Fantom X Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 The dew-point has really dropped over the last 2 hours here. Dew-point was in the upper 60's when the sea-breeze kicked in around 1pm and then around 5pm the winds switched directions and the dew-point dropped to 52. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Outflow boundary bisecting the Long Island Sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Today's Highs TEB: 86 NYC: 84 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 85 TTN: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Outflow boundary bisecting the Long Island Sound. When the boundary moved through, I was on the north shore, and you could feel a light, northerly breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Today's Highs TEB: 86 NYC: 84 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 85 TTN: 85 Surprise, surprise, NYC the icebox of the crew. 86F was my high here. Picture perfect - ideal pool day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 18z GFS looks ripe for MCS potential to kick off July. I hate throwing out that word b/c it rarely ever happens, but 'tis the season to see them. Differential advection rolling around the periphery of the mid level ridge. Often times they ride along the 582dm height line which may be near the region next weekend. Far ahead but something to monitor for convection. In other news, rapid warm trend by late week; 90s likely by Friday. Tue-Thur look gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 18z GFS looks ripe for MCS potential to kick off July. I hate throwing out that word b/c it rarely ever happens, but 'tis the season to see them. Differential advection rolling around the periphery of the mid level ridge. Often times they ride along the 582dm height line which may be near the region next weekend. Far ahead but something to monitor for convection. In other news, rapid warm trend by late week; 90s likely by Friday. Tue-Thur look gorgeous. Tue - Thu im worried that clouds could get in the way, speaking oh which they look to arrive by mid morning or sooner tomorrow. I certainly agree with the likelihood of increased storm potential in an otherwise warm pattern to open july as the core of the ridge still centered west and weak troughing over the northeast. But the heat should still come in 2 - 3 day spikes starting this friday-sat (6/29 - 6/30). Then perhaps by jul 4th/5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 6/23 dailies TEB: 86/69 NYC: 84/69 (+3) [-0.7] EWR: 88/72 (+5) [-0.3] LGA: 86/700 (+4) [+0.2] JFK: 87/69 ISP: 85/67 TTN: 85/67 (+3) [-0.3] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 anyone get a good feel for water temps this weekend? seems we should still be running above norms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 24, 2012 Author Share Posted June 24, 2012 Surprise, surprise, NYC the icebox of the crew. 86F was my high here. Picture perfect - ideal pool day. But it's the same with the hottest. Surprise, surprise, Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 But it's the same with the hottest. Surprise, surprise, Newark. And surprise, surprise, 2 mi away on a grassy sfc I had the same temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Pleasantly surprised to see clouds are hours away. 10AM Roundup: TEB: 79 NYC: 75 EWR: 79 LGA: 78 JFK: 80 ISP: 77 BLM: 80 TTN: 78 ACY: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Tue - Thu im worried that clouds could get in the way, speaking oh which they look to arrive by mid morning or sooner tomorrow. I certainly agree with the likelihood of increased storm potential in an otherwise warm pattern to open july as the core of the ridge still centered west and weak troughing over the northeast. But the heat should still come in 2 - 3 day spikes starting this friday-sat (6/29 - 6/30). Then perhaps by jul 4th/5th. I think the vortex will lift far enough north to keep our area predominately sunny for Tue-Thur, but we'll see. Agree for rest; this should be the pattern for the summer -- 2 to 3 day bursts of heat followed by NW flow cool downs. Trough tending to buckle in the Northeast US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 12z GFS still signalling the 90F potential for Thur-Sat. Rapid warming at 850mb Wed-Thur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 anyone get a good feel for water temps this weekend? seems we should still be running above norms cold. still felt cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 12z GFS still signalling the 90F potential for Thur-Sat. Rapid warming at 850mb Wed-Thur. I think we could 95 to 100 again, next Friday or Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 Big win for the gfs down in the gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 What are we thinking on rain chances for next Sunday? Throwing a BBQ for fiancée bday. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 What are we thinking on rain chances for next Sunday? Throwing a BBQ for fiancée bday. Thanks. 50/50, have to watch the remnants of Debby and how much moisture from her gets pulled up our way, along with the frontal passage timing. 12Z EC has Debby lingering over the SE and front coming through around Sunday AM it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 The core of the next heat surge looks to be to our south but it may get close enough for Newark to make a run on 95 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 50/50, have to watch the remnants of Debby and how much moisture from her gets pulled up our way, along with the frontal passage timing. 12Z EC has Debby lingering over the SE and front coming through around Sunday AM it appears. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 24, 2012 Share Posted June 24, 2012 The core of the next heat surge looks to be to our south but it may get close enough for Newark to make a run on 95 degrees. This one seems to follow the pattern of most of the heat we've had this year. Brief yet intense surge of heat preceded and followed by closer to average temperatures while the core stays further south/west. The next heat surge should also be short lasting, although with 850mb temperatures this warm at least 1 day of 90s is easily possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 today's dailies TEB: 86/63 NYC: 84/66 (+1) [-0.6] EWR: 88/65 (+2) [-0.3] LGA: 85/70 (+3) [+0.3] JFK: 82/65 (+1) ISP: 82/63 (+1) TTN: 85/61 (+0) [-0.3] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 25, 2012 Author Share Posted June 25, 2012 today's dailies TEB: 86/63 NYC: 84/66 (+1) [-0.6] EWR: 88/65 (+2) [-0.3] LGA: 85/70 (+3) [+0.3] JFK: 82/65 (+1) ISP: 82/63 (+1) TTN: 85/61 (+0) [-0.3] JFK : + .1 ISP: +.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 25, 2012 Author Share Posted June 25, 2012 Euro has 20+ 850's both Friday and Saturday. Negative departures are being wiped out by 4-5 days of big positive departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 a little OT, but did anyone else see the GFS schooled the Euro with the TS in the gulf? Absolutely owned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 a little OT, but did anyone else see the GFS schooled the Euro with the TS in the gulf? Absolutely owned it. Who cares, this is the NYC thread, southeastern forum is else where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Who cares, this is the NYC thread, southeastern forum is else where. It matters when you move towards winter and we are looking at the performance of the new GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 It matters when you move towards winter and we are looking at the performance of the new GFS. And for which model will perform better during this years hurricane season. The new GFS might be the model to go to this year. I'd like to see how it performs with the next tropical storm/hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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