NJwinter23 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 For anybody not following the mid-Atlantic forum right now, some good stuff popping off this aftn and should continue for a few more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 18z NAM continues to drop .75"-1" of rain and ends it in the morning tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 18z NAM continues to drop .75"-1" of rain and ends it in the morning tomorrow. were you expecting this to change? its a 6 rain hour storm. big woop. the winds and coastal flooding are a bigger concern. Could be power outages tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 the euro has been consistent with around an inch. why bother looking at anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Yeah and the GFS has been awful with regards to rainfall amounts of late the euro has been consistent with around an inch. why bother looking at anything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 This spring the arctic ice extent wasn't far from normal, and above the past several years. Right now it's in the middle of the pack for the past several years. You know as well as I do that the current extent does not accurately depict the true state of the cryosphere. The ice is very thin, the MYI has dwindled down to pathetic levels, polynyas popping up all over the place at incredibly early dates, ice breaking up in places that don't even traditionally melt out, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Tornado Warning for DC, I'm jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 You know as well as I do that the current extent does not accurately depict the true state of the cryosphere. The ice is very thin, the MYI has dwindled down to pathetic levels, polynyas popping up all over the place at incredibly early dates, ice breaking up in places that don't even traditionally melt out, etc. Yup. In 20 years ifs estimated 25% of the arctic will be ice free year round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Impressive storms down south...seems like good set-ups bust around here....still have not had a good tstorm since 07... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Impressive storms down south...seems like good set-ups bust around here....still have not had a good tstorm since 07... yeah because an ef2 didn't bust through parts of nyc a few years back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 yeah because an ef2 didn't bust through parts of nyc a few years back. Got sunny skies from that storm...i guess my severe thoughts are similar to ur boxing day thoughts ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Got sunny skies from that storm...i guess my severe thoughts are similar to ur boxing day thoughts ... It's not like there are 10 confirmed TOR's down there, so far from reading the thread its wall clouds a couple of scuds and some wind. We aren't a part of the country that see's a lot of severe weather, that big body of water just to your east probably has something to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 It's not like there are 10 confirmed TOR's down there, so far from reading the thread its wall clouds a couple of scuds and some wind. We aren't a part of the country that see's a lot of severe weather, that big body of water just to your east probably has something to do with it. Interestingly enough, the Atlantic, which tends to inhibit our severe weather chances makes up for it for the coastal storms we see from October though April and all those big time snowstorms in the winter, so I'll gladly take that over a few strong thunderstorms. We even get the occasional tropical threat in the summer and fall, so that's a plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Got sunny skies from that storm...i guess my severe thoughts are similar to ur boxing day thoughts ... we've just had bad luck recently. years like 98, 2000, and 2006 will return Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 we've just had bad luck recently. years like 98, 2000, and 2006 will return remember this? http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/looper2.php?date=000518&type=rad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 another awesome event: http://www.spc.noaa....020802&type=rad i was living in bayonne and watched lighting blow transformers across newark bay... i also had nickel sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 another awesome event: http://www.spc.noaa....020802&type=rad i was living in bayonne and watched lighting blow transformers across newark bay... i also had nickel sized hail This belongs in the past storms thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 we've just had bad luck recently. years like 98, 2000, and 2006 will return Thanks....i remember 06 back to back bow echos...incredible night...worse storms i have seen...granted i kno what happen in nyc...but our area has been having bad luck... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 howd the 12z euro ensembles turn out. The EC and GFs ops seems to break down the ULL influence between the 8 and 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 howd the 12z euro ensembles turn out. The EC and GFs ops seems to break down the ULL influence between the 8 and 10th. day 10 has a block right over the north pole with a ridge building east from the plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 easily 40mph gusts on the coast of CT right now. Winds are being underestimated for this storm and people are gonna be surprised with no power come morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Radar is loaded, going to be a very windy and rainy night indeed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 this major noreaster deserves its own obs and discussion thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 New 'nader watch...gets up into SNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 New 'nader watch...gets up into SNJ. not sure why there isn't a hww for coastal locations. This happened in other storms where only the thunderstorms were supposed to produce damaging winds which was going to be handled by individual thunderstorm warnings, and the entire saw damaging winds in and out of the storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 Cells popping south of Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 Cells popping south of Brooklyn. Rotation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 Nice little embedded supercells near Lancaster, PA. Cool to see consistent updrafts on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 Cells popping south of Brooklyn. Nice job by the SPC WRF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 2, 2012 Share Posted June 2, 2012 its going to be nutty tonight when the full squall line comes through. with the large amounts of rain some areas of seen recently combined with larger than normal leaves because of the warm spring and summer, lots of tree damage and uprooted trees come morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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