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June observations and discussions...


ag3

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Too bad it's not winter.... those transitional phases from -NAO back to neutral or positive have sometimes produce well for us in the winter.

And we are using up all the blocking now, part of the reason i have predicted such a bad winter.

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and the NJ guys complain they dont get severe weather, tornado right in the backyard and they missed it. Tisk tisk.

NJ shouldnt be complaining. they get more action than us on long island. atleast the storms have a chance at staying together in jersey lol....next week looks to be pretty warm on the models so thats something to look forward to

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NJ shouldnt be complaining. they get more action than us on long island. atleast the storms have a chance at staying together in jersey lol....next week looks to be pretty warm on the models so thats something to look forward to

frocky and allsnow should have been out chasing that thing.

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Looks like this main batch of rain is coming to an end and satellite shows some breaks in the clouds rotating from the north. We might be able to squeeze some partly sunny skies in the afternoon, especially east of NYC.

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Yeah and while still chilly we should be able to get into the mid and upper 60s by late this afternoon.

Looks like this main batch of rain is coming to an end and satellite shows some breaks in the clouds rotating from the north. We might be able to squeeze some partly sunny skies in the afternoon, especially east of NYC.

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Looks like this main batch of rain is coming to an end and satellite shows some breaks in the clouds rotating from the north. We might be able to squeeze some partly sunny skies in the afternoon, especially east of NYC.

Sun is now out in Queens.

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frocky and allsnow should have been out chasing that thing.

i saw that cell on my grlevel3 and it had a tornado sig on it, shouldve saved the image i was using kewr station when i noticed it. ive noticed one thing, our biggest severe weather events more times out of not happen when widespread severe weather isnt forecast. when its hyped i say its as good as cursed lol.

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i saw that cell on my grlevel3 and it had a tornado sig on it, shouldve saved the image i was using kewr station when i noticed it. ive noticed one thing, our biggest severe weather events more times out of not happen when widespread severe weather isnt forecast. when its hyped i say its as good as cursed lol.

looks like it was kick ass out into the ocean too. AG3 could have taken them on his boat and they could have ocean chased it.

131439B_L.jpg

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GFS and Euro maintain the big reversal beginning this weekend with potential heat into next week. We could see the strong negatives that are racked up this week reversed to positives next week. Persistant signal of trough into the west even into the longer range.

Not sure of the ensebles - bluewave or Ag3 has access to the pay euro.

test8.gif

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GFS and Euro maintain the big reversal beginning this weekend with potential heat into next week. We could see the strong negatives that are racked up this week reversed to positives next week. Persistant signal of trough into the west even into the longer range.

Not sure of the ensebles - bluewave or Ag3 has access to the pay euro.

test8.gif

The NAEFS are warm after this trough lifts out.

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Today's highs

NYC: 63/ 55 (-9)

EWR: 64/55 (-9)

LGA: 65/56 (-8)

JFK:

TTN: 64/56 (-7)

Need to wait for the 7pm update, but it looks like JFK topped out at 64/56.

It's also possible that we might get a little lower before midnight.

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GFS and Euro maintain the big reversal beginning this weekend with potential heat into next week. We could see the strong negatives that are racked up this week reversed to positives next week. Persistant signal of trough into the west even into the longer range.

Not sure of the ensebles - bluewave or Ag3 has access to the pay euro.

test8.gif

Next week looks good for at least a brief surge of heat, if not more than that. The heat perhaps could be a bit delayed in moving into the region as some models tend to bring the warmth in too quickly, although there's a potential for 90s to return again with the ridge building in. Given the recent pattern it should not be difficult to reverse the negative departures from this week, as the warm spells tend to have a larger departure from average than the cool spells have had.

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