Avdave Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Anybody have a forecast for January 18 yet? The wife is due that day and I need to be prepared for the drive to the hospital in Arlington. Thanks. Ask master of disaster, he is awesome at long range forecasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Think we can wrap up this thread, Accuwx doubles down on cold and snowy winter: http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2012/0815/Snow-in-August-It-s-steamy-now-but-forecasters-see-a-big-winter-coming And, it looks as if the I-95-corridor cities from Washington to Boston will need to make sure the plows are gassed up and rock salt plentiful.“I think the East Coast is going to have some battles with some big storms,” says Paul Pastelok, Accu-Weather’s lead long-term forecaster in State College, Pa. Using this summer’s weather as a template, Pastelok looked for what happened in the winter in other years when a weak to moderate El Nino formed. He found a similar pattern in 2002/2003 and 1953/1954. Pastelok thinks the Southeast could actually get the worst of it this winter. He can envision flooding in the late fall followed by snow and ice this winter all the way down to the Gulf Coast. “Tallahassee could have some snow and ice issues this winter,” he forecasts. How much for Tallahassee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 WBALs radio station mentioned the accuweather forecast this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 WBALs radio station mentioned the accuweather forecast this morning Sad...... What's their opinion on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Sad...... What's their opinion on it? They didnt have one, it wasnt Tony or Tom, just a news anchor mentioning what the prediction said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 WBALs radio station mentioned the accuweather forecast this morning Everybody is.. people complain about Accu but fall into their trap by making this **** go viral across the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Everybody is.. people complain about Accu but fall into their trap by making this **** go viral across the country. Agreed, my husband sent me an email from work this morning from a coworker who had sent him the link to the article Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted August 16, 2012 Author Share Posted August 16, 2012 who knows if the Accuwx forecast ever pans out, but my inner most weenie would prefer seeing that forecast to keep hope alive vs. them coming out with the opposite forecast I guess I need more fantasy in my life when it comes to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 who knows if the Accuwx forecast ever pans out, but my inner most weenie would prefer seeing that forecast to keep hope alive vs. them coming out with the opposite forecast I guess I need more fantasy in my life when it comes to snow I think (almost) all of us want a good winter, but that doesn't mean that poorly done outlooks should be given airplay as if they have any credibility. It's good that CWG called them out, but like Ian said, it's people's fascination that keeps them going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 I think (almost) all of us want a good winter, but that doesn't mean that poorly done outlooks should be given airplay as if they have any credibility. It's good that CWG called them out, but like Ian said, it's people's fascination that keeps them going. My BFF sent me the CWG article instead of the Accuweather one, she knows better lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted August 16, 2012 Share Posted August 16, 2012 Think we can wrap up this thread, Accuwx doubles down on cold and snowy winter: http://www.csmonitor...g-winter-coming How much for Tallahassee? If it goes down like it did last year, more than BWI and DCA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Corrie Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 WTOP's headline calls for "Snowmageddon II" already....It's only August! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 WTOP's headline calls for "Snowmageddon II" already....It's only August! That's because BB is their winter forecaster, batten down those garbage covers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 WTOP's headline calls for "Snowmageddon II" already....It's only August! That is super irresponsible. I really hate the media when it comes to weather. Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Good thing CWG is there to squash the crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 WTOP's headline calls for "Snowmageddon II" already....It's only August! The ****?? That's not jumping the gun, that is full on Usain Bolt-ing the gun right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 "above normal" could literally be like 1 inch above normal. And yet...WTOP says they mean snowmageddon II...good gosh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Heard this on the radio this morning. To their credit, if someone bothered to keep listening for 10-15 minutes after they warned SNOWMAGEDDON!!@@!!!111!!!, they would have heard their local guy say the NAO has some input and "we won't know about that until late November". Which, if not technically true, is at least better than Accuwx... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 lolz I think I may ask about mid-December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I think I may ask about mid-December I originally posted that they forgot December but I deleted it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 lolz El Niño roolz! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 lolz https://www.facebook...65597919&type=1 Based on where the 6",12" and 24" contours cross his "above" and "much above" normal snowfall contours, it's pretty safe to say no knowledge of climatology was used when creating this product. Well, I'll generalize to say no knowledge at all was used. 6" is apparently more than 200% or more of our normal snowfall in January and February and 1-4" is 200% or more of our normal March snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Based on where the 6",12" and 24" contours cross his "above" and "much above" normal snowfall contours, it's pretty safe to say no knowledge of climatology was used when creating this product. Well, I'll generalize to say no knowledge at all was used. 6" is apparently more than 200% or more of our normal snowfall in January and February and 1-4" is 200% or more of our normal March snowfall. It's Friday, enough of your logic. Seriously, anyone have the 12/15 forecast? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Here is there Dec Forecast... I looked at the past results, last July Forecast sucked bad.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 DT is going off on them now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 DT is going off on them now He does have a lot of room to talk, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 That is super irresponsible. I really hate the media when it comes to weather. Good lord. I am not sure "irresponsible" is the right word. That implies folks are going to be negatively impacted if this forecast ends up being wrong. At worst some dude buys a snowblower he doesn't need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 I am not sure "irresponsible" is the right word. That implies folks are going to be negatively impacted if this forecast ends up being wrong. At worst some dude buys a snowblower he doesn't need. I see what you are saying - but in a day and age where the public is getting more and more "involved" and being armchair forecasters - it is setting an awful example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 17, 2012 Share Posted August 17, 2012 Lolz @ DT's comments. Can't let anyone else steal some attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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