SpartyOn Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 Let's talk drought in mid July during the annual death ridge. Beautiful out now. Summer is back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 72°F currently. Should be on our way to 80°F, assuming no crap disrupts our insolation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 Maybe an inch deficit over 60 days....hardly major We're on the far northern fringe of the drought but it could spread north over the summer. 60 day deficits in the -2 to -8 range are pretty widespread between the Gulf and Great Lakes. I think the dry soil is already impacting dewpoints over the corn belt. The models haven't been handling dewpoints well and keep overdoing the moisture return. Maximum to minimum temp spreads have been consistently bigger than normal over a big chunk of the lower 48 also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 I just am amazed by the complete lack of severe wx... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 On the drought note, this was updated this week: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 I just am amazed by the complete lack of severe wx... No kidding. The weather has been extremely pleasant for much of this spring into early summer, but man has it been boring. With every warm or cold front passage there has been either a lack of moisture, strong cap, or poor timing. It has been nice not having to worry about protecting plants during strong/severe storms, but I'd still like to see something at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 As far as severe weather goes, we have 3+ months of potential to go. The events may not be as extreme due to the weaker baroclinic zone and not-as-impressive temperature gradients, but for most of us east of the Mississippi and north of I-70, our highest frequency of severe weather isn't until the heart of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 With the quiet stretch for severe weather, I took a look at some Indiana data to see what happened tornadowise after the month of May in every year since 1950. Every year produced tornadoes after May and all but 1 produced tornadoes after June. Based on that it is overwhelmingly likely that there is more to come. How much remains to be seen...some years were very active after May and others were less active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 No kidding. The weather has been extremely pleasant for much of this spring into early summer, but man has it been boring. With every warm or cold front passage there has been either a lack of moisture, strong cap, or poor timing. It has been nice not having to worry about protecting plants during strong/severe storms, but I'd still like to see something at some point. The pattern has been pathetic. It just keeps going back and forth between two dry patterns. Pattern 1: Big heat dome over central US with the ring of fire confined to the far northern plains, southern Canada and New England. Pattern 2: Big upper trough over the eastern US ushering dry northwest flow with all the Gulf moisture confined to the high plains and southeast US. Neither one of these is a big rainmaker for the Midwest corn belt, Ohio Valley, or southern Great Lakes, except during the brief transition periods. The southern half of the Mississippi valley is now in moderate to severe drought as they have been baking more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 As far as severe weather goes, we have 3+ months of potential to go. The events may not be as extreme due to the weaker baroclinic zone and not-as-impressive temperature gradients, but for most of us east of the Mississippi and north of I-70, our highest frequency of severe weather isn't until the heart of summer. That is true. Some years have outbreaks in September or even early October as well. It's just that last year was pretty quiet that time of year compared to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 -5.8 through the first 6 days of the month. I went back and checked some stuff and the last time we opened a month this far below average at LAF was December 2010. That month went on to finish -5.2. If the extended forecast pans out, that anomaly will take a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 I hope the boys over at LOT cashed in a lot of PTO this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 Humidity is low, but I decided to kick in the AC anyways. Get a head start on the heat. Time of the year I wish I lived right next to l Michigan or Superior... nice free AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 Turtle- AC goes on tonite... South winds kick in today... Temps start inching toward 90F tomorrow through Sun.. Next chance of rain on Monday.. I guess i can skip mowing the lawn until then, since the ground is already rock hard again. Yup, today is a hot one by WI standards, up around 80 °F across the Madison area. Milwaukee is around 75 °F despite a lake breeze. Saving grace is dewpoints in the 40s, dry enough that we should cool off well into the 50s tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 In Ft Lauderdale, out of 365 days, how often does the AC run? I bet last summer I ran it a good 60 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 In Ft Lauderdale, out of 365 days, how often does the AC run? I bet last summer I ran it a good 60 days... Pretty much the inverse, probably ~300 days or more where