hazwoper Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Still ripping down here in OCNJ. Lots or CTG and stil quite a bit of wind. The rain has not really let up at all. It will beinteresting to hear these rainfall amounts. The entire span of the new bridge linking OC to somers point is dark. No power for lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 SOmeone, somewhere, will see the same exact thing tomorrow! Good night all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Based on latest 00z NMM looks like the spc would split the higher probs to breezewood through dc for the first MCS it has and Northwest pa through the Poconos. However based on today's Derecho almost would not be surprised if they still mention that they are uncertain. We are dealing with a very complex set up for tomorrow evening someone is going to get hit hard while others may not at all. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/COMPRAD4_0z/rloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Power out in Port Republic, NE of KACY. Been out about 40 minutes now. The lightning and thunder outside remains incessant, although the "worst" is clearly past. Have never seen near an hour straight of lightning before, Mother Nature wins this round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like a hurricane came through down here, worst storm in years. We probably won't have power for days. I'll be cutting trees up half of that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 SPC going south for Saturday now. Will see if this is the same at the end of the day or if we repeat today on a more north track ...MID MS VALLEY TO COASTAL SRN MID-ATLC AND TIDEWATER REGIONS... ONE OR TWO CLUSTERS OF SVR TSTMS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN THIS PERIOD WITHIN CONVECTIVELY ALTERED BAROCLINIC ZONE...FOLLOWING RELATED INSTABILITY/THETAE GRADIENT ESEWD WHILE POTENTIALLY GROWING UPSCALE. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING WIND...WITH SOME SIGNIFICANT-SVR GUSTS POSSIBLE WHERE COLD POOL CAN BECOME WELL-ORGANIZED BEHIND LEADING COMPLEX. THOUGH POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN THIS CORRIDOR...MOST PROBABLE AREA FOR SUCH UPSCALE MCS EVOLUTION APPEARS TO BE FROM OH-MD. WHILE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN BOOSTED SOMEWHAT FROM DAY-2 OUTLOOK...TWO MAJOR UNCERTAINTIES PRECLUDE GREATER UNCONDITIONAL SVR RISK ATTM. FIRST IS LOCATION OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION OVER OH-E COAST CORRIDOR...WHICH OF COURSE WILL DICTATE POSITIONING OF ANY SUBSEQUENT UPSCALE GROWTH. SECOND...AND AT LEAST AS IMPORTANT...IS DAMAGE DONE TO MOISTURE FIELD BY PRIOR/DERECHO-PRODUCING MCS. THAT CONVECTION HAS GREATLY REDUCED BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS CORRIDOR FROM OH-MD. IN FACT...ACCOMPANYING STG PRESSURE PERTURBATION AND GUST FRONT ARE STILL MOVING SWD ACROSS MOST OF NC AS OF THIS WRITING...DROPPING SFC DEW POINTS FROM 70S TO LOWER 60S/UPPER 50S RANGE. THIS EFFECT WILL BE INCREASINGLY SHALLOW AND MUTED WITH SWD EXTENT...BUT SETS UP INCREASINGLY LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE RETURN FOR POTENTIAL EVENT TODAY. THIS MOISTURE RETURN MAY EMANATE FROM 1. NEAR-SFC ADVECTION NNEWD FROM CAROLINAS TO ERN VA AND DELMARVA AREA...AND/OR 2. MORE WLY FLOW COMPONENT WITH RELATED ADVECTION FROM OH VALLEY INTO APPALACHIANS...LEADING TO THETAE INCREASE E OF MTNS THROUGH DOWNWARD MIXING AND SFC DIABATIC HEATING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 SPC going south for Saturday now. Will see if this is the same at the end of the day or if we repeat today on a more north track ...MID MS VALLEY TO COASTAL SRN MID-ATLC AND TIDEWATER REGIONS... ONE OR TWO CLUSTERS OF SVR TSTMS MAY DEVELOP AGAIN THIS PERIOD WITHIN CONVECTIVELY ALTERED BAROCLINIC ZONE...FOLLOWING RELATED INSTABILITY/THETAE GRADIENT ESEWD WHILE POTENTIALLY GROWING UPSCALE. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE DAMAGING WIND...WITH SOME SIGNIFICANT-SVR GUSTS POSSIBLE WHERE COLD POOL CAN BECOME WELL-ORGANIZED BEHIND LEADING COMPLEX. THOUGH POSSIBLE ANYWHERE IN THIS CORRIDOR...MOST PROBABLE AREA FOR SUCH UPSCALE MCS EVOLUTION APPEARS TO BE FROM OH-MD. WHILE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN BOOSTED SOMEWHAT FROM DAY-2 OUTLOOK...TWO MAJOR UNCERTAINTIES PRECLUDE GREATER UNCONDITIONAL SVR RISK ATTM. FIRST IS LOCATION OF CONVECTIVE INITIATION OVER OH-E COAST CORRIDOR...WHICH OF COURSE WILL DICTATE POSITIONING OF ANY SUBSEQUENT UPSCALE GROWTH. SECOND...AND AT LEAST AS IMPORTANT...IS DAMAGE DONE TO MOISTURE FIELD BY PRIOR/DERECHO-PRODUCING MCS. THAT CONVECTION HAS GREATLY REDUCED BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS CORRIDOR FROM OH-MD. IN FACT...ACCOMPANYING STG PRESSURE PERTURBATION AND GUST FRONT ARE STILL MOVING SWD ACROSS MOST OF NC AS OF THIS WRITING...DROPPING SFC DEW POINTS FROM 70S TO LOWER 60S/UPPER 50S RANGE. THIS EFFECT WILL BE INCREASINGLY SHALLOW AND MUTED WITH SWD