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June 2012 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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Next month this time the avg high temp will be commencing its way down :) To bad it looks like my call for this summer to not be like the last two torches is going up in flames :( Not liking my early gut feelings for this winter but there's plenty of time for things to shuffle up.

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some 30's in northern wi, nice.

euro is just silly hot down south.. good timing for those down south coming to wi for the holiday.

If the Euro verifies verbatim, it will still be pretty hot from Wednesday and beyond in Wisconsin unless you are up near the UP.

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Today and tomorrow look nice, before the bottom drops out. Playing golf today and probably tomorrow. After that, maybe I can get the sticks out again in September...or October. If there's any grass left at that point. Going to be another brutal summer for my industry (re: course conditions and people don't play in "extreme" heat). :( Not that it trumps ag concerns, because it doesn't, but still...

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Going to be pulling for the cold front to deliver thurs night...forcing/shear looks terrible but instability will be ample...hopefully something can get take advantage.

Instability is being over forecasted right now, the dewpoints wont be in the mid 70s.

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obviously

The point is that the instability won't be ample then, which means you can probably write this front off like the last one, even at that you aren't going to break the cap with 850mb temps at around 25-28c and 700 temps around 15-18c

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It's very out of your character to actually make a hard call like that...I'd probably lean towards another dry passage as well

Ok... not that hard of a call, tbh. I mean we aren't going to get mid 70 dews up here any time soon unless we get some rain soon, plus that cap is going to be impossible to bust anyways even if we had high dews.

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Ok... not that hard of a call, tbh. I mean we aren't going to get mid 70 dews up here any time soon unless we get some rain soon, plus that cap is going to be impossible to bust anyways even if we had high dews.

It's just not your style...I like the hard call though. Mid 70s dews aren't happening...with a particular lol @ the GFS pwats

DVN does drop this weenie nugget...so they're at least buying that some moisture pooling is possible.

WITH THE FRONT MOST LIKELY SOMEWHERE IN THE AREA THU NIGHT...CHANCE

POPS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE KEPT IN PLACE. WITH VERY HIGH PW...HEAVY

RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP AND SET UP

IN A TRAINING FASHION.

EDIT: to be clear, by hard I meant firm and without wiggle room as opposed to hedging with words like slight/long shot

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Presently 68 here in Saginaw, MI windy but lots of sun. I can hardly remember the last severe weather watch we've had. :-(

I haven't even had a severe t'storm yet this season, forget a watch.

The worst I've seen was those line of showers (yes, showers) that produced ~50 MPH winds.

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It's just not your style...I like the hard call though. Mid 70s dews aren't happening...with a particular lol @ the GFS pwats

DVN does drop this weenie nugget...so they're at least buying that some moisture pooling is possible.

EDIT: to be clear, by hard I meant firm and without wiggle room as opposed to hedging with words like slight/long shot

DVN is about the only office to be biting onto the GFS and it will burn them. Sure there could be some moisture pooling along the front but I am thinking more along the lines of 67-70 vs 74-77.

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I haven't even had a severe t'storm yet this season, forget a watch.

The worst I've seen was those line of showers (yes, showers) that produced ~50 MPH winds.

Wayne County had 2 verified Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in the last 7 days...

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Wayne County had 2 verified Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in the last 15 days...

Wayne County's a big county in area, and a STW is not an official severe t'storm observation.

It would be more accurate to say the ARB-DTW corridor and southward has seen two verified severe t'storms in the last 15 days.

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Wayne County's a big county in area, and a STW is not an official severe t'storm observation.

It would be more accurate to say the ARB-DTW corridor and southwards has seen two verified severe t'storms in the last 15 days.

The airport officially observed one of them as it had a gust to 59mph measured by ASOS, the other was close by in Lincoln Park with tree damage. Or are we basing this solely upon your backyard, because that is what verifies warnings right?

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The airport officially observed one of them as it had a gust to 59mph measured by ASOS, the other was close by in Lincoln Park with tree damage. Or are we basing this solely upon your backyard, because that is what verifies warnings right?

*I* live 25 miles northeast of the Airport, in Detroit which is where my location says I'm at (not at Metro Airport or any other suburb).

In my post, I specifically said *I* haven't seen a severe t'storm this season, simply stating an objective fact (regardless if anyone cares).

If you stop talking so much and stop thinking you know everything then take the time to read for context what someone posts then there would be no need for you to respond to them at all and waste their time.

Now have a good day.

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*I* live 25 miles northeast of th Airport, in Detroit which is where my location says I'm at (not at Metro Airport or any other suburb).

In my post, I specifically said *I* haven't seen a severe t'storm this season, simply stating an objective fact (regardless if anyone cares).

If you stop talking so much and stop thinking you know everything then take the time to read for context what someone posts then there would be no need for you to respond to them at all and waste their time.

Now have a good day.

LOL ok you live like maybe 3-5 miles from me and I have experienced 2 storms with winds around 60. I guess you just are unlucky.

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I'd say it's very possible he hasn't seen one given how hit or miss severe weather can be.

especially this season so far.

I'll probably see at least one eventually though, with 3+ months of the severe weather s3ason to go.

But I don't really care how many ST Watches/Warnings are issued, likewise with the outlooks. They don't make or break anything for me as long as severe weather actually happens. For example, the Dexter tornado didn't even have a tornado watch/warning until it touchd down. Likewise, there have been several times where a tornado watch/warning was issued and nothing came of it.

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