you need the AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 It was nice here today. Got to 80 and thats the temp now just before 7pm. We've been lucky to have had nice amounts of rain lately so won't complain. It is interesting how lacking we've been with severe weather the last month or so. Maybe late Monday some big storms, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 7, 2012 Share Posted June 7, 2012 Really nice day again today, high 75°. Chilly again this morning, low 46°. Dewpoints have mostly been in the 40s all week, which is incredible for June! Have not been at 80° this month yet, and the AC has not been on since May 28th. It would be really nice to get into a basic thunderstorm pattern. It seems like the rainfall deficit is a couple inches here - I'm guessing since May 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 On the drought note, this was updated this week: A strip of moderate from LAF to FWA doesn't surprise me. However, I am a little surprised that things are as dry as they down Beau's way (PAH). What difference a year makes. I caught 10.17" in my gauge in May 2011 and only an inch this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Wow, just saw the 12z euro. Geez, that is definitely something. It's crazy how all of the storminess is pushed up into the Artic Circle and just stays there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 A strip of moderate from LAF to FWA doesn't surprise me. However, I am a little surprised that things are as dry as they down Beau's way (PAH). What difference a year makes. I caught 10.17" in my gauge in May 2011 and only an inch this year. I wouldn't be surprised to see the D1 areas spread out on the next update. My backyard pond has shrunk by 75% in the last 3 weeks. Last May I had 4.47", this year 2.98". 58°/44° currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Nice and warm here today, but the lack of humidity made it feel pretty pleasant. Hit 84. This is the time of the year when we start to get into the long stretches of high humidity. Haven't had a dew hit 70 yet this year (IIRC) so it's gonna feel pretty mucky when it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Nice and warm here today, but the lack of humidity made it feel pretty pleasant. Hit 84. This is the time of the year when we start to get into the long stretches of high humidity. Haven't had a dew hit 70 yet this year (IIRC) so it's gonna feel pretty mucky when it happens. I was just thinking, there has been no appreciable heat index values this year yet! The corn crop that helps raise the dewpoints, will likely struggle if we don't get rain - therefore the dewpoints may stay lower for the foreseeable future. Could be a double hit on the agricultural business in the region if we don't get rain... first was killing freezes, now it doesn't want to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 I was just thinking, there has been no appreciable heat index values this year yet! The corn crop that helps raise the dewpoints, will likely struggle if we don't get rain - therefore the dewpoints may stay lower for the foreseeable future. Could be a double hit on the agricultural business in the region if we don't get rain... first was killing freezes, now it doesn't want to rain. usually the worst of the dews are in mid July through august around here it seems. We get good heat in without high dews for the most part anyways. The less soupy the air the easier it is to warm and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Temps really stayed up last night, even with dewpoints in the upper 50Fs... Looks like the low was 65F. Some hot days ahead ...showing 93F tomorrow. Some rainfall records for summer in La Crosse Wettest Driest 1) 20.93 1010 1) 3.01 1894 2) 20.32 2007 2) 4.51 1976 3) 19.88 1993 3) 4.96 1887 4) 19.82 1981 4) 5.93 1921 5) 19.38 1899 5) 5.99 1948 6) 17.89 1953 6) 6.15 1982 7) 17.87 1952 7) 6.30 2003 8) 17.39 1978 8) 6.39 1910 9) 17.23 1924 9) 6.47 1961 10) 17.21 1998 10) 6.80 1893 Avg is 11.60 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Maybe an inch deficit over 60 days....hardly major Feels like i'm watering the grass/plants/flowers every day. Guess I'm wrong. Didn't look at any stats before I made the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Wow, just saw the 12z euro. Geez, that is definitely something. It's crazy how all of the storminess is pushed up into the Artic Circle and just stays there Depressingly boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 I've been watering daily. Now I wish I had my washing machine (that seems to run daily) hooked up so I could use that in my flower bed. Lot of wasted water. I'm on a well, so water is "free", but I still like to conserve if i can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Well, at least the 12z GFS is a "drought buster" for many north of the Milwaukee/Chicago corridor (problem is, much of that area is not in much of a drought, it's the areas south of this corridor that are). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 Since in most cases this year the best shear has been displaced just behind the cold fronts, tornado episodes and outbreaks have been hard to come by. However, it's not like there has been no severe weather, although it has been farther north than one would expect for late spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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