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June 1, 2012 - Severe Thunderstorms/Tornadoes Event


Kmlwx

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19Z Update: Eustis, Norfolk, Newport, Belvoir, Langley, Quantico, Martin St., BWI, Andrews, and Oceana still showing increasing Tornadic Potential: Latest output is 60.1% for F1, 48.5% for F2, 40.7% for F3, stronger then F3, just pop onto my chart as 35.1%. Wind gusts still at 76mph, Hail potential around 1.5" now. Ingested several PIREPS so some of the indices have adjusted.

New Data: http://smartwxmodel.net/update.htm

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

330 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN HARFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...

NORTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...

NORTHWESTERN BALTIMORE COUNTY IN NORTHERN MARYLAND...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 330 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR

HAMPSTEAD...OR 7 MILES EAST OF WESTMINSTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30

MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

HAMPSTEAD...

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Doesn't seem like the tornadoes are hitting the ground yet or they are just getting lucky and touching down in open space.

No reports of damage so far.

There was damage reported in Loudon county?

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WBAL saying "there was a tornado" in Hempstead at 3:31 from the NWS. The anchor is a total ditz so I have no idea if she's just reiterating the TOR of if there's actually a spotter report.

I think they probably meant the tornado warning itself.

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Doesn't seem like the tornadoes are hitting the ground yet or they are just getting lucky and touching down in open space.

No reports of damage so far.

I've seen some damaging wind reports. Possible that some will end up being confirmed as tornadoes if investigated.

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89

ACUS11 KWNS 011935

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 011935

PAZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-NCZ000-012030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0235 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN PA...WRN MD...ERN WV...WRN VA...NWRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 332...

VALID 011935Z - 012030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 332 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...COLD FRONT WILL SPREAD INTO THE WRN PORTIONS OF WW 332

SHORTLY WITH AN INCREASED RISK FOR SEVERE TSTMS. PRE-FRONTAL

ISOLATED SUPERCELLS SHOULD LINGER ALONG ERN EDGE OF WW 332.

DISCUSSION...FRONTAL CONVECTION IS PROGRESSING EWD AT ROUGHLY

25-30KT AND IS CRESTING THE APPALACHIANS AS IT MOVES INTO THE WRN

PARTS OF WW 332. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS

IT APPROACHES CNTRL PORTIONS OF THE WATCH DUE TO MORE FAVORABLE

THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 1500-2000 J/KG MUCAPE.

GIVEN THE CURRENT SPEED OF THE COLD FRONT IT SHOULD APPROACH THE

ERN-MOST PART OF THE WATCH AROUND 23-00Z TIME FRAME. TORNADO THREAT

REMAINS HIGHEST WITH PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS.

..

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