Allsnow Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 Just some heavy rain here...sun is out now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 Central Park just hit 90. Official heat wave for the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 Temp down to 82/71 in Dobbs Ferry after a high of 92.4, still no rain but we're cooling off slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 Got to 96 here, 82 now that the storms have passed through. Temp may make another run for 90 now that we have good sun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 hit 91 today IMBY and we have seen no rain at all, been mostly sunny this afternoon after clouds around 1 PM to the north and then to the south for me today was the most brutal this morning with the combo of heat and humidity and the third day of heat starting to wear me down but done early and I will miss this heat and again for the doom and gloomers here is my Mt Holly forecast for next week... Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Friday: Sunny, with a high near 86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 22, 2012 Author Share Posted June 22, 2012 hit 91 today IMBY and we have seen no rain at all, been mostly sunny this afternoon after clouds around 1 PM to the north and then to the south for me today was the most brutal this morning with the combo of heat and humidity and the third day of heat starting to wear me down but done early and I will miss this heat and again for the doom and gloomers here is my Mt Holly forecast for next week... Monday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Friday: Sunny, with a high near 86. Not sure who is doom and gloom. Monday through Friday will likely be normal to below normal. That's what we have all said and now it looks likely. Good news for you, the 12z Euro brings back the heat around June 30th for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 next weekend is looking warmer and warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 next weekend is looking warmer and warmer the 12z euro ensemble mean pushed the 850mb +20 isotherm further north than 0z. from central va on the 00z run to southern nj on the 12z run (valid 18z next saturday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 next weekend is looking warmer and warmer the 12z euro ensemble mean pushed the 850mb +20 isotherm further north than 0z. from central va on the 00z run to southern nj on the 12z run (valid 18z next saturday) 18z gfs is warmer as well next weekend and july 4th week . Perhaps a trend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 Next week's cool shot is very short-lived, and we should be well into the 80s by Thursday the 28th, with Friday and Saturday potentially into the 90s. Tues/Wed are the only cooler than normal days IMO, and even they aren't too bad. Probably upper 70s. The first week of July looks warm to me as well. Right now, given the looks of late next week, I'd give an above normal June about a 65% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 22, 2012 Author Share Posted June 22, 2012 Next week's cool shot is very short-lived, and we should be well into the 80s by Thursday the 28th, with Friday and Saturday potentially into the 90s. Tues/Wed are the only cooler than normal days IMO, and even they aren't too bad. Probably upper 70s. The first week of July looks warm to me as well. Right now, given the looks of late next week, I'd give an above normal June about a 65% chance. Monday looks cooler then normal also and Thursday is borderline. Euro and it's ensembles try and bring back the heat by the 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 22, 2012 Author Share Posted June 22, 2012 Monday looks cooler then normal also and Thursday is borderline. Euro and it's ensembles try and bring back the heat by the 30th. Depending on the actual negative anomalies, NYC has a good chance at a negative departure. LGA is on the edge, as are JFK and EWR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 22, 2012 Share Posted June 22, 2012 Next week's cool shot is very short-lived, and we should be well into the 80s by Thursday the 28th, with Friday and Saturday potentially into the 90s. Tues/Wed are the only cooler than normal days IMO, and even they aren't too bad. Probably upper 70s. The first week of July looks warm to me as well. Right now, given the looks of late next week, I'd give an above normal June about a 65% chance. I could see highs staying in the upper 60s to low 70s Tuesday and Wednesday especially if the low forms overhead. The models have also been flip-flopping with how far north that vortex retreats, and that will influence how much ridging builds in behind it. I also think Monday is going to be a bit cooler as a reinforcing cold front should cross the area Sunday night into Monday early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Not much on radar but I'm getting some rain again and a few rumbles of thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Beautiful sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Monday looks cooler then normal also and Thursday is borderline. Euro and it's ensembles try and bring back the heat by the 30th. Euro MJO is in phase 2 through 1st week of July which should be showing cooler weather. It will correct itself as we get closer. Go look at week 4 euro weeklies 3 weeks ago for next week, had big ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Not sure who is doom and gloom. Monday through Friday will likely be normal to below normal. That's what we have all said and now it looks likely. Good news for you, the 12z Euro brings back the heat around June 30th for a few days. when I have time on my hands I will go and locate the posts in question and many of them called for rain as well dont forget that. Upper 70s with sunshine except for Monday..boy that is doom and gloom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 You can see the evolution of the piece of the heat coming east for later next week. A big 594+ dm ridge flexes its muscles out west over the next few days. Due to all the blocking now, we return to more troughing early to mid week which gradually lifts out. The Euro ensemble mean brings 18-20c 850's back with the push of heat heading into next weekend. After the warmest departures leave, temps still look to remain above normal into early July as 850's remain +16 c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 June 22 dailies TEB: 94/69 (+8) [-0.3] EWR: 96/71 (+9) [-0.6] NYC: 90/70 (+7) [-0.7] LGA: 92/71 (+8) [+0.1] JFK: 94/72 ( +10) [-0.1] TTN: 91/70 (+8) [-0.4] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 With so much of the Central and Western parts of the US under drought conditions, these ridge amplifications have been producing record heat over those areas. It will be ultimately up to the other players on the board as to how much of this heat is able to make it to the East Coast at any given time. This is the kind of pattern which much of the US can experience really high to locally record breaking heat as we move through July into August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 10AM roundup TEB: 79 NYC: 73 EWR: 81 LGA: 77 JFK: 78 ISP: 75 BLM: 79 TTN: 77 ACY: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 10AM roundup TEB: 79 NYC: 73 EWR: 81 LGA: 77 JFK: 78 ISP: 75 BLM: 79 TTN: 77 ACY: 77 Typical for the park and Newark to be the extremes on each end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Most stations in the Upton area are now between -0.1 and +0.3 for the month of June. Coolest spots are EWR at -0.5 and NYC at -0.8. This weekend looks like slight positives, probably slight negatives a couple days next week. NYC will likely be around -0.5 heading into the last 2 days of June, which depending upon the heat pulse for Thur-Sat, could push NYC into the above normal territory. But it looks like most stations IMO will finish June a bit above normal. 06z GFS seems to indicate the heat pulse is now Thur-Fri rather than Fri-Sat, in terms of 90 potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 These weekends have been phenomenal lately. Yet another dry, relatively low humidity, sunny weekend on tap. 77/63 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 These weekends have been phenomenal lately. Yet another dry, relatively low humidity, sunny weekend on tap. 77/63 right now. Its been the summer of beautiful weekends... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 Its been the summer of beautiful weekends... Agree. Even when the weekdays began to go consistently crappola beginning in April it's been not only nice but mostly superb weather on weekends with only a few issues..at least out here in Port Jeff area of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 84 here in C-NJ .. Blue skies nothing but blue skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 1pm Roundup TEB: 83 NYC: 82 EWR: 85 LGA: 82 JFK: 85 ISP: 83 BLM: 85 TTN: 82 ACY: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 I would love for the rest of the summer to be exactly like today. What spectacular weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 23, 2012 Share Posted June 23, 2012 12z ECM still shows the brief heat surge moving in next weekend before the next trough approaches. It's nothing close to a hot pattern as the biggest heat stays south/west but once again shows that the trough doesn't completely lock into the East with long lasting below-well below average temps. The pattern this month until now was a mostly chilly one but still wasn't completely heat-free as the recent heat wave confirmed, and probably should continue to support occasional but not long lasting periods of heat through the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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