Avdave Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Going to the McDOnalds on Cranbrook Rd the gehtto mcd's You need to go further sw than cockeysville for the good action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm giddy over people from the central weather forum posting here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm surprised the HPC went 10% tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm surprised the HPC went 10% tornado. Me too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm giddy over people from the central weather forum posting here It is a pretty boring weather day across the plains, got to look for some weather action somewhere. East coast severe is still pretty foreign to me though, so take anything I say with a grain of salt, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 It is a pretty boring weather day across the plains, got to look for some weather action somewhere. East coast severe is still pretty foreign to me though, so take anything I say with a grain of salt, haha. Its mostly foreign to us too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 It's really overcast this morning in my area. Maybe that will help keep the instability down, depending on how long it takes for the clouds to break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Satellite showing nice clearing in central VA. I predict sun here by 10:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Very cloudy here....based on history for this area I can see a nice squall line develop pretty close to here but get really intense as it moves East towards DC...not really looking forward to any severe weather but as always...I'm up for some intense rainfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Its mostly foreign to us too LOL... I think the first round of development across VA will begin with scattered supercells and it could be the best show tornado-wise today (not to discredit further north with the potential for embedded supercells in the QLCS). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Its mostly foreign to us too Us old people know more and have seen this a few times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I can tell mother nature is stirring something up, it's rarely this windy this early in the AM around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Visible satellite starting to show a noteworthy warm sector with clearing across Virginia, moving north and east towards DC / Baltimore / Frederick. Still image: http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=BWI&itype=vis&size=large&endDate=20120601&endTime=-1&duration=0 Loop: http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=BWI&itype=vis&size=large&endDate=20120601&endTime=-1&duration=2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 LOL... I think the first round of development across VA will begin with scattered supercells and it could be the best show tornado-wise today (not to discredit further north with the potential for embedded supercells in the QLCS). I like the further north thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Me too! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I like the further north thing what she said! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Very cloudy here....based on history for this area I can see a nice squall line develop pretty close to here but get really intense as it moves East towards DC...not really looking forward to any severe weather but as always...I'm up for some intense rainfall I think we do better here than what you are thinking. Clouds are breaking up just to our south. I think between i 70 and i 64 will be the sweet spot for the region. If that cloud cover hangs on tough further north, chances will be meh up there. But like you I will take the rain that is the most important to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 what she said! no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 1300z SPC outlook pretty much no changes. They will consider moderate again at 1630z after seeing how things play out this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 If I were chasing today, I'd be in Charles county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Bay cooled and moist SE breeze and a high overcast this morning. Surface based instability = 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 If I were chasing today, I'd be in Charles county I'm close enough to there it will happen IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Bay cooled and moist SE breeze and a high overcast rhis morning. Surface based instability = 0 thanks for rephrasing my post in a more technical way Has horst mentioned anything about this afternoon, other than his special wx disco? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm close enough to there it will happen IMBY I'll pray for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I think we do better here than what you are thinking. Clouds are breaking up just to our south. I think between i 70 and i 64 will be the sweet spot for the region. If that cloud cover hangs on tough further north, chances will be meh up there. But like you I will take the rain that is the most important to me Started sunny here this morning, now big time clouds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 thanks for rephrasing my post in a more technical way Has horst mentioned anything about this afternoon, other than his special wx disco? I do what I can ... I'm not up there, so in short I don't know. During the summer there's no set schedule for the morning forecasts, its just whoever shows up. You can certainly call him though, he gets calls all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Started sunny here this morning, now big time clouds! How far north the warm front gets wil be the biggest factor for us northern people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 I do what I can ... I'm not up there, so in short I don't know. During the summer there's no set schedule for the morning forecasts, its just whoever shows up. You can certainly call him though, he gets calls all the time. Maybe we will get some nice dual-pol images today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Now that we've established that it's overcast this morning....patience for a few hours will do many some good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 12Z soundings upstream ( the airmass which will be advecting east through the afternoon) of NOVA/eastern VA are not that bad in terms of low level lapse rates (especially 850-700 hpa). Even the leftovers of a weak EML are present on the GSO sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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