Long Duration Noreaster - First week of June

[Ginx snewx]

Better to get it out of way early June and all during the week..setting up for a nice weekend as the heat builds back in by Sunday..I don't buy the Euro next Sat

I like the hurricane, that will be fun to track

[Ginx snewx]

today was a +7 HDD in Bos

[moneypitmike]

"We're having a heatwave. A tropical heatwave."

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers this evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming west after midnight. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday: Partly sunny with a chance of showers in the morning... Then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Not as cool with highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Cloudy. Showers likely...mainly after midnight. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 5 mph...becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday: Showers likely. Much cooler with highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening.

Tuesday: Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.

Thursday And Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Lows in the upper 40s.

Friday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.

[Ginx snewx]

CONNECTICUT

...HARTFORD COUNTY...

WETHERSFIELD 2.00 152 PM 6/02 HAM RADIO

BURLINGTON 1.79 1140 AM 6/02 GENERAL PUBLIC

2SW GRANBY 1.60 140 PM 6/02 NWS EMPLOYEE

MASSACHUSETTS

...HAMPDEN COUNTY...

WESTFIELD 2.00 910 AM 6/02 SPOTTER

RHODE ISLAND

...PROVIDENCE COUNTY...

CRANSTON 2.05 1244 PM 6/02 SPOTTER

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...

1 NW KINGSTON 2.00 850 AM 6/02 COCORAHS

[HoarfrostHubb]

1.2" here so far

BOX has me getting into the 70s tomorrow now

[Ginx snewx]

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=box&gage=sctm3&hydro_type=2

[Logan11]

Got a tad chilly in here. Just cranked up the faux propane fireplace on June 2nd. Love doing that in June.

57 and ovc outside...high for the day. Fog and mist has abated.

"We're having a heatwave. A tropical heatwave."

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers this evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming west after midnight. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday: Partly sunny with a chance of showers in the morning... Then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Not as cool with highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Sunday Night: Cloudy. Showers likely...mainly after midnight. Lows around 50. Northwest winds around 5 mph...becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday: Showers likely. Much cooler with highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening.

Tuesday: Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 60s.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.

Thursday And Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Lows in the upper 40s.

Friday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.

[moneypitmike]

Got a tad chilly in here. Just cranked up the faux propane fireplace on June 2nd. Love doing that in June.

57 and ovc outside...high for the day. Fog and mist has abated.

My wife would have nothing to do with a fire, so I had to make do with an extra shawl.

54.8/54 (high of 55.0) with a total of 1.59"

[ski MRG]

My wife would have nothing to do with a fire, so I had to make do with an extra shawl.

54.8/54 (high of 55.0) with a total of 1.59"

Same here Mike, with 1.49" in the bucket. Another day in the 50's. No sun, no beach, no smiley emoticons. I wonder if we'll hit 90 at all this summer.

[weathafella]

For June when climo is near 80? Yeah.

Where's climo near 80? Doesn't happen hear for another 3 weeks+.

[Logan11]

I had 86 early last week. Could be one of those summers where the warmest temperature is in May. 1992 was like that and we know how wonderful that summer was.

Same here Mike, with 1.49" in the bucket. Another day in the 50's. No sun, no beach, no smiley emoticons. I wonder if we'll hit 90 at all this summer.

[CT Rain]

Where's climo near 80? Doesn't happen hear for another 3 weeks+.

BDL climo is 55/78 this week.

[CoastalWx]

Those tropical efficient sheet rains are here.

[RIcoastalWX]

If ever a Dense Fog Advisory was needed it is right now! Not only along the immediate shore roads but in town as well... visibility in most spots is below a tenth of a mile. No one is going much faster than about 30 miles an hour down Route 1. Saw a few folks driving with their emergency flashers on!

[CoastalWx]

Doody seems to think record low maxes Mon- Tues Phail

TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE AT OR JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL GIVEN

MARINE AIRMASS INFLUENCE AND MOSTLY CLOUD CONDITIONS LIKELY WITH

THE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND TRAPPED LLVL MOISTURE

Monday looks like close to or broken record low max for ORH. Will depend on QPF. Tuesday record low max is 51..that will be tough. Highs in the 50s for most either days.

[HoarfrostHubb]

If ever a Dense Fog Advisory was needed it is right now! Not only along the immediate shore roads but in town as well... visibility in most spots is below a tenth of a mile. No one is going much faster than about 30 miles an hour down Route 1. Saw a few folks driving with their emergency flashers on!

No BSE2?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Same here Mike, with 1.49" in the bucket. Another day in the 50's. No sun, no beach, no smiley emoticons. I wonder if we'll hit 90 at all this summer.

Gardner, MA Weatherbug is at 1.4"

I have a little over 1.2"

Did not hit 60F on a technicality 59.6F

[OceanStWx]

Those tropical efficient sheet rains are here.

