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CFS Long Range (as in Winter)


mitchnick

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Accuwx predicts above-normal snowfall for the I-95 corridor? I'm absolutely stunned at this unprecedented turn of events...

Next you're going to tell me that JB is predicting above-normal snowfall for the I-95 corridor. Like THAT's ever happened before...
:lmao:
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Accuwx predicts above-normal snowfall for the I-95 corridor? I'm absolutely stunned at this unprecedented turn of events...

Next you're going to tell me that JB is predicting above-normal snowfall for the I-95 corridor. Like THAT's ever happened before...
:lmao:

Even a broken clock is right twice a day, they are bound to be right one of these winters if they call for above average every winter.

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Lundberg a few days ago was saying that he thought that this could resemble the winter of '76-'77. I only care about getting near normal snow for once.

Any year is technically up for grabs... 76-77 had a weak Nino (after coming out of a strong Nina) and -QBO that matches up with the forecast ENSO fairly well, but it will likely be the opposite in terms of the AMO and PDO this winter.

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all the times BWI has been screwed and PHL has cashed in over the years, it's hard to fathom that their average snowfall is only 2.6"/year higher than BWI (per their article)

I believe BWI is a better spot for CAD (someone correct me if I'm wrong), and DC/Balt specials aren't as rare as you think.

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I believe BWI is a better spot for CAD (someone correct me if I'm wrong), and DC/Balt specials aren't as rare as you think.

I can't recall a decent event (>4") at BWI that PHL missed outside of 1/30/10

they killed us in 00/01` (~12" vs. 30"+)

they killed us 12/25/10

and I can go on

but somehow, the numbers don't lie

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I can't recall a decent event (>4") at BWI that PHL missed outside of 1/30/10

they killed us in 00/01` (~12" vs. 30"+)

they killed us 12/25/10

and I can go on

but somehow, the numbers don't lie

What about January 25, 2000? Didn't DC/Baltimore do better than Philly?

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What about January 25, 2000? Didn't DC/Baltimore do better than Philly?

yeah, I believe we did better (I know BWI did), but that sort of proves my point that you have to go back 13 seasons to find 2 storms of note (1/25/00 & 1/30/10) that had PHL substantially less than BWI....but whatever, numbers don't lie

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yeah, I believe we did better (I know BWI did), but that sort of proves my point that you have to go back 13 seasons to find 2 storms of note (1/25/00 & 1/30/10) that had PHL substantially less than BWI....but whatever, numbers don't lie

I'd imagine there were some southern overrunning events or clippers that dropped down pretty far in which DC and Baltimore did a little better than Philly.

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yeah, I believe we did better (I know BWI did), but that sort of proves my point that you have to go back 13 seasons to find 2 storms of note (1/25/00 & 1/30/10) that had PHL substantially less than BWI....but whatever, numbers don't lie

11/11/87

1/26/87

Philly averages slightly more than BWI (though essentially the same) and given the relatively close proximity, they will have a high covariance....so its tough to find many storms where BWI did significantly better. Most of the time it will be small nickle and dime events where the differences play out.

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yeah, I believe we did better (I know BWI did), but that sort of proves my point that you have to go back 13 seasons to find 2 storms of note (1/25/00 & 1/30/10) that had PHL substantially less than BWI....but whatever, numbers don't lie

Can't argue with you there. I know it does suck considering how close we are to them relatively speaking. I remember being super frustrated during 01/22/2005, how they got around a foot and I was left with 4 inches just east of DC. But just gotta learn to appreciate whatever we can get.

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