Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Doldrums of weather heading into June


CoastalWx

Recommended Posts

spoiled biatches I tell ya, you would have died in the 64-65 stretch. At least we just had a nice noreaster with decent winds and CF. sh it Sunday I had a gust front that was rocking. Spoiled I tell ya.

We couldn't even get a good lakes cutter. It's been

Horrifically boing here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Turned? When was it exciting? October maybe

We did have our one week of winter in January-that was exciting-relatively speaking of course :whistle:

-

need someone to give a basic breakdown of what happens...we turn warmer this weekend into next week--where and when does the cooldown come from? Backdoor? Does all of SNE cool off or just eastern sections?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

:lol: hytta means like camp/cabin I know that much.

I think from an ecological point of view Norway was the coolest European country I visited. The flora and fauna were more tied to the solar cycle instead of ground conditions. I mean when you have flowering, blooming, and leafed out trees sitting in snowpack it just doesn't make sense.

I've got some more I can post later but leafed out trees with still 1-4 feet of snow on the forest floor still doesn't really make sense to me. I mean that ground has to still be somewhat frozen but yet there's daylight for 20 hours or more a day now...so the trees seem to bloom and grow regardless of snow and ice on the still on the ground from winter.

Pete still hasn't had full leaf out

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah, widespread 80s except at the coast?

I'll be in DC anyway enjoying their lovely June wx

Yeah basically everyone sees 80 I think Saturday but as the flow turns more southwesterly I think sun-tues the south coast probably only gets into the upper 70s while inland easiy gets to 85+.

What's brings you to DC? Because it'll be toasty lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We did have our one week of winter in January-that was exciting-relatively speaking of course :whistle:

-

need someone to give a basic breakdown of what happens...we turn warmer this weekend into next week--where and when does the cooldown come from? Backdoor? Does all of SNE cool off or just eastern sections?

Looks like a front comes down from the NNW and cools NNE down Wednesday. Seems as through the Euro wants to keep southern CT in the 570dm thicknesses through next Friday which imply above average temps probably like 80-85.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah basically everyone sees 80 I think Saturday but as the flow turns more southwesterly I think sun-tues the south coast probably only gets into the upper 70s while inland easiy gets to 85+.

What's brings you to DC? Because it'll be toasty lol

8th grade trip.... chaperoning 136 kids. Yuck in the muck

I never understood why they do it in June. Long stretches of 88/72

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nothing boring about it here, I don't find 7" plus rainfall boring, The word i use is it sucks, I would love to be bored, At least i could take my boredom out at the golf course or at the lake, Neither which can be had at the moment

I would agree...the last week has not been that bad. We've had some interesting mesoscale fetaures in the last week. I'll agree that the upcoming pattern doesn't look too exciting, but it's the only weather we've got!

Now, if we can just get through the next few months and maybe a tropical system and get back to my favorite part of the year, that would be great!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I would agree...the last week has not been that bad. We've had some interesting mesoscale fetaures in the last week. I'll agree that the upcoming pattern doesn't look too exciting, but it's the only weather we've got!

Now, if we can just get through the next few months and maybe a tropical system and get back to my favorite part of the year, that would be great!

I agree, Some severe, A good tropical system in the summer time will stimulate some, But nothing compares to tracking winter events and model hugging at least for myself anyways

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man this is true upper level cold. We just had a shower go through and temp dropped like 5 degrees. Down to 56 now.

Yea last night at the end of our 700 person outside event it poured and the temp dropped like a rock. Thankfully we were just finishing up pulling the electrical hookups. It was very pleasant outside until then.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

May not be a heat wave per se, but the pattern beyond D4 ...4 through 10 is quite reminiscent of late July through early August throughout the CONUS. Weak flow mediums set amid general 580+DM heights S of the Can/U.S. border, without any very meaningfully tall ridge features, with +12 to +17C (north to south) has an 80-90F vibe about it - and 6 days worth is interesting. A bit above normal but not outlandishly so.

The NAO is all but entirely neutralized and the current eastern, counter-balancing geopotential nadir in the heights is about out of time... We see the initializations over the last several cycles really dismantling the Maritime blocking and retrograding its remnant to merge with the central mid-latitude N/A ridge. Then, with the Pac's timely injection of -PNAP into 130+ W, that all sends the eastern 1/2 to 2/3rds of CONUS geographical area at least modestly above normal, below 50N.

In simple terms, summer arrives. Also, the theta-e distribution suggest more typically humid conditions evolving during that time.

More of this is supported by the NAO's being modestly positive during that time. Though the PNA is less coherent on the circulation in summer, still ... seeing it down to -1SD at CDC as this trough is migrating into the western U.S. doesn't shock me as mere coincidence. And, the convergence of those modestly warm teleconnector signals supports this overall general thinking. The Euro's 00z operational characteristic is a great fit, despite my own reservations regarding the op biases.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Does anyone realize its summer and the chance for exciting weather is like 5%. There were times when no one posted form June to Sept because nothing ever happenned.

Truth. It's June...even in an 'active' pattern this time of year...we'd be looking at a cold frontal passage every 4-5 days with a threat of some storms and some heat in between. And even then, we'd be talking mostly garden variety t-storms with an occasional slight risk threat. It's SNE afterall. People are just antsy coming off the miserable winter. But if you're really expecting May/June to offer up anything exciting other than a brief heat wave or a couple legit severe weather threats...you're out of touch.

After today we get back to more seasonable weather offering ample opportunity for summer activities. Enjoy it!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man this wx is boring. Checking in since I'm interning today at DXR. Beautiful out here and almost 70F.

Sun-Tues looks like a mini torch...maybe 85-88 across the interior?

I think I am inclined to disagree with you on the days of our mini torch. I think I would set the time frame for our mini torch as Mon(maybe, more like Tues) - through possibly Friday. Which if it does occur, I think we can drop the mini and call it a torch.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You Guys buying that little feature on te NAM for Saturday afternoon?

Doing an analysis here at work and it seems as though it tries to get into sw ct but I don't see it making it that far.

I am buying it because it has been consistently shown on the Euro, GFS and Canadian and now the SREF shows it.

Yes I know the SREF is based on the NAM, but it is still featuring a greater than 50% of measurable precip for the late Saturday timeframe.

And it is because of this disturbance for the late Saturday and parts of Sunday that I disagree with the timing of your mini torch.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think I am inclined to disagree with you on the days of our mini torch. I think I would set the time frame for our mini torch as Mon(maybe, more like Tues) - through possibly Friday. Which if it does occur, I think we can drop the mini and call it a torch.

If the euro is correct an we do in fact keep the 570dm thicknesses north of the area throughout next week, then yes I agree with you. There is still some disagreement amongst data so for now I'm saying mini torch, but it has the potential to last into maybe next weekend if we keep disturbances to our north.

But i do think we break into 12-15c at 850 Sunday afternoon, so I think Sunday should be included with temps 84-88 with a sw flow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...