Check out the dual-pol variables from BOX. ZDR values are very close to zero, only in the heaviest echoes are you seeing up to 2 dB. Tells you that there are a lot of very small rain drops (nearly spherical).

[NorEaster27]

For June when climo is near 80? Yeah.

for where climo is stil mid 70s here in NYC, today was above normal so is tomorrow. Only slight below normal this week with temps in the low 70s.

[eekuasepinniW]

Waves of heavy rain now. That 50dbz pixel about 5-6 miles to my west has produced a couple rumbles of thunder.

[moneypitmike]

Same here Mike, with 1.49" in the bucket. Another day in the 50's. No sun, no beach, no smiley emoticons. I wonder if we'll hit 90 at all this summer.

I had 86 early last week. Could be one of those summers where the warmest temperature is in May. 1992 was like that and we know how wonderful that summer was.

Here's hoping to both. Last year, we got to 91.1 on July 21 and 90.0 on July 22. Hopefully, we can keep them at bay, and better yet, be able to call the 85.0 achieved on May 29th the yearly high.

[dendrite]

Waves of heavy rain now. That 50dbz pixel about 5-6 miles to my west has produced a couple rumbles of thunder.

Gushing here. 2.10"

[weathafella]

MAV 18z up to 76 tomorrow for bos. Should be a very nice day.

[Logan11]

Last summer wasn't bad. I know Kevin, Joe, etc. like to talk above it being > normal, but it was very temperature in ENY and SNE compared to further west. Western NY roasted and points west even worse. BUF had a really warm May of this year also. I don't perceive that we were too much above normal here.

Here's hoping to both. Last year, we got to 91.1 on July 21 and 90.0 on July 22. Hopefully, we can keep them at bay, and better yet, be able to call the 85.0 achieved on May 29th the yearly high.

[OceanStWx]

Gushing here. 2.10"

That heavier band has set up quite nicely over you. It still has a little eastward movement to it though, locking in on the Conway/Fryeburg area.

[CoastalWx]

Check out the dual-pol variables from BOX. ZDR values are very close to zero, only in the heaviest echoes are you seeing up to 2 dB. Tells you that there are a lot of very small rain drops (nearly spherical).

Yeah that's exactly how they are. Pretty cool.

[CoastalWx]

Places like ORH and BOS will probably have a midnight high on Monday which would probably negate the low max. Rare to see temps drop through the morning in June.

[free_man]

59F R .90"

Best week ever for first summer vacation.

[Typhoon Tip]

The general theme for the next 10 days has a fairly high degree of confidence for me. Regardless of details that ultimately describe the dailies, the the first 5 days of that should be below normal ...unsure on magnitude; one could argue for more or less. The 2nd 5 days will likely see a steady warming trend, and to me there is even 50/50 chance that as near as D9 we are regionally above normal.

The NAO appears to be the dominant motivator for the synoptic patterning until about midway through the medium range. It is heavily agreed upon by the ensemble means to remain negative quite impressively so for this time of year, for the next 3 to 4 days. In that time, having the GL vestigial cyclone/vorticity behave in such a way as to halt and then move SE, curling under 40N/75W is quite understandable as it is heavily statistically correlated. We may wedge in a decent morning and afternoon tomorrow, but don't count on that lasting! As the forementioned activity unfolds, inclemency then pivoting back down from the N-NE is almost unavoidable. What it means detail-wise from Monday through Wednesday, I can understand arguments in both directions as to the degree of inundation that overtakes the area. It appears to be a long fetch onshore flow that evolves; I don't even think that the sounding is really OE, so much as it is just iso-saturated below 700mb inversion amid a weak cold conveyor in that thickness layer. Could just be a a solid 24 period of gray, misting and light rains, with tree tops swaying in 20-25kt gusts ...55F at HFD, less wind there, and perhaps upper 40s and blustery in Beantown during max annoyance. That interval has a 12 hour decay and 12 hour improvement book-ending it to make it 2 days of the sh*ts. At this time of year, with the sun so strong, as soon as the wind backs more N the area will improve very fast from late Wed into Thur. All told, no worse for the wear and great for moisture restoration for the area.

I am not sold on there being protracted misery despite any particular operational guidance. The changes in the NAO domain might mean faster improvement across Thur-Frid than some are thinking.

The block associated with the NAO starts breaking down in earnest beyond D4 and really the domain rapidly neutralizes by next weekend. There are extended model outputs from the various camps indicating positive departures returning to eastern N/A D10 and beyond. There don't appear to be any markers for excessive heat toward mid month for the time being; so what returns for now appears to be more aoa normal. Unless there is a renewed episode of blocking I have a problem with that. The PNA is officially dead until ~ October 1.

[MaineJayhawk]

If it keeps on raining, levee's going to break.

About 1.5" in my 'hood so far with steady rain.