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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread II

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted

I kind of like tomorrow's setup for parts of the area. It may be relegated to more of NNE, but it's interesting to me.

You can never count these cold pools out. As long as dew points are at least in the low 50's there's plenty of available moisture. We have a pretty potent s/w moving through tomorrow which will be the lift we need. Shear increases during the afternoon and to very respectable levels and helicity increases as well which will further enhance the threat for hail...wouldn't even be surprised to see some rotating storms or supercells.

I think CT could have a shot, especially during the evening and loss of daylight I don't think will be any issue at all...storms should be able to survive for several hours after dark

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

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You can never count these cold pools out. As long as dew points are at least in the low 50's there's plenty of available moisture. We have a pretty potent s/w moving through tomorrow which will be the lift we need. Shear increases during the afternoon and to very respectable levels and helicity increases as well which will further enhance the threat for hail...wouldn't even be surprised to see some rotating storms or supercells.

I think CT could have a shot, especially during the evening and loss of daylight I don't think will be any issue at all...storms should be able to survive for several hours after dark

I think it looks really good for ME, but I think dynamics will suffice for areas to the southwest. Good forcing. I may be too in love with the setup, but imo look good for at least NNE and probably down towards MA and even CT.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

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Completely over my noob head. I thought the seabreezes destroyed thunderstorms.

Can you explain to the layperson, without taking too much of your time.

Well they do, but don't forget seabreeze acts as convergence. The seabreeze front does not extend far inland and it is also shallow. So when that happens, storms can actually penetrate it to a certain extent.

The seabreeze front is also sometimes tilted back towards the water. So in other words, the leading edge of it may be in Belmont, but the front is tilted in the vertical towards the water. If you understand what I mean.

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