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SE PA/Mt. Holly severe threats..


NaoPos

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give me fuel, give me fire, give me that which I desire! :devilsmiley:

sun has now come out in northeast Philly and actually trying to clear up nicely. Also see some cumulus building towards center city.

as long as the wind is out of the east doesn't matter. It could of been sunny all day today, but east wind is a stable wind for us.

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The folks down in NOVA and northern MD had clouds all day and look what's happening down there. I don't think the sun would have made a difference if we could have had the warm front lift north of us to get winds out of the south and east rather than east. Its been blowing fairly hard out of the east all day. I think we still get rain and some storms but I'd be surpised if they were TOR warned up here.

I actually only just care about the rain really anyways....I could do without losing power due to winds.

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The folks down in NOVA and northern MD had clouds all day and look what's happening down there. I don't think the sun would have made a difference if we could have had the warm front lift north of us to get winds out of the south and east rather than east. Its been blowing fairly hard out of the east all day. I think we still get rain and some storms but I'd be surpised if they were TOR warned up here.

I actually only just care about the rain really anyways....I could do without losing power due to winds.

Bingo... all we needed today was to get the wf north of us and we would have been golden. This storm is an arse backwards one, where you didn't need sun to get the instability because the environment is so volatile. We actually will have higher instability tonight, than we do right now.

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Looks like warm front has cleared BWI but not Dover.

$$

DEZALL-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-012000-

DELAWARE AND EASTERN MARYLAND

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

WILMINGTON CLOUDY 77 63 61 SE13G23 29.85F

DOVER CLOUDY 75 68 78 E17G29 29.81F

GEORGETOWN MOSUNNY 82 67 60 SE13G21 29.83F

EASTON CLOUDY 84 68 58 SE16 29.80F

PATUXENT PTSUNNY 80 66 62 SE12 29.77F

OCEAN CITY SUNNY 74 70 87 SE7 29.85F

WALLOPS ISLAND MOSUNNY 80 68 66 S18G24 29.83F

SALISBURY SUNNY 85 62 46 SE18G28 29.81F

$$

PAZ001-021-NYZ056-072-MDZ011-DCZ001-012000-

OTHER NEARBY LOCATIONS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

HARRISBURG CLOUDY 74 63 68 SE13 29.77F

STATE COLLEGE LGT RAIN 64 54 68 E12 29.75F

WILLIAMSPORT CLOUDY 70 55 59 E17G25 29.78F

BINGHAMTON LGT RAIN 62 51 67 SE17G31 29.88F

NEW YORK CITY CLOUDY 67 57 70 VRB6G21 29.99F

BALTIMORE CLOUDY 80 67 64 SE16G22 29.76F

WASHINGTON DC CLOUDY 80 67 64 S12 29.74F

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If you're going solely by wind direction then I wouldn't be so sure because the latest observations out of Wilmington have the wind now shifting from the east to southeast and temps/dps have popped a bit here in response. Cloud deck is really moving to the northwest fairly quickly too.

I have Blue Rocks tickets for tonight and it could get real dicey around 8ish for us.

Looks like warm front has cleared BWI but not Dover.

$$

DEZALL-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-012000-

DELAWARE AND EASTERN MARYLAND

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

WILMINGTON CLOUDY 77 63 61 SE13G23 29.85F

DOVER CLOUDY 75 68 78 E17G29 29.81F

GEORGETOWN MOSUNNY 82 67 60 SE13G21 29.83F

EASTON CLOUDY 84 68 58 SE16 29.80F

PATUXENT PTSUNNY 80 66 62 SE12 29.77F

OCEAN CITY SUNNY 74 70 87 SE7 29.85F

WALLOPS ISLAND MOSUNNY 80 68 66 S18G24 29.83F

SALISBURY SUNNY 85 62 46 SE18G28 29.81F

$$

PAZ001-021-NYZ056-072-MDZ011-DCZ001-012000-

OTHER NEARBY LOCATIONS

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

HARRISBURG CLOUDY 74 63 68 SE13 29.77F

STATE COLLEGE LGT RAIN 64 54 68 E12 29.75F

WILLIAMSPORT CLOUDY 70 55 59 E17G25 29.78F

BINGHAMTON LGT RAIN 62 51 67 SE17G31 29.88F

NEW YORK CITY CLOUDY 67 57 70 VRB6G21 29.99F

BALTIMORE CLOUDY 80 67 64 SE16G22 29.76F

WASHINGTON DC CLOUDY 80 67 64 S12 29.74F

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An hour or so ago Mt Holly mentioned Flash Flood Watches for their CWA but they never actually put it out. Zones were updated with it as well.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

211 PM EDT FRI JUN 1 2012

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY

MORNING FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT

SATURDAY FOR PAZ070-071.

NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY

MORNING FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>015-017>019.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR

NJZ012>014-020>027.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT

SATURDAY FOR NJZ016>019.

DE...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY

MORNING FOR DEZ001.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR

DEZ002>004.

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EDT

SATURDAY FOR DEZ001.

MD...NONE.

MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ450>455.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR ANZ430-431.

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If you're going solely by wind direction then I wouldn't be so sure because the latest observations out of Wilmington have the wind now shifting from the east to southeast and temps/dps have popped a bit here in response. Cloud deck is really moving to the northwest fairly quickly too.

I have Blue Rocks tickets for tonight and it could get real dicey around 8ish for us.

You mean you have rain check tix for the Blue Rocks...

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1008

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0249 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...ERN MD...ERN VA...D.C...NRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 333...

VALID 011949Z - 012045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 333 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH ONGOING

SUPERCELL ACTIVITY.

DISCUSSION...NUMEROUS DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED ACROSS THE

WARM SECTOR FROM PORTIONS OF NC...NWD INTO MD. THIS NRN ACTIVITY IS

COINCIDENT WITH ADVANCING WARM FRONT THAT NOW STRETCHES FROM BEDFORD

COUNTY PA...SEWD INTO CNTRL DE NEAR DOV. SEVERAL OF THE DISCRETE

SUPERCELLS HAVE EXHIBITED TORNADIC CHARACTERISTICS AS THEY LIFT NEWD

WITH ONE LONGER-LIVED UPDRAFT IN PARTICULAR NOW CROSSING THE WARM

FRONT OVER BALTIMORE COUNTY IN MD. NRN SUPERCELLS SHOULD ENCOUNTER

SOMEWHAT HIGHER LOW LEVEL HELICITY ALONG THE WARM FRONT WHICH MAY

ENHANCE THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL WHILE WITHIN THIS ZONE.

HIGHER THETA-E AIR MASS SHOULD GRADUALLY RETURN INTO SERN PA/DE AND

SWRN NJ OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SUPERCELL ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE

AS THIS BOUNDARY ADVANCES NWD.

FRONTAL SQUALL LINE SHOULD APPROACH THE WRN-MOST PART OF WW 333 BY

00Z AND AN ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY ENSUE WITH ASSOCIATED

CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 06/01/2012

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RAH...RNK...

LAT...LON 36217937 40087694 40087467 36217721 36217937

Text

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