS have +2SD ridge evolving in the east.

Be patient ...

Yeah Monday through Wednesday I think are ugly...Wednesday especially further east. I'm wondering if MWN can be coated white?

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

Looks more and more like a couple showers and cool temps, good to see the models back off the "noreaster", a couple cloudy cool days,as Tippy pointed out.........the torch is coming...again.

74 mostly sunny, very very blessed this weekend, and looks like next week as well, incredible weather.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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Looks more and more like a couple showers and cool temps, good to see the models back off the "noreaster", a couple cloudy cool days,as Tippy pointed out.........the torch is coming...again.

74 mostly sunny, very very blessed this weekend, and looks like next week as well, incredible weather.

Nothing has really backed off in three days. You'll be spared the worst obviously, but that was progged.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

I don't think so. In fact, it's back to a more stormy scenario up this way again for tomorrow. The GFS has been trending slowly that way too.

The Euro was ridiculously wrapped up on Saturday I believe, KFS for the win as west of the river should be just fine. Western horizon is dark, looking forward to some ice.

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CapturedNature

CapturedNature

Posted
Posted

You can't really get the daily records updated outside of the first order sites on BOX...even then they only have it in the daily weather summary. I have tried to keep ORH's daily records as they change since 2002.

I used to do that in the 80s and early 90s with record temps because the list I had for BDL & CEF was from the early 80s and they didn't issue reports as readily as you can obtain today. I stopped updating the list when I got out of the business in the early 90s.

Interestingly, I was poking around to see if I could write a script that could automate what you are doing and for what I was looking for and I found that they do have the following:

http://www.nws.noaa....cis.php?wfo=box

If you select Daily Extremes, your target area, Max Temperature and then Lowest, you can see the lowest high temps for any day of the year through 2012. Changing the selections can give you other data tables. They also seem to have data for stations outside of the first order ones but I have not looked at those.

http://threadex.rcc-acis.org/ - Has the same data along with the years.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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I used to do that in the 80s and early 90s with record temps because the list I had for BDL & CEF was from the early 80s and they didn't issue reports as readily as you can obtain today. I stopped updating the list when I got out of the business in the early 90s.

Interestingly, I was poking around to see if I could write a script that could automate what you are doing and for what I was looking for and I found that they do have the following:

http://www.nws.noaa....cis.php?wfo=box

If you select Daily Extremes, your target area, Max Temperature and then Lowest, you can see the lowest high temps for any day of the year through 2012. Changing the selections can give you other data tables. They also seem to have data for stations outside of the first order ones but I have not looked at those.

http://threadex.rcc-acis.org/ - Has the same data along with the years.

I look at the NOWdata alot. Kind of a good tool if you want to figure out more obtuse records like that.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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Scott think anything survives past 495 or are those of us near the coast doomed ? Would be good to see the low clouds/drizzle break up

If anything gets inside of 495, it is probably down by Mansfield...places like that. I think if we were to get anything..it's a weakening shower.

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