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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread II


Baroclinic Zone

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I don't think they will be slow movers, but they may pack a punch. I think even a good chunk of SNE could get it.

As long as we do not get any training lines that develop, But I don't think it will matter, With the soil this saturated, Even any cells that are capable of putting down .25-.50" in a short period of time will have some adverse effects as we still have flooding that's receding still in some areas, Right now some of you down that way could use it more then us, I hope it works out for a lot of you in SNE.

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Post it up on this here mofo.

While this isn't SIM radar, it's 850-500 VV/RH...those weenie maps I post in the winter. The fact that it shows a line moving through this nicely, means the 18z NAM probably has a good line moving through.

The only thing I see a little out of place, is that the shear is still a little further NW as compared to where the line is modeled. However, it's a strongly forced line which helps. SPC WRF likes areas in NNE it appears too. I still think VT,NH, and ME are favored, but SNE will get in the the action too. Better shear is actually down here.

post-33-0-71197200-1339101386_thumb.gif

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While this isn't SIM radar, it's 850-500 VV/RH...those weenie maps I post in the winter. The fact that it shows a line moving through this nicely, means the 18z NAM probably has a good line moving through.

The only thing I see a little out of place, is that the shear is still a little further NW as compared to where the line is modeled. However, it's a strongly forced line which helps. SPC WRF likes areas in NNE it appears too. I still think VT,NH, and ME are favored, but SNE will get in the the action too. Better shear is actually down here.

post-33-0-71197200-1339101386_thumb.gif

That looks nice. Would likely be some wind damage if that line transpires
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