EXTENT...BUT SETS UP INCREASINGLY LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE RETURN FOR POTENTIAL EVENT TODAY. THIS MOISTURE RETURN MAY EMANATE FROM 1. NEAR-SFC ADVECTION NNEWD FROM CAROLINAS TO ERN VA AND DELMARVA AREA...AND/OR 2. MORE WLY FLOW COMPONENT WITH RELATED ADVECTION FROM OH VALLEY INTO APPALACHIANS...LEADING TO THETAE INCREASE E OF MTNS THROUGH DOWNWARD MIXING AND SFC DIABATIC HEATING. Good, let it go south, we've got enough damage to last a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Capt. Adam Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Significant damage in Galloway, Absecon areas east of KACY, many trees/wires down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 That was for last nights derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbTC Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Thanks, I hadn't seen it posted.... I removed it. That was for last nights derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Missed the worst of the Derecho down here.....still got some descent winds and impressive lightning, but nothing like what they had in the DC area, or even just inland... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 6z NAM brings the complex over Wilmington and South Jersey between 8 and 10 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 looking at what's back over western ohio this morning I'm going to say that anything will develop early this afternoon in PA off of that and move through the Philly and south realm after 4 PM...this looks like it may outrun the NAM's timing (which isn't surprising...the derecho was a bit faster than the models). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 0.14" - 0.39 total yesterday. Not much rain from either of yesterdays storms considering the lightning activity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like a hurricane came through down here, worst storm in years. We probably won't have power for days. I'll be cutting trees up half of that time. I heard on the news this morning that a couple of kids camping with their families were killed last night by falling trees. Any update on the boy scout that bri mentioned last night? I know you had a busy night, but wasn't sure if you heard anything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like the swath of real estate from Wilmington south to Smyrna east to Galloway south to OC NJ got pwned the hardest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 The philly chase car might be out today on another chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Looks like the swath of real estate from Wilmington south to Smyrna east to Galloway south to OC NJ got pwned the hardest. Camden County on south has been a "real good" (thanks cholly) area for storms this season in jerz... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 Talked to Ryan.. Said in a sommersville /point?? (his phone was cutting out), a boy scout camping trip had a kid trapped under a tree in cardiac arrest. He said leaves completely plastered the roads, power out everywhere, trees and wires down. Sounds like they def got raked. He's safe, making his way back down to the firehouse. What a shame.. http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/breaking/Tree-Falls-Kills-Two-Boys-Camping-New-Jersey-Parvin-State-Park-160940735.html "A 40-foot pine tree snapped and fell overnight, killing two little boys who were camping in Parvin State Park in Salem County, New Jersey. The boys, ages 2 and 7, are related, police tell NBC10." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 ...OH VALLEY TO MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT... LATEST CONVECTION-ALLOWING AND MESOSCALE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH DECAYING OH MCS AS IT EMERGES FROM THE CREST OF THE APPALACHIANS LATER TODAY. HERE...UPLIFT ALONG THE RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/GUST FRONT WILL COINCIDE WITH DEEPER-LAYER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH MCV TO PROMOTE AN INCREASE IN TSTMS WITHIN A MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1500-3000 J/KG. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL FEATURE A UNIDIRECTIONAL WNWLY WIND FIELD WITH 50-60 KT FLOW POSSIBLE IN THE 600-500-MB LAYER PER 12Z UPSTREAM SOUNDING AT WILMINGTON OH. AS SUCH...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE EVOLUTION OF ANOTHER BOW ECHO SYSTEM CAPABLE OF POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS PARTS OF THE DELMARVA INTO CNTRL/ERN NC. MEANWHILE...A SMALL CLUSTER OF TSTMS HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED OVER SERN IA...APPARENTLY FORCED BY A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING SEWD THROUGH SRN MN/NRN IA. THOUGH NOT WELL RESOLVED BY THE MODELS...