RobbTC Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 415 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 DEZ001-NJZ001-007>010-012>015-017>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071- 020415- /O.NEW.KPHI.FF.A.0002.120602T0200Z-120602T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NEW CASTLE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON... MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD... SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL... MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING... ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN... DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA 415 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN... EASTERN MONMOUTH...GLOUCESTER...HUNTERDON...MERCER... MIDDLESEX...MORRIS...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...SOMERSET... SUSSEX...WARREN AND WESTERN MONMOUTH. IN PENNSYLVANIA... BERKS...BUCKS...CARBON...CHESTER...DELAWARE...LEHIGH... MONROE...MONTGOMERY...NORTHAMPTON AND PHILADELPHIA. * FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING * A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1.00 AND 1.50 INCHES WILL BE COMMON. GREATER AMOUNTS, UP TO 2.50 INCHES, WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Probably will have some flood advisories, maybe the usual suspect stream goes over its banks but a blanket watch for nearly everyone (IMO) is a bit aggressive given the vast majority of models aren't kicking 2"+ out over our CWA. Probably would have been enough with just Poconos, LV, maybe NW of Philly, but S & E is probably a bit much geographically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1010 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0325 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...SRN NJ...DE CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 012025Z - 012130Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE ACROSS SERN PA...DE...AND SRN NJ OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DISCUSSION...WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE SLOWLY NWD ACROSS DE INTO SERN PA AND SRN NJ. THIS NWD SHIFT WILL ALLOW ONGOING SUPERCELL ACTIVITY UPSTREAM OVER MD TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION AS HIGHER THETA-E AIR REPLACES COOLER ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW. SOMEWHAT STRONGER LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALONG THE WARM FRONT SUGGESTS TORNADO THREAT MAY BE ENHANCED AS THIS BOUNDARY LIFTS NWD. ..DARROW/CARBIN.. 06/01/2012 ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 So we are going to be in a tornado watch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 So we are going to be in a tornado watch? Says 80% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 So we are going to be in a tornado watch? sounds like it, the shear and helicity is nuts. As i said earlier, as the night goes on we will gain more instability. That warm front is going to lift ne tonight, combine that with helicity and shear you got a threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 If I had Phils tix, I would stay home. I warned a coworker that there would likely be a thunderstorm and at least a moderately long rain delay if not an outright rainout plus high winds. Anyone care to venture a guess what will happen at Citizens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 By "anyone", I mean Tom and Tombo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 By "anyone", I mean Tom and Tombo? they will prob start the game...but i think rain/storms move in at some pt in.mid innings or after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 they will prob start the game...but i think rain/storms move in at some pt in.mid innings or after Thanks - he's gonna bail... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 So we are going to be in a tornado watch? I would imagine portions of the region will be. Chester, Philly, Delco and south? Edit: Berks just added to the C PA watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 they will prob start the game...but i think rain/storms move in at some pt in.mid innings or after Yep...tonight would have been great to have a Maddux on the mound to fire off a game in less than two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Yep...tonight would have been great to have a Maddux on the mound to fire off a game in less than two hours. They should cut full count down to two balls, one strike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 that cell in Lan-caster moving NE looks like some nasty shyit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 Didn't think we'd come close to watch material. This would be nice. Smoke eater, If your reading this, I'd head towards Edgewood/Joppa.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Pea size hail in Lancaster about 20 mins ago from the first warned cell to enter PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 Smoke eater about to get crushed; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Smoke eater about to get crushed; he already saw 2 wall clouds and a funnel cloud from the storm that went through lancaster. he got it as it crossed pa border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 Ryan aka smoke eater might get something here. It's tightening up: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm not seeing our area in a Meso. Disco anymore for a Tornado Watch Box. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 I'm not seeing our area in a Meso. Disco anymore for a Tornado Watch Box. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/ Watch might get issued at 6? This was the link to the MD :http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1010.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Watch might get issued at 6? This was the link to the MD :http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1010.html Gotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 1, 2012 Author Share Posted June 1, 2012 What a dog! Directly under the couplet with a fresh warning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 What a dog! Directly under the couplet with a fresh warning! he just txted me and said he just got hit by a tornado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Sheff shoots, Sheff scores! He says he has video....getting damage pics now! Congrats to one of our own Mt Holly boys for CASHIN' IN TODAY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Tornado watch for North Central PA now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 and 1/4 of the state of PA just went SVR T-Storm warned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 What a dog! Directly under the couplet with a fresh warning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Ryan and I got slammed by a tornado here in bell air. He is driving my car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted June 1, 2012 Share Posted June 1, 2012 Ryan and I got slammed by a tornado here in bell air. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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