ski MRG Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Looks like today is going to be ruined by mid level clouds and even some showers later I'm at a dance recital all day so no biggie Nothing but mild 70's as far as the eye can see. I didn't know you were a dancer. Good luck with the performance!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Can anyone say torch?? HPC riding it like lightning. Love it STRONG AND LARGE NEGATIVE 500 HPA ANOMALY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL ALLOW RIDGING TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH TIME...WHICH WILL RE-ESTABLISH A TROUGH IN THE WEST AND CAUSE RIDGING TO BUILD IN THE EAST. A MOBILE POSITIVE ANOMALY IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND AS IT MOVES EAST FROM ATLANTIC CANADA...CAUSING A DEEP CYCLONE TO REMAIN PARKED NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA/SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CANADA AND NOT ALLOW TROUGHING ANYWHERE NEAR THE EAST COAST /RULING OUT THE 00Z CANADIAN SOLUTION/. I'm not sure that a lack of troughing = torch. I think it meanas there won't be troughing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Looks like today is going to be ruined by mid level clouds and even some showers later I'm at a dance recital all day so no biggie Yeah--I was just about to post that my sunny morning has suddenly become pretty overcast, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 It seems like everytime there's a big torch in the long range, it gets muted or is non-existent....even going back to the beginning of May. Times like when Memorial Day Weekend was supposed to see runners dropping dead at BTV type heat that turned into lows near 50F and highs mid 70s. This week was supposed to be the next big torch and I don't see anything close to that (torch now would be 90+ at BDL/CON/CEF). I guess eventually it will come but there's been several false alarms so far. Boy cried wolf syndrom...I'll believe it when I see it. Maybe a little above average and nice...but TORCH? Eventually we'll get a day or two of 90s in the big river valleys, but if BDL is only hitting 83-85F and hills in the 70s, that's not a torch for June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 I'm not sure that a lack of troughing = torch. I think it meanas there won't be troughing. Even ALB is now seeing it THEREAFTER...WE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER DRY FOR NOW AND TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TO CLIMB ABOVE SEASONABLE LEVELS ALONG WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS GIVEN THE LACK OF THERMALLY ADVECTIVE CHANGES SEEN IN THE ENSEMBLES THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Already rain into western CT..Lots of busted forecasts today lol. Most had sunny and temps near 80. Looks like a wet day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Even ALB is now seeing it THEREAFTER...WE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER DRY FOR NOW AND TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TO CLIMB ABOVE SEASONABLE LEVELS ALONG WITH HIGHER DEWPOINTS GIVEN THE LACK OF THERMALLY ADVECTIVE CHANGES SEEN IN THE ENSEMBLES THIS MORNING. Too bad you don't live near there. BOX is just screaming "TORCH" WEDNESDAY ONWARD... EXPECT PRECIP TO SLOWLY BEING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD AREA WIDE BY WEDNESDAY. EXTENDED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL STALL OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING UP FROM THE MID ATLANTIC DURING THE MID WEEK MAY INFLUENCE THE PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA. REGARDLESS BELIEVE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP TO OCCUR. CONTINUED WITH MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS SYSTEM STILL LOOKS DESCENT. OTHERWISE EXPECT TEMPS AT OR BELOW NORMAL DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Can anyone say torch?? HPC riding it like lightning. Love it STRONG AND LARGE NEGATIVE 500 HPA ANOMALY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL ALLOW RIDGING TO BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH TIME...WHICH WILL RE-ESTABLISH A TROUGH IN THE WEST AND CAUSE RIDGING TO BUILD IN THE EAST. A MOBILE POSITIVE ANOMALY IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND AS IT MOVES EAST FROM ATLANTIC CANADA...CAUSING A DEEP CYCLONE TO REMAIN PARKED NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA/SOUTHEAST OF ATLANTIC CANADA AND NOT ALLOW TROUGHING ANYWHERE NEAR THE EAST COAST /RULING OUT THE 00Z CANADIAN SOLUTION/. no Ens support, looks very normal. It does not have to always be extreme. A torch in June would be 90s/65 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Too bad you don't live near there. BOX is just screaming "TORCH" WEDNESDAY ONWARD... EXPECT PRECIP TO SLOWLY BEING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD AREA WIDE BY WEDNESDAY. EXTENDED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL STALL OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WHILE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING UP FROM THE MID ATLANTIC DURING THE MID WEEK MAY INFLUENCE THE PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA. REGARDLESS BELIEVE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP TO OCCUR. CONTINUED WITH MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS SYSTEM STILL LOOKS DESCENT. OTHERWISE EXPECT TEMPS AT OR BELOW NORMAL DUE TO CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS. Haha, Rick will be in the low 80's while Blizz shivers in the rain with temps in the 60's.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Haha, Rick will be in the low 80's while Blizz shivers in the rain with temps in the 60's.lol Normal Today: A slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. West wind between 5 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight: A chance of showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south between 4 and 7 mph. Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind between 5 and 11 mph. Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Tuesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Tuesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday Night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Thursday: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Thursday Night: A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Haha, Rick will be in the low 80's while Blizz shivers in the rain with temps in the 60's.lol Maybe I should send himi a shawl. With this possible rain today, I might have to forego/minimize some final cleaning of my cleared area and just get seed down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 no Ens support, looks very normal. It does not have to always be extreme. A torch in June would be 90s/65 Euro ensembles absolutely supportit. Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 So much for the sunny warm day. Clouds and showers have moved in here. Guess I won't be painting today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Euro ensembles absolutely supportit. Sorry When will you change your sig? Obviously June will not be hot and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 It seems like everytime there's a big torch in the long range, it gets muted or is non-existent....even going back to the beginning of May. Times like when Memorial Day Weekend was supposed to see runners dropping dead at BTV type heat that turned into lows near 50F and highs mid 70s. This week was supposed to be the next big torch and I don't see anything close to that (torch now would be 90+ at BDL/CON/CEF). I guess eventually it will come but there's been several false alarms so far. Boy cried wolf syndrom...I'll believe it when I see it. Maybe a little above average and nice...but TORCH? Eventually we'll get a day or two of 90s in the big river valleys, but if BDL is only hitting 83-85F and hills in the 70s, that's not a torch for June. it was a TORCH end of march when I was up in Killington and temps were well into the 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Just a beautiful Saturday morning up here...45F and low ground fog with sunlight streaming in from above. Thin layer of fog in the 700-900ft elevation band with everything above that crystal clear with mid 40s. What a weekend for the tourists and locals... Today: Mostly Sunny. Highs in the mid-70s. Tonight: Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny. Highs near 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Euro ensembles absolutely supportit. Sorry Sorry you are once again wrong, especially with clouds and showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 it was a TORCH end of march when I was up in Killington and temps were well into the 80s Yes that was 100 year heat around March 20th in NNE. Since then it's been a lot of false alarms....April was actually pretty snowy in the mtns. I don't remember any big torches since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 After this week's dats with highs in the 50's, even low-mid 70's would feel like a torch. On that definition, it might torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Sorry you are once again wrong, especially with clouds and showers Clouds and showers?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Definitely a warmer look to the EC ens last night and the op is a torch toward the end of the run. The western Atlantic troughing relaxes a bit and the ridge is able to build more eastward instead of getting squeezed up toward Hudson Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Definitely a warmer look to the EC ens last night and the op is a torch toward the end of the run. The western Atlantic troughing relaxes a bit and the ridge is able to build more eastward instead of getting squeezed up toward Hudson Bay. The op has been a torch at the end of the run it seems on every 0Z run for a month, then reality strikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Good call by ryan...looks like clouds will be a problem today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 9, 2012 Author Share Posted June 9, 2012 Models actually hinted on this for a few days iirc. That what happens when a heat dome is west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Definitely a warmer look to the EC ens last night and the op is a torch toward the end of the run. The western Atlantic troughing relaxes a bit and the ridge is able to build more eastward instead of getting squeezed up toward Hudson Bay. Sssh..Ginx thinks normal or below..Let's let him learn to read ensembles on his own Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Thankfully most of that is virga and falling apart as the sun climbs higher in the sky..we should see some of /most of this dry up..and even erode some of the mid level clouds. Looking better than it did an hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Sssh..Ginx thinks normal or below..Let's let him learn to read ensembles on his own First win of the year for KFS?, time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Models actually hinted on this for a few days iirc. That what happens when a heat dome is west. yeah...seems like it was ignored but there were showers/clouds modeled especially for C / W NE and NYS today for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 anyone think that rain in South central NY makes it here or does it dry up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 9, 2012 Share Posted June 9, 2012 Sorry to read about the subpar day in SNE. She's a beaut in Center Ossipee, NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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