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June observations and discussions...


ag3

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winds are much clamer in the heavy rain with these cells we had winds in mid 30s before they moved in, heavy tropical rain but no thunder.

that is very disappointing to hear from our southern bretheren, was looking decent for some storms.

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Looks like those storms are weakening. Shocking, even when (LI) we get the storms FROM the ocean they die out over the island...

thats why theres still a plethera of lightning and heavy rain still south of the area where the lightning has been all along. We need the core of that to get. Also, there has been no weakening with the rain coming in. In fact, the 50 + dBZ has increased in the center of the line. Problem is, everyone's expecations are too high. We are north of the warm front and there will always be a slight stable layer at the surface. We wont see tremendous winds as you may expect unless we are fully in the warm sector.

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Flood Advisory for NYC and Nassau county:

FLOOD ADVISORY

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

116 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012

NYC005-047-059-061-081-085-020815-

/O.NEW.KOKX.FA.Y.0020.120602T0516Z-120602T0815Z/

/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

116 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...

KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 415 AM EDT...

* AT 114 AM EDT AN AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS

EXPECTED TO WORK OVER THE REGION THROUGH AROUND 4 AM. RAINFALL RATES

IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF

URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER

DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE

DANGERS OF FLOODS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF THE FLOODING THREAT INCREASES...OR A

WARNING IS ISSUED.

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7426 4063 7420 4065 7406 4061 7405

4074 7402 4091 7391 4088 7377 4084 7376

4087 7373 4085 7366 4090 7364 4092 7357

4092 7351 4087 7346 4060 7343 4059 7378

4054 7395 4061 7405 4056 7409

$$

NV

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