winterwarlock Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 so when did this weekend go from being mostly sunny to mostly cloudy...yuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 so when did this weekend go from being mostly sunny to mostly cloudy...yuck Storm complex tracking along the rim of the ridge centered west. Luckily we look mainly dry for now with some breaks of clouds pushing into PA. Should see more sun tomorrow and push temps up. Monday is onshore flow-ish. 00z guidance warm to hot again for fathers day weekend but lets see if we can sustain the signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Yesterday 6/8 all sites back in the positive territory TEB: 84/55 (+1) NYC: 81/60 (+2) EWR: 85/59 (+2) LGA: 83/63 (+3) JFK: 78/79 (+1) TTN: 81/55 (+0) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Storm complex tracking along the rim of the ridge centered west. Luckily we look mainly dry for now with some breaks of clouds pushing into PA. Should see more sun tomorrow and push temps up. Monday is onshore flow-ish. 00z guidance warm to hot again for fathers day weekend but lets see if we can sustain the signal. Another Hot signal again? What happened to the 90's for this weekend into next week? Another fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Upton had partly sunny today, not looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Another Hot signal again? What happened to the 90's for this weekend into next week? Another fail. NYC was not supposed to see 90's this weekend . Check out the Euro and ensemble mean 168 hr forecast from last weekend. Parts of NJ have a shot at 90 tomorrow especially further SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Upton had partly sunny today, not looking good Have you checked the sat? Queue the Beatles 'Here comes the sun' Breaks pushing along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Another Hot signal again? What happened to the 90's for this weekend into next week? Another fail. Guidance was pointing to heat in the Sun - Wed period through about this past Tue then slowly sniffed out weakness over the northeast to cause more onshore flow mon - tue. Tomorrow still a contender in my mind for some areas. My point is there was a signal on the 00z guidance from last night for next (fathers day) weekend - lets see how it progresses. 12z yesterday wasnt hot - just above normal for the period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 NYC was not supposed to see 90's this weekend . Check out the Euro and ensemble mean 168 hr forecast from last weekend. Parts of NJ have a shot at 90 tomorrow especially further SW. Can you pull up the 00z for next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 wasnt the dgex showing 95 for today? lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 wasnt the dgex showing 95 for today? lolz I think it was for 18z 6/10 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 wasnt the dgex showing 95 for today? lolz The DGEX is great when it lines up with the Euro ensemble mean further out in time. It seems to do better when there is a SW flow and no backdoor potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 NYC was not supposed to see 90's this weekend . Check out the Euro and ensemble mean 168 hr forecast from last weekend. Parts of NJ have a shot at 90 tomorrow especially further SW. There were posts on here from last weekend talking about 90's and heat building in for at least a stretch starting this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Can you pull up the 00z for next weekend? Initially we still have some ocean influence next weekend but maybe by the early part of the following week we start to see more SW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 There were posts on here from last weekend talking about 90's and heat building in for at least a stretch starting this weekend. I think people were commenting on the DGEX but it was not lined up with the ensemble guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 There were posts on here from last weekend talking about 90's and heat building in for at least a stretch starting this weekend. Last weekend and earlier this past week, guidance was showing such a scenario for the period 6/10 - 6/12. By tue evening and wed models were sniffing out the backdoor/onshore flow for mon-tue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Initially we still have some ocean influence next weekend but maybe by the early part of the following week we start to see more SW flow. that's a lot of heat coming east. hopefully the southward influence of the -nao will relax a bit.... i think that eventually happens by the end of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 NYC was not supposed to see 90's this weekend . Check out the Euro and ensemble mean 168 hr forecast from last weekend. Parts of NJ have a shot at 90 tomorrow especially further SW. the euro correctly latched onto the blocking idea by that point. last night's run doesn't look remotely close to what's happening this weekend... there's a broad flat trough in ne canada instead of a block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 the euro correctly latched onto the blocking idea by that point. last night's run doesn't look remotely close to what's happening this weekend... there's a broad flat trough in ne canada instead of a block the gfes has the same look too the core of the + anomalies is at our longitude instead of the ohio valley/midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Been mainly sunny the last 2 hours with temp at 80, but Judy Colins is on stage warming up for clouds got in the way. Some in/out of the sun much of the rest of the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 1PM roundup TEB: 74 NYC: 72 EWR: 78 LGA: 74 JFK: 76 TTN: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Mid Atlantic south of the clouds DCA: 89 BWI: 87 PHL: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 In/out of the clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 78 & Breezy with some very light sprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Gfs still showing nearly 5" of rain Wednesday thru Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Another Hot signal again? What happened to the 90's for this weekend into next week? Another fail. The only time 90s were expected this year was in late May and that verified quite well. There were talks of low-mid 90s in the warmest possible scenario for this weekend, mostly fueled by the almost-always-exaggerated DGEX, but 90s were never officially in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Gfs still showing nearly 5" of rain Wednesday thru Friday Yep...another crappy week...went fron torch to flooding concerns...lol...euro close to 2 inches..ggem agrees with gfs...i think today was the first crappy Saturday in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 It looks like its going to be tuesday night into wednesday and then out of here. Today really wasn't that bad. Low 80s, a few hours of sun, no rain. Yep...another crappy week...went fron torch to flooding concerns...lol...euro close to 2 inches..ggem agrees with gfs...i think today was the first crappy Saturday in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 -NAO keeping the heat away so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 -NAO keeping the heat away so far. Back in Dobbs Ferry starting a teaching fellowship in NYC schools after working at a boarding school in New Hampshire for the year. High of only 73.2F today...cool but the humidity is a bit high for my tastes. 70.7/65 with mostly clear skies right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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