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THESE STORMS COULD INTENSIFY BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF E-CNTRL IL/W-CNTRL INDIANA. WHILE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT NEARLY AS UNSTABLE AS FRIDAY...12Z SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE-STRONG INSTABILITY /I.E. MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-3000 J PER KG/ IN THE PRESENCE OF MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR. AS SUCH...EVOLUTION OF AN ADDITIONAL FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS/BOW ECHO IS POSSIBLE WITH A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING EWD TOWARD THE UPPER OH VALLEY. DUE TO LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO...ONLY BASELINE SLIGHT RISK PROBABILITIES WILL BE INCLUDED IN THIS FORECAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShoreWXgal Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I can't get over how bad those storms were! Lots of trees , limbs down here and the surrounding towns .. My power finally came back on at 430 or so but my AC unit isnt working .. For the first time I hope we don't get anymore tonight .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 What a shame.. http://www.nbcphilad...-160940735.html "A 40-foot pine tree snapped and fell overnight, killing two little boys who were camping in Parvin State Park in Salem County, New Jersey. The boys, ages 2 and 7, are related, police tell NBC10." I asked about this a few posts above, is this the same what ryan was referring to last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Amazing how severe weather can change mindsets. Most of us cheer on severe snowstorms or thunderstorms and want to see something "spectacular" occur, but many times afterwards if it strikes and is disruptive we have a change of mind. I remember how "awesome" one of the blizzards was a few years back, til I lost power and the temperature in the house fell to 50 degrees. Not cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 I asked about this a few posts above, is this the same what ryan was referring to last night? I believe so. Info was sketchy at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Here's a couple of pics, only scrapes the surface of how bad it is. As soon as the pager stops, I'm gonna get a lot more pics. Cancel pics for now, not uploading, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Amazing how severe weather can change mindsets. Most of us cheer on severe snowstorms or thunderstorms and want to see something "spectacular" occur, but many times afterwards if it strikes and is disruptive we have a change of mind. I remember how "awesome" one of the blizzards was a few years back, til I lost power and the temperature in the house fell to 50 degrees. Not cool. Well we all want to see these events because they are so amazing to watch, but nobody wants to see the aftermath of it thats for sure. But I agree it really give you a jolt back to reality that storms this powerful ultimately are not good to watch in high population areas like ours. My mom is still shaken up from the 6/24/10 storms. Just have to hope for today, being a holiday weekend, that people keep an eye to the sky and be smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Amazing how severe weather can change mindsets. Most of us cheer on severe snowstorms or thunderstorms and want to see something "spectacular" occur, but many times afterwards if it strikes and is disruptive we have a change of mind. I remember how "awesome" one of the blizzards was a few years back, til I lost power and the temperature in the house fell to 50 degrees. Not cool. Never have been a fan of derechos...they suck...been through enough of them in the Midwest to know they mean serious business. If they were rolling over nothing but open country and disrupting empty wasteland of real estate they wouldn't be so bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 The house here in Sea Isle City was shaking in the wind . The main part of the storm was the wind and lightning but only .05" of rain. The wind was the story....highest gust was 52mph out of the SW on the weather station just after 1am - that is the highest gust I have recorded since it has been up and running since November. Paul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 for today, gotta watch development in south central pa. A pretty strong vorticity will be moving through from a pit to wilmington line. So i would say this will prob result in another tpk on south event. Thats where you can expect another line to develop. Not sure its going to be anything like yesterday and last night tho. Here are the h5 maps off the RAP showing this piece of vorticity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Not trying to stir the pot....but it just seem last night was poorly forcast....even dca did not pull the trigger on the storm until right before....i had no idea it was suppose to get that far north....from the looks at radar at 11pm, did not seem it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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