Met1985 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I see a big bust over the Western carolina's for tomorrow as far as rain goes. This system is now east of here and isnt coming back. Isolated showers at best around here the next 2 days. Ya looks like most of the developement looks to be east of the mountains tomorrow. Looks like we will not see that 1-3 inches like they said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Models have consistently had a precip hole in central NC. Now I see that the radar looks pathetic. I'm sure we'll eek out some showers tomorrow night, but I think the RAH NWS was right to keep totals low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Saw a couple of rain showers with thunder in the distance from other storms. High of 89 today with a heat index of 100 and a dew point of 79 after the sun came out after it rained this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 .55" from the batch last night. I REALLY like the trajectory of the rains coming out of the GoM. It looks like a direct hit on the Atlanta Metro to me. It is going to be an epic day of rains later today around here I do believe. I don't know if I would call 1 inch of rain epic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Nothing but off and on sprinkles here today. Downsloping flow has been doing its job thus far. I would love to see significant rainfall this week, but I don't think it will pan out over the next 24 hours. MRX is calling for heavy rain tomorrow, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I don't know if I would call 1 inch of rain epic... Around here it is. We get it a few times a year if we're lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 SE radar looks pitiful. Heavy rain? How about any rain at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 SE radar looks pitiful. Heavy rain? How about any rain at all... US National Weather Service Blacksburg VA Overall, the widespread 2+ inch rainfall does not look like it will be coming to fruition. However, the high moisture content in the atmosphere will still bring some heavier downpours to the area later today into tonight, and again on Tuesday. Things look to dry out by Wednesday as the front moves to the coast. The graphic is the rainfall forecast from this morning through Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 1.05" in the bucket for yesterday. I'd be perfectly happy if we picked up the same yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 1.05" in the bucket for yesterday. I'd be perfectly happy if we picked up the same yesterday. lol what? Looks like a good coverage storms across southeast Georgia today with potential for downbursts mainly across northeast Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Been a rainy morning here with over an inch already...1.15 so far and an overall total storm total of 1.85 inches.I even have standing water in the pasture. So nice to see such a good moderate to heavy rain (0.50 to 1 inch on average with up to 2.25 inches per hour in the heaviest showers)...after getting screwed for months, seeing dead grass, lakes drop, and low creeks. It's good to see FFC has switched modes to capture the rich atmosphere whereas macon, gsp, and cae have not. FFC's totals are almost dead on while those 3 are almost underestimating totals by around or almost half. So use composite imagery to better capture the rain for those who use them due to the 1.7 to nearly 2 inch pws. . Isohume...give a call if you aren't already there. Looking southwest, I'm hoping those storms make it far enough north to give me/northeast/east central ga some more. But better chances, based on their movement is to the south/east and into sc. I agree with gsp that nc will have a good shot at heavier rain later with more daytime heating/destabilization. With this type of rich atmosphere it doesn't take much. (although I know it's frustrating waiting for it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 CAE picked up 1.25 yesterday with more on tap for today There is nothing better than seeing heavy rain in the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 lol what? Looks like a good coverage storms across southeast Georgia today with potential for downbursts mainly across northeast Florida. Thats what happens when I post so early. I meant to say I'd be happy with another 1"+ today. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 CAE picked up 1.25 yesterday with more on tap for today There is nothing better than seeing heavy rain in the forecast It's been longer than it should have been, but hey buckeye . Hope all is doing well with you and I'm sorry for the lack of communication. Once again thank you for what you said about losing my best friend. Glad to see you are picking up some good rain. Total here for this batch was 1.30 inches. Precip to the south is trying to move north but there is a lot of eastern movement to it so you might benefit quite a bit for it and if I don't get it, I hope you do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 It's been longer than it should have been, but hey buckeye . Hope all is doing well with you and I'm sorry for the lack of communication. Once again thank you for what you said about losing my best friend. Glad to see you are picking up some good rain. Total here for this batch was 1.30 inches. Precip to the south is trying to move north but there is a lot of eastern movement to it so you might benefit quite a bit for it and if I don't get it, I hope you do I'm sure your best friend loved you just as much as you loved her You must have temporarily pushed the triangle towards central NC I'm watching that beautiful green and yellow blob on radar work its way here. This pattern has been just what the Dr ordered and I hope it continues. I'm so very tired of this area being in the various shades of red on the drought monitor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Wow at this pattern. Enjoy it while it's here. We've suffered through brutal summers the last 2 years. Here's a summary of 90+ degree days at Charlotte in recent years. The 2010 totals (86) were the 2nd most ever, while the 2003 totals (9) were the 2nd fewest ever. Here's a look at the slightly below normal temps in the east that we've seen at the start of June... And both the Euro Ensemble and GFS Super Ensemble like the idea of keeping the high heat at bay with ridging west of Greenland and below normal heights off the east coast leading to NE sfc flow, and overall, normal to below normal temps extending into the middle of next week. Here's the GFS Sup Ens 5 day mean, centered on next Tues (Jun 19). