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June 2012 Obs and Discussion Thread


jburns

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From Charleston's AFD this morning...

A RATHER UNUSUAL PATTERN FOR MID JUNE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE

FORECAST AREA TODAY...AS A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED

OVER EASTERN CANADA RIDGES DOWN THE ENTIRE EAST COAST OF THE

UNITED STATES INTO FLORIDA...WITH WEDGE TO SET UP OVER THE

CAROLINAS AND GEORGIA. MEANWHILE...A BROAD MID LATITUDE TROUGH

ALOFT WILL BE FOUND OFF THE EAST COAST...WHICH IS THE EASTERN PART

OF THE OMEGA BLOCK THAT ENCOMPASSES MOST OF THE LOWER 48 STATES.

IN RESPONSE A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL MEANDER OUT NEAR 30N AND

70W...PRODUCING A DEEP NORTH AND NE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHERN SC AND

SE GA. THIS WILL PROVIDE US WITH AN AIR MASS MORE TYPICAL OF

SEPTEMBER OR OCTOBER...WITH COMFORTABLE LEVELS OF HUMIDITY AND

TEMPS THAT ARE AT LEAST A CATEGORY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS.

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I really know how to run an obs thread. :) However, next week....a sample of July as required by natural law.

Why yes you do :wub:

I'll take low 90's next week instead of the 100's that have been the norm here these past few summers ;)

btw..... my auto correct is ftl on the quoted :lol:

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mby saw 64.5 as a low last night according to my instrument. Dobbins AFB came in at 62. I reached a high of 80 and that's what Dobbins topped out at today too it appears.. It didn't feel too hot but the sun sure was beaming down pretty hardcore today. I guess that should be expected with the sun angle near it's peak.

The days start getting shorter by the end of next week. :snowwindow::snowing::mapsnow::snowman:

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mby saw 64.5 as a low last night according to my instrument. Dobbins AFB came in at 62. I reached a high of 80 and that's what Dobbins topped out at today too it appears.. It didn't feel too hot but the sun sure was beaming down pretty hardcore today. I guess that should be expected with the sun angle near it's peak.

The days start getting shorter by the end of next week. :snowwindow::snowing::mapsnow::snowman:

I like the way you are thinking! Just mentioned that to my friend today! This weather has been picture perfect recently. Low of 52 degrees this morning. Mostly cloudy today intil this evening with the clouds clearing our and a nice breeze at about 10 mph. High today was 72 degrees with current temp at 68 degrees and grilling!

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It really dried out here in S. Florida too and it feels and looks like October. They are forecasting dew points of low 60's for the next couple of days with temps in the mid to upper 80's. Very comfortable considering what it is normally like down here this time of year.

How unusual is it to have this weather pattern this time of year - anybody know? It was like this for a few days last week too. I've only been down here since '08 and I don't remember having any cool periods this time of year before.

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This weather is boring. Cool and dry. <_< I would love this in the fall! Actually I take that back. This weather is amazing. It hasn't hit 100 yet here this year. There are times where I like the heat and when I don't. I hope it stays like this. We only hit 87 today and our average is 90!! The dewpoints are in the low 60s! SInce there is no rain in the forecast, might as well enjoy this. :thumbsup:

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The low dewpoints and very high sun angle coupled with the breeze we had today are not being nice to my garden. I love this weather but I need the humid nights over the next 3 or so weeks to finish off a spectacular garden season. Unfortunatly we are gonna have the hottest weather of the season here in the triad by Thurs/Sat with some possible mid 90's with a pretty good cap in place to squash any p.m thunderboomers.

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Careful you don't get chilled, lol. I wandered around the yard yesterday pretending it was already the first signs of fall....and it wasn't hard! Now, if it could just get a bit cooler during the days, it'd be about right for summer :)

One the serious side the drought continues around here, with barely a third of the rains Atl is getting, if that. Amazing the corridor of dry that cuts through here. T

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This weather is amazing. It hasn't hit 100 yet here this year.

Speaking of which...I'm hearing in other subforums that we might have a humdinger of a heat wave on the way week after this coming. Since I am not the most attentive of model-watchers, I thought I'd put it to the group: anyone keeping an eye on the long range?

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Speaking of which...I'm hearing in other subforums that we might have a humdinger of a heat wave on the way week after this coming. Since I am not the most attentive of model-watchers, I thought I'd put it to the group: anyone keeping an eye on the long range?

Best I can tell there will be a warm up this week but nothing too extreme at least fo this area in June, looks like 90-95 for this week then it look likes the block returns and its back to at worst average temps. I would rather it be in the 80's with some storms etc, after all it is summer.

Last night was another low of 50 at PGV thats 17 degrees below the 30 yr average for this time of year, we havent hit 80 in days although we should get there today.

RDU climo plot shows just how nice this June has been so far and if the CFS and other long range is to be believed then July is going to be near normal and weeks of 90+ degree heat looks unlikely....of course that could all change in a single run of the models sooooooo....

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Best I can tell there will be a warm up this week but nothing too extreme at least fo this area in June, looks like 90-95 for this week then it look likes the block returns and its back to at worst average temps.

I was thinking in terms of the 10-day. I hear the Euro is printing big-time heat.

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Both the GFS and Euro have had a moderate warm bias recently. The Euro has had a moderate warm bias for a good while, but the GFS warmth is fairly new.

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/STATS/html/mnz56.html

Anyway, the Euro is far warmer than the GFS fwiw. Euro is a bit of an outlier it appears. 28+ C 850's? That would almost have to be near alltime highs for the southern Apps!

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Both the GFS and Euro have had a moderate warm bias recently. The Euro has had a moderate warm bias for a good while, but the GFS warmth is fairly new.

http://www.emc.ncep....html/mnz56.html

Anyway, the Euro is far warmer than the GFS fwiw. Euro is a bit of an outlier it appears. 28+ C 850's? That would almost have to be near alltime highs for the southern Apps!

Yeah...if the Euro was close, that would be some pretty hot stuff for the Western Carolinas and prob. Northeast GA (especially Foothills/Western Piedmont)

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