BowMeHunter Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 How does one get excited for DRY!!!! Lunatic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 I guess if you lived in the rain forest you'd like to be dry once in awhile lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Its neat seeing a heat wave smack dab in the middle of a -NAO. I guess it goes to show that conventional wisdom about the NAO is sometimes not always correct. The teleconnections can be such a pain to forecast by it appears. Even the MJO looks to be a major hassle from time to time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 No way, no how do I want to see a dry July! That's not very exciting! 0z EURO showing the same NW flow along with thunderstorms this weekend - includes all of northern IL, NW IN, E IA this run. NE winds down the lake Saturday - 180 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Its neat seeing a heat wave smack dab in the middle of a -NAO. I guess it goes to show that conventional wisdom about the NAO is sometimes not always correct. The teleconnections can be such a pain to forecast by it appears. Even the MJO looks to be a major hassle from time to time. I'm pretty sure that the NAO temperature correlation drops in summer, which would mean that a -NAO at this time of year is not as likely to produce below average temps as compared to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 12z GFS = seasonal trends locked and loaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 12z GFS = seasonal trends locked and loaded Indeed. What a crazy run given the over amped ULL and it's placement. The models have been in an up roar about this feature for a few days now. Neat to see happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 12z GFS = seasonal trends locked and loaded GFS long runs are flip flopping on the rain amounts for the area. 6z was generous with rain this far south, 12z, not so much. Skilling knocked a few more degrees off temperatures after Thursday. Through yesterday at +1.1° for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 GFS long runs are flip flopping on the rain amounts for the area. 6z was generous with rain this far south, 12z, not so much. Through yesterday at +1.1° for the month. i see no sign of a flip to a wet pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 93 °F, could fry a burger on the hood of my car probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 93 °F, could fry a burger on the hood of my car probably. Turtle welcome to the lakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Partly cloudy here at 93°. Just looked and noticed the lakefront is cooler up this way. 68° at Carthage College in Kenosha, and 72° at Waukegan Harbor! Mid to Upper 80s in Racine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 euro with only .10/.25" the entire run here. June can't end fast enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Wow. Both the GFS and Euro are absurd with the Low pressure system for next week. 850s that test the low single digits and a retrograding of the SLP into Ontario. What month is this and who has the lithium to treat this bi-polar weather. Odds of full verification here are slim but entertaining. DTX poked fun at the ECMWF and it's mid 60s for next week. Good on them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 it's so hot, I saw squirrels fanning their nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Cromartie's Davis will show 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Lock that in through late Aug... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 A cold front down to Cuba. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Cromartie's Davis will show 88 Good luck on verifying that. Sent from my iPad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeauDodson Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Popping in - Things are horrid here - we desperately need rain. Our region is 10-16" below normal for the year. Farmers are feeling the pain - dry dry dry - warm warm warm. Not a good situation. The 6-10 and 8-14 day outlook provides little hope. We need a tropical system to move up from the Gulf of Mexico and bring our region a soaking rain. I have heard several people tossing around the 1988 comparison. The 1988 drought was the worst drought I have experienced in this region. The fields turned to a fine baby powder dust. Never seen anything like it before or since. Last year at this time we were flooded. Now - can't buy rain. Maps http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/maps/climate/drought/palmerindex/us.html http://weather.weatherobservatory.com/maps/climate/outlooks/610day/temperature/us.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 Thursday and onwards looks really comfortable, only one more day in the furnace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 it's so hot, I saw squirrels fanning their nuts. An automatic nut fan for humans may either be a really good idea or a real bad one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 It had been looking like the fropa timing would be ideal for eastern Iowa, but the models have been gradually slowing it down. Now it appears the northwest half of Iowa will have the best timing and the storms may be in weakening mode as they move through eastern Iowa. At least we should get something out of it. Locations east of the river may not get much. A few days ago the timing looked perfect for eastern Iowa. As you said not so anymore. DVN definitely isn't too excited about it lol.... ...IT SURE DOES NOT LOOK IDEAL FOR STRONGER STORMS AND AGAIN MOST OF THE CWA WILL PROBABLY EXPERIENCE A WEAKENING LINE OF FRONTALLY SCOOPED SHOWERS AND STORMS THE GET SHUNTED BACK POST-FRONTALLY AS THE CAP ERODES FROM WEST-TO- EAST. ALTHOUGH SOME DECENT PW/S OF 1.2 UP TO 1.5 INCHES IN AN AIRMASS THAT GETS DRAWN UP PRE-FRONTALLY WED EVENING...BULK OF THE CWA WILL GET LESS THAN A HALF INCH OF RAINFALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 June precipitation and departures in Indiana (through June 19th) Bloomington: 0.20" (-2.83") Evansville: 0.15" (-2.39") Fort Wayne: 0.06" (-2.71") Indianapolis: 0.05" (-2.62") Lafayette: 0.22" (-2.40") Muncie: 0.69" (-2.29") Shelbyville: 0.05" (-2.83") South Bend: 0.49" (-1.98") Terre Haute: 0.23" (-2.80") Year to date precipitation and departures in Indiana (thru June 19th) Bloomington: 11.95" (-10.97") Evansville: 11.53" (-11.25") Fort Wayne: 10.41" (-7.16") Indianapolis: 15.11" (-4.96") Lafayette: 10.97" (-5.67") Muncie: 12.93" (-5.62") Shelbyville: 13.10" (-7.56") South Bend: 11.79" (-4.40") Terre Haute: 12.53" (-8.94") Driest Junes on record Evansville: 0.38" in 1933 Fort Wayne: 0.28" in 1910 Indianapolis: 0.36" in 1988 South Bend: 0.48" in 1988 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 19, 2012 Share Posted June 19, 2012 No 70° quite yet, but an area of the lake around 68-69°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 Still 91/66 right now at KDTW, going to take a while to cool off tonight I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 **Only** hit 92F here today...not sure what happened, but not the 96F they were advertising... Going to be a warm nite, but this heat wave is about done... nevermind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 2.2" rain here in the last 5 hours, 3.7" since Saturday and the rain is starting again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 20, 2012 Share Posted June 20, 2012 **Only** hit 92F here today...not sure what happened, but not the 96F they were advertising... Going to be a warm nite, but this heat wave is about done... nevermind Yeah one more day! Forecast here has been too high consistently since last Friday, except Sunday. Saying 94° tomorrow, probably be more like 92°. +1.5° for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 20, 2012 Author Share Posted June 20, 2012 No 70° quite yet, but an area of the lake around 68-69°. Cook Co beaches have hit 70+ several times already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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