earthlight Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Newark could hit 100 if the models are correct in forecasting a 594dm ridge overhead and 20+C 850 temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Clouds slow to break. Temps hovering in the mid 60s to around 70. Occasional break here in C-NJ. Looks for pronoucned in the next hour or 2. Thinking we may see some 90s Tue and wouldnt rule out Sat/Sun some of the warmer spots. 12z gfs Looks like a transient cool down delayed till around the 25th/26th. GFS lala range showing some high heat to open July. Lets see where the rest of the guidance takes us today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Newark could hit 100 if the models are correct in forecasting a 594dm ridge overhead and 20+C 850 temps. my BBQ might hit 100 also without jet engine exhaust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 I know it's the DGEX, but this doesn't look all that far off for Thursday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 17, 2012 Share Posted June 17, 2012 Thats ok I expect the park to be locked in at 89 tue - thu while other sites record 3rd - 5th 90 degree days. That's a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 It feels awesome outside right now. Temperature is 60 degrees. Too bad later this week with the high dew point and temperature values that the windows in the house will have to be shut until the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 It feels awesome outside right now. Temperature is 60 degrees. Too bad later this week with the high dew point and temperature values that the windows in the house will have to be shut until the weekend. It's a beautiful night...I only made it to 69.2F today. I'm at 59.8/55 and hoping to make it to the lower 50s in Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 It's a beautiful night...I only made it to 69.2F today. I'm at 59.8/55 and hoping to make it to the lower 50s in Westchester. Yeah it's gorgeous. Felt like late September sitting outside for Father's Day. High was also 69F here. Down to 55F now. Tomorrow's fcst highs have been decreased a bit, low 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 60 right now. Beautiful day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 If I'm seeing this right it looks like the 0z NAM has a tiny area of 98 degrees near NE NJ on Wednesday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 60 right now. Beautiful day. Agree. After the fantastic weather we had this weekend, why would anyone in their sober mind want to go through oppressive 95-100 degree heat with dew points in the 70's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Agree. After the fantastic weather we had this weekend, why would anyone in their sober mind want to go through oppressive 95-100 degree heat with dew points in the 70's? Who knows? These past few days and nights have been spectacular. No need for air conditioning, windows have been up at night. Now it's all about air conditioning, extremely hot car interior, and no fun in the sun because it'll be unbearable Good thing it won't last too long though, not a prolonged heat spell but I don't know if we'll see anything like we've recently seen until mid to late August or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Who knows? These past few days and nights have been spectacular. No need for air conditioning, windows have been up at night. Now it's all about air conditioning, extremely hot car interior, and no fun in the sun because it'll be unbearable Good thing it won't last too long though, not a prolonged heat spell but I don't know if we'll see anything like we've recently seen until mid to late August or so. A/C...lol Only wimps use A/C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Upton going with 99 F at Newark on Thursday. http://preview.weather.gov/wtf/MapClick.php?lat=40.735657&lon=-74.1723667&site=all&smap=1&searchresult=Newark%2C%20NJ%2C%20USA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickD2011 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Upton going with 99 F at Newark on Thursday. http://preview.weath...Newark, NJ, USA So close, why not just say 100 degrees. 99 degrees and 100 degrees feels the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Upton going with 99 F at Newark on Thursday. http://preview.weath...Newark, NJ, USA From mid 50s to upper 90s, brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 So far some of the 00z guidance is now backing off to upper 80s on wed sref only has 87-88 and the 00z GFS struggles to get to 90. will see if this leads to the correction we have seen every warm up the past 2 months. any how I think Thursday will be the hottest day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 From mid 50s to upper 90s, brutal. That was pretty much the July 4th holiday weekend of 1986. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Its 2 days max of heat, not a big deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Another day well below normal. Upper 40's this morning for some parts of the area. After the brief heat back to near normal by the weekend then looks below normal by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Agree. After the fantastic weather we had this weekend, why would anyone in their sober mind want to go through oppressive 95-100 degree heat with dew points in the 70's? because hot and humid in the summer is the same as snow in the winter, why would anyone want bitter cold, ice and snow all over the place...same thing. People do like hot sultry weather where everyone is wearing skimpy clothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 All this talk about heat...but the weather the last few days is as good as it gets....plus it has been a long below normal stretch.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 because hot and humid in the summer is the same as snow in the winter, why would anyone want bitter cold, ice and snow all over the place...same thing. People do like hot sultry weather where everyone is wearing skimpy clothing I dont kno about u....but i normally dont see skimpy clad coeds when im mowing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 4th consecutive morning in the low 50s, 52F last night. Impressive going into late June. Usually lows are consistently in the 60s by this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 So far some of the 00z guidance is now backing off to upper 80s on wed sref only has 87-88 and the 00z GFS struggles to get to 90. will see if this leads to the correction we have seen every warm up the past 2 months. any how I think Thursday will be the hottest day. The SREF mean has slightly went up from its previous run with 90 in NYC on Wednesday and can be cool biased during heat spells especially when some members are too cool, and the cool biased GFS hasn't changed for Wednesday; when it shows 90-95 degrees during surges of heat it's often a signal highs could reach 95-100 degrees. 0z ECM trended hotter as well after only showing 90 degrees for Wednesday with its 12z run yesterday. The only model I saw trended colder for Wednesday is the CMC, but after all it's the model that was the latest to catch onto the correct heat scenario. Wednesday probably isn't going to be as hot as Thursday but I have no doubt it will still end up in the 90s, with 100 degrees possible in some areas just west of NYC on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 18, 2012 Author Share Posted June 18, 2012 NYC is -33 for the month of June so far. Today should be around a -6 and tomorrow also around a -2. A 2 day heat wave of even 95 degrees, will erase maybe 15-20 degrees off that and keep NYC in the negative with still around -15 left. Looking ahead to after the mini heat wave, a big time trough looks to set up in the northeast for the last week of June. We have a decent shot at the 1st negative departure since October of 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 NYC is -33 for the month of June so far. Today should be around a -6 and tomorrow also around a -2. A 2 day heat wave of even 95 degrees, will erase maybe 15-20 degrees off that and keep NYC in the negative with still around -20 left. Looking ahead of the heat wave, a big time trough looks to set up in the northeast for the last week of June. We have a decent shot at the 1st negative departure since October of 2011. there's no cold at the surface. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSTDEP2_6z/tloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted June 18, 2012 Author Share Posted June 18, 2012 there's no cold at the surface. http://www.meteo.psu...2_6z/tloop.html On rainy days, there will be some steep negative departures for the day 6-15 period and the rest of the days will be normal to slightly above normal. I would give it greater then a 50% chance at a negative departure June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 Today and tomorrow will be neg departures also....this heat is going to be brutal for outside work...just because we have not had any and not use to it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted June 18, 2012 Share Posted June 18, 2012 The 06z NAM higher resolution data had 100 F on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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