CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 Yeah a scattered shower type of event for most this week.; Certainly no all day washouts I don't think so, for your area. Looks like you get wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 AMOUT Watch that disappear as we get closer..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Yeah a scattered shower type of event for most this week.; Certainly no all day washouts looks like it could be a healthy rain event for some - not sure how far east it gets but LL to maybe you gets a good soaking i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 looks like it could be a healthy rain event for some - not sure how far east it gets but LL to maybe you gets a good soaking i think. I wouldn't mind another nice soaking. NAM and SREFs would be nice, but I think they may be too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I wouldn't mind another nice soaking. NAM and SREFs would be nice, but I think they may be too far east. yeah any rains this time of year are welcomed. seems like the NAM just doesn't see the roadblock out east. this looked good a few days ago but is quickly turning to poo. goes hand in hand with the way the weather looked for the start of this week several days ago vs reality. for a while it looked like we could possibly torch for a day or two early this week but man...that has just failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Yeah just mostly annoying clouds. I'm counting on a good watering for my grass seed. Clouds remain here, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 yeah any rains this time of year are welcomed. seems like the NAM just doesn't see the roadblock out east. this looked good a few days ago but is quickly turning to poo. goes hand in hand with the way the weather looked for the start of this week several days ago vs reality. for a while it looked like we could possibly torch for a day or two early this week but man...that has just failed. Makes you wonder how the next torch will perform as modeled. On the other hand, it's great having comfortable wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 looks like it could be a healthy rain event for some - not sure how far east it gets but LL to maybe you gets a good soaking i think. IMO the most rains will fall west of the river I could see DXR to LL to maybe as far east as MRG getting over an inch..But here to ORH..just scattered showers..maybe .25 or so if we 're lucky while you guys farther east and south might be able to lay out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I'm wondering if this may evolve into a -NAO summer. Yet, the operational versions keep trying to raise heights ...seemingly to hint at heat wave potential in the extended. I suppose one could evolve, and then still be absorbed into an overall background cooler signal. Looking at the last week on the CPC site, the NAO has recovered from that impressive nadir of a week ago, by some half that mass, but it has a while to go before being neutral - not sure at one point in the curve should we expect to see a meaningful rising of the heights over eastern N/A. Seasonally the index doesn't correspond quite the same as winter, either... But that aside, it may be that the operational runs are over-doing the eastern ridge as a response to the steady climb out of the cellar currently ongoing. If the NAO neutralizes to 0.0, or even remains slightly negative, if it has any effective influence on the circulation system et al, one would be inclined to think more normal temps and precipitation - but you never know. Anomalies happen in the 2nd the 3rd order, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Full sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 I'm wondering if this may evolve into a -NAO summer. Yet, the operational versions keep trying to raise heights ...seemingly to hint at heat wave potential in the extended. I suppose one could evolve, and then still be absorbed into an overall background cooler signal. Looking at the last week on the CPC site, the NAO has recovered from that impressive nadir of a week ago, by some half that mass, but it has a while to go before being neutral - not sure at one point in the curve should we expect to see a meaningful rising of the heights over eastern N/A. Seasonally the index doesn't correspond quite the same as winter, either... But that aside, it may be that the operational runs are over-doing the eastern ridge as a response to the steady climb out of the cellar currently ongoing. If the NAO neutralizes to 0.0, or even remains slightly negative, if it has any effective influence on the circulation system et al, one would be inclined to think more normal temps and precipitation - but you never know. Anomalies happen in the 2nd the 3rd order, too. Yeah the models seem to want to keep a neutral to slightly negative NAO. It will be interesting to see if we can keep this pattern of warm ups failing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 IMO the most rains will fall west of the river I could see DXR to LL to maybe as far east as MRG getting over an inch..But here to ORH..just scattered showers..maybe .25 or so if we 're lucky while you guys farther east and south might be able to lay out I bet you get more than that. Either way, it's an awful for day for you..might as well let it pour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 I bet you get more than that. Either way, it's an awful for day for you..might as well let it pour. 65-70 with dews similiar isn't awful to me in the summer. That's a muggy day with showers scattered around. Awful was last monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 65-70 with dews similiar isn't awful to me in the summer. That's a muggy day with showers scattered around. Awful was last monday Good shawl weather. Clouds remain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Looking at the monthly so far, the big 4 are in the -2 to -4 ish range. This week won't really dent that. So it will take a very warm second half of June to flip this month above normal. Normals are rising rapidly still. I don't we go more than 0-1 above anywhere if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Say it ain't so.....from BOX update. SUBSEQUENTLY...CLOUD MASS MAY REMAIN FOR A GOOD PORTION OF TODAY INTO THIS EVNG LENDING TO REDUCED MAX TEMPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 12Z nam is juicy for most except far east sections...I'm sure it will chop back totals right before the event as usual though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 You sure about that? I thought I saw some patches of snow holding on in Pete's glen on the sat pic. Hah... But seriously this is why Pete is the only one who didn't find last winter to be atrocious. Because his glen holds snow absurdly long and it is legitimate. But a very localized thing. Around here I have poor conditions for holding snow with a lot of sun exposure and a lot of wind that blows it away. But hey my evergreen hedge row is making very slow progress...around 2018 I may hold snow like Pete. GC has been the hot spot this early warm season. Looks like a +10 for you yesterday, ORH had a +6 and was the warmest out of the big 4. Your highs on sunny days are consistently warmer than mine here, seabreeze for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Brilliant sun here, slightly milky blue. Low was nice at 55. Say it ain't so.....from BOX update. SUBSEQUENTLY...CLOUD MASS MAY REMAIN FOR A GOOD PORTION OF TODAY INTO THIS EVNG LENDING TO REDUCED MAX TEMPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Decent cool breeze down here at Weekapaug RI, beautiful day though. Little necks, Quahogs anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Brilliant sun here, slightly milky blue. Low was nice at 55. It's interesting on sat. The NW Atlantic is trying to retrograde associated with lingering/vestigial -NAO, meanwhile, the mid west heat dome is trying to press east. The two are butting up against one another right over SNE , and that is generating this mid level cloud contamination. Yeah, I'd go pessimistic some on previous temp and sky cover ideas base upon this observation. This on the other hand ... like Saturday showed, June sun can even burn off mid level activity, so this could alleviate some by mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 65-70 with dews similiar isn't awful to me in the summer. That's a muggy day with showers scattered around. Awful was last monday It's cloudy and showery with quarter of an inch of rain. Sucks. Dews will not be 65-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 It's cloudy and showery with quarter of an inch of rain. Sucks. Dews will not be 65-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 Poor Blizz. His extreme heat and humidity with storms is just not happening anytime soon. He'll just have to deal with cool temps and boring weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 NAM has close to 3 inches for my area and GFS has .25 wonder which one is right???? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 NAM has close to 3 inches for my area and GFS has .25 wonder which one is right???? LOL Sleep with the KFS and GFS on this one and toss anything else or anyone else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Sleep with the KFS and GFS on this one and toss anything else or anyone else Wait, do I read this correctly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 NAM has close to 3 inches for my area and GFS has .25 wonder which one is right???? LOL Dry begets dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Sunsational perfect day on the shores of RI. Helluva way to run a summer. Days and days of normal temps with normal precip. Pppppperfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 11, 2012 Share Posted June 11, 2012 Sunsational perfect day on the shores of RI. Helluva way to run a summer. Days and days of normal temps with normal precip. Pppppperfect Sun's been out for about 30-seconds now. BSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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