NYCSuburbs Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Yea doubt we see anything today. But still gonna be an awesome day regardless dude There won't be a lot of rain but it's still going to be mostly cloudy with isolated showers later today. At least it's supposed to be in the upper 70s before the clouds/few showers move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Amazing September like morning. 52F low here. 69/54 right now and gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Usually when a month is wet it's also cool. Yet we managed to be several degrees above normal despite the cloudy days and rain. Night time minima were well above normal. I recorded 13 nights above 60 degrees, and one of them was > 70 degrees. That's incredible for the month of May. Average lows don't hit 60F until around mid June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 I dont buy the HRRRRRRRR. Mountains and stable environment will kill off those storms. They already look much weaker than they did an hour or two ago and haven't even hit the big mountains yet. It's probably overdone now, due to the lack of surface-based instability. Dewpoints only in the low or middle 50s this afternoon.The 12z 4KM WRF just has lines of showers falling apart before reaching NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Looks like some small hail with that cell along I-78 in Western Jersey. Nice job by the SPC WRF picking out that cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1027 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1237 PM CDT SUN JUN 03 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN/ERN PA...NERN WV...NRN VA...MUCH OF MD/DE...THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...NJ...SERN NY CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 031737Z - 032000Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT SUMMARY...STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL THIS AFTERNOON...AND A MARGINALLY SVR STORM WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS UNLIKELY. DISCUSSION...A LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE ACCOMPANYING A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY ARCS FROM CNTRL/SRN PA INTO SERN NY OVER THE SRN FRINGES OF THE EXPANSIVE MULTI-LAYERED CLOUD DECK SURROUNDING BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE NERN STATES. THIS ZONE WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY -- I.E. 0-3-KM AGL LAPSE RATES ALREADY REACHING 8-9 C/KM OWING TO STRONG INSOLATION. CONVECTION MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO OROGRAPHIC ASCENT INVOF HIGHER TERRAIN. STORMS WILL BE STEERED ESEWD GIVEN 30-35 KT OF MID-LEVEL WNWLY FLOW OVER THE SWRN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD CYCLONIC ENVELOPE. THE STEEP LAPSE RATES COMBINED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 40S TO THE LOWER 50S WILL YIELD SBCAPE VALUES NEARING 1000 J/KG IN SOME AREAS...WHICH MAY SUPPORT A FEW VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE MID-LEVEL FLOW SUPPORTING MODEST DEEP SHEAR...AND COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES -- I.E. AROUND -20C AT 500 MB PER 12Z RAOBS -- THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SMALL HAIL AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED INSTANCE OF MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. ONE OR TWO LINE SEGMENTS MAY CONTAIN MARGINALLY SVR WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...STORM STRENGTH WILL GREATLY BE MITIGATED BY THE ABSENCE OF RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE / STRONGER BUOYANCY. STORMS WILL DECREASE IN NUMBER/INTENSITY THIS EVENING AS NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION COMMENCES. ..COHEN/CARBIN.. 06/03/2012 ..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 That hail producing cell is up to 65 dbz now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 WU radar shows a 1.25" max hail core with that. That cell will probably get warned soon. Edit. Warned: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 150 PM EDT SUN JUN 3 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOMERVILLE... EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 245 PM EDT * AT 145 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ANNANDALE...OR 14 MILES WEST OF SOMERVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... WHITE HOUSE STATION AROUND 155 PM EDT... BRIDGEWATER AND FLAGTOWN AROUND 215 PM EDT... SOMERVILLE AROUND 220 PM EDT... MANVILLE...MILLSTONE AND MARTINSVILLE AROUND 225 PM EDT... BOUND BROOK AND MIDDLESEX AROUND 230 PM EDT... SOMERSET AROUND 240 PM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Getting a strong T Storm in C NJ, there were some relatively impressive winds with it. Currently am getting moderate to heavy rain with thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Very gusty winds with the steep low level lapse rates as the storms pass. Gusted to 46 up at Newburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Temp cooled from 73 to 58 degrees IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Getting real windy and starting to rain. Dropped from 78 to 76 (before the rain). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Very gusty winds with the steep low level lapse rates as the storms pass. Gusted to 46 up at Newburgh. yep, not much rain actually with that line, but we had a gust 40-45 here when the "line" moved through, relatively impressive. Weather out east was strange, was sunny and warm riverhead west all day yesterday, but where i was out in montauk the clouds and mist hung around until 4:30... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 yep, not much rain actually with that line, but we had a gust 40-45 here when the "line" moved through, relatively impressive. Weather out east was strange, was sunny and warm riverhead west all day yesterday, but where i was out in montauk the clouds and mist hung around until 4:30... Same here in Western Nassau about 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 73 to 62 here in Monmouth with strong winds to 33mph and only light/mod rain. Shows how chilly the mid level are. Morning diurnal heating, then the overturning process begins, and the steep lapse rates provide a conducive enviroment for rapid CU explosion and subsequent sctted storms. Looks to be the same every day this week -- mornings will be nice, then showery by the late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 LGA had a wind gust to 38mph, the shower that just moved through. More spotty cells are firing up over NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 very very little rainfall even though the radar echoes looked ominous IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 The sun is back out and the temp shot back up to 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Had a quick T-storm around 1pm.. Rained for about 5 mins. The sun has been out ever since. 69/54 with bright sunshine.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Had two brief but intense windy downpours earlier. A third one is about to move in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Two rounds of heavy rains here have really pumped up the streams around here. Saw a beautiful anvil to my east as the most recent cell passed. 8.5C Lapse Rates FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Ripping here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 thats a nice storm on the north shore must be at least pea hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 thats a nice storm on the north shore must be at least pea hail That's a really strong cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 3, 2012 Author Share Posted June 3, 2012 Just noticed that the newest update of Radarscope now includes level 2 radar products. Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 where are the posters who complain about long island storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 3, 2012 Author Share Posted June 3, 2012 where are the posters who complain about long island storms Was just thinking that. Lol. That is a beautiful storm on LI. Big time hail signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 where are the posters who complain about long island storms it's up to 64 dbz now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 3, 2012 Share Posted June 3, 2012 Was just thinking that. Lol. That is a beautiful storm on LI. Big time hail signature. We always seem to over perform with these UL's and steep mid level lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 3, 2012 Author Share Posted June 3, 2012 Severe Thunderstorm Warning now on that LI cell. Quarter sized hail and 60mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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