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 While submitting my daily precip report to CoCoRaHS this morning, I realized that I've seen at least a trace of rainfall eight out of eleven days in June so far, but my monthly total is a mere .63". After a wet start to the year, it seems this micro-climate has settled into a "nickel-and-dimer" pattern once again. Today looks to be no different; radar downstream is rather abysmal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 This year I've averaged 68.5 for the first ten days of June, last year the first 10 days averaged 79.9. What a relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Wow at this pattern. Enjoy it while it's here. We've suffered through brutal summers the last 2 years. Here's a summary of 90+ degree days at Charlotte in recent years. The 2010 totals (86) were the 2nd most ever, while the 2003 totals (9) were the 2nd fewest ever. Here's a look at the slightly below temps in the east that we've seen at the start of June... And both the Euro Ensemble and GFS Super Ensemble like the idea of keeping the high heat at bay with ridging west of Greenland and below normal heights off the east coast leading to NE sfc flow, and overall, normal to below normal temps extending into the middle of next week. Here's the GFS Sup Ens 5 day mean, centered on next Tues (Jun 19). Its been nice and the predicted onset of the heat keeps getting pushed back a week or so kinda like the supposed arrival of cold this past winter lol always a few weeks away. I would love to only hit 90 or above 20-30 times this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 .76" is my total so far, which is a bit dissappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I've had about 1.2" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 I've had about 1.2" here so far. Well, .02 here but the sandbags are holding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I'm at work in Orangeburg.....watching and waiting BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 109 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CALHOUN COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA CENTRAL ORANGEBURG COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA * UNTIL 145 PM EDT * AT 1259 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ORANGEBURG AND ANOTHER STORM JUST EAST OF ORANGEBURG. BOTH STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BROOKDALE...ST. MATTHEWS AND ELLOREE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Well, .02 here but the sandbags are holding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 CAE...... .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE CWA THROUGH TONIGHT. PW VALUES REMAIN AROUND 2 INCHES. REGIONAL RADARS INDICATE A TRAIN OF PRECIP FROM SOUTHERN ALABAMA..THROUGH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND INTO CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA. WITH MUCH OF THE CWA RECEIVING SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL THE PAST 24/48 HOURS...AND STILL EXPECTING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...HAVE ELECTED TO PUT OUT A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE CWA LASTING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAIN CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING CHANCE TO LIKELY WEST...INCREASING TO CATEGORICAL SOUTH AND EAST. MAINLY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. INSTABILITY NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE...BUT SHEAR IS MODERATE. CAN NOT RULE OUT SOMETHING SPINNING DOWN IN THE STRONGER SHOWERS/STORMS THIS EVENING. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM DROPPING TO QUICKLY...AND EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS AROUND 70. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Looks like there could be some storms around this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 1.04 and counting I haven't seen one of these in awhile...... FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 1239 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH... GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041- 120000- /O.NEW.KCAE.FA.A.0001.120611T1639Z-120613T1400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD- MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON- RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON- BAMBERG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LINCOLNTON...THOMSON...MARTINEZ... EVANS...AUGUSTA...HEPHZIBAH...WAYNESBORO...LANCASTER...ELGIN... CHERAW...PAGELAND...MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...WINNSBORO...CAMDEN... LUGOFF...EDGEFIELD...JOHNSTON...SALUDA...RIDGE SPRING... WEST COLUMBIA...CAYCE...LEXINGTON...RED BANK...COLUMBIA... BISHOPVILLE...SAVANNAH RIVER SITE...AIKEN...NORTH AUGUSTA... SUMTER...BARNWELL...WILLISTON...BLACKVILLE...ORANGEBURG... ST. MATTHEWS...MANNING...SUMMERTON...BAMBERG...DENMARK 1239 PM EDT MON JUN 11 2012 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...BURKE...COLUMBIA...LINCOLN...MCDUFFIE AND RICHMOND. IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA...AIKEN...BAMBERG... BARNWELL...CALHOUN...CHESTERFIELD...CLARENDON...EDGEFIELD... FAIRFIELD...KERSHAW...LANCASTER...LEE...LEXINGTON... MCCORMICK...NEWBERRY...ORANGEBURG...RICHLAND...SALUDA AND SUMTER. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 1.77 officially at KCHA so far. I have no idea how. The radar is not matching up with ground truth. Hytop radar says only about 0.60 has fallen. This is the most rain we've seen since January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 Grrr. I've been watching a good sized swath of precip move up all the way from southern SC. Now that it is about on me it has broken into a narrow broken band of lighter showers. Lets see what I can squeeze out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 1.22" for the storm total so far. Much, much more to my SE about 100 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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