hm8 Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 The rain you got Tuesday wouldn't have been included in this update. They compile data for 2 days and release the update on Thursday morning. Only 12% of the normal June rainfall has fell here (KUGN). Good point, forgot about that. Though we got some rain on father's day as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 70Fs and low humidity today...bliss... some clouds now and then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 I can't wait for the fropa. The past few days have been pretty miserable. I'm hoping for some rain, cells are now popping east and north of FNT and some cells are popping in NE IN which just might get here. But I wouldn't be shocked if there is a dry passage. The other night I was outside when the radar showed us under a decent size area of dark green, and I didn't as much as feel a sprinkle. It all just evaporated on the way down. Weather radio just went off for a SVR warning for Huron county, but if it's the cell I think it is, it's mostly over Saginaw Bay anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 wind shift, DPs dropping...just enough rain to soak the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 OOOH! There's a little cell initiated just southwest of here which popped pretty good in the last three frames! Must go do rain dance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Not looking that promising to the west, we've played this story before.. But a few drops would be better than nothing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Not looking that promising to the west, we've played this story before.. But a few drops would be better than nothing.. Yeah... cell started weakening at the county line.... probably be virga by the time it gets here. Stupid cell anyways! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 A few good cells have exploded to my NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Just got a big time sprinkle. It had no impact on the temperature or cloud cover though. City Airport is at 93*F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 GFS and euro continue to battle out a multitude of solutions for next week. One thing is almost certain though. Looks like an eastern trough that brings dry NW and NE flows for the most of us. Temps hang on to normal values until about mon-wed when we all crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Models struggle far worse in the summer than winter with the 500mb pattern, especially after by 5 days and becomes useless by truncation. The winter, you can get a whiff at least. Indeed it seems. Can't help but notice the intense heat/ridge advecting in behind the ULL next week. It goes way into Canada and up. Also the lack of cold 850 anomalies in the arctic. Makes you wonder if the guidance is overdoing the "chill". The source region is running a tad warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 70Fs and low humidity today...bliss... some clouds now and then. 80/55 in Madison, far superior weather to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 GRRR! I just made a quick dash into the store for some peppers. It rained really nice... for about 25 seconds, just enough to make me sticky and have to test the wipers. A half mile south and east, it was coming down hard..The pavement had already dried by the time I got back out to the van. There are still a few random cells popping in front of "the line" and I'm hoping we at least get some rain from them. Best cell out of those got to Coldwater and decided to split off and go due east. A couple more near Jackson, which will likely go through Oakland/Lapeer counties if they make it that far. The "line" itself appears to be pretty unremarkable ATM and will probably follow the protocol of dissolving at the county line or dropping just enough rain to make the grass mad. At least the temps look to be pleasant behind the fropa... mid to upper 70's sure beats mid to upper 90's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 The 8-10 day 500 mb mean both flatten out on the GFS and Euro...really hoping we see a pattern shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 The 8-10 day 500 mb mean both flatten out on the GFS and Euro...really hoping we see a pattern shift. Getting the severe weather/rain engine fired up would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Had a nice soaking this morning, ended up with 0.01 of rain.... Anyways its 79 beautiful degrees right now Finally looks like a weekend that wont be scorching hot, about time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Getting the severe weather/rain engine fired up would be nice. I'd be happy with rain! Last time I hoped for the severe stuff, we got a flood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Looks like there's a severe t'storm warning in Washtenaw county in MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Well it looks like we might just get a little bit of rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 It doesn't appear we'll progress past sprinkles here. Points east, north and south will likely get some rain/storms though. AT least I won't have to worry about cutting the lawn for a while yet... it's already been a week since we cut it and it's just stayed dormant. Looks like my last hope is the heavier rain area from around Lansing to K-zoo will get here without disintegrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Actually, the more I look at the setup around the time of the tropical system, the more I don't like it. Seems like there are 2 likely possibilities: 1) it gets picked up by the east coast trough or 2) it misses that trough and moves westward in the Gulf under the ridge and just keeps barreling west. There would have to be some unlikely thread the needle scenario to affect the OV but it's hard to envision. 12Z Euro brings the bugger into SE Texas.. If a trough from out west would come in on time we'd be in business... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 12Z Euro brings the bugger into SE Texas.. If a trough from out west can come in on time we'd be in business... Yeah, it misses the EC trough on this run. That ridge is going to be a problem though if it builds in as currently shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 I'm done with this crap. I'm going to either get split (in every direction) or have to contend with a weakening cell. At least we were able to mark down our first official heat wave of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Yeah, it misses the EC trough on this run. That ridge is going to be a problem though if it builds in as currently shown. Yep. Still wayyy out in the extended so just a rough guess/crapshoot at this point as to the players. Could definitely get picked by the EC trough too. Still this will be fun to watch unfold regardless of wherever it goes and should provide something weather worthy to track in this long boring stretch we have had... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 86 with lots of sun and much lower humidity today. Front was perfectly timed to bring us zero rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Had a trace of rain today, some sun rose the temp up to 81° later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Nice shot of rain here. Curious to see what the airport reports...looks like the heaviest may have just missed if radar estimated totals are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Good to see parts of Indiana getting some decent rains. Pattern looks terrible for anything exciting over the next 7-10 days. However, it looks fantastic for outdoor activities. Hopefully something interesting happens in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 Nice shot of rain here. Curious to see what the airport reports...looks like the heaviest may have just missed if radar estimated totals are correct. 0.08" in the past hour...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 21, 2012 Share Posted June 21, 2012 0.08" in the past hour...lol Heh, feast or famine. Poured buckets on my side of town. Have to think a good 0.50" or maybe a bit more fell. Much appreciated rainfall. Nowhere near enough, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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