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June 2012 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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NW flow? I'll take it :thumbsup:

And besides Geos and I were talking about today's 12Z run which wasn't taken into account when that Disc you posted came out..

Anyways its still 6-7 days out so I wouldn't be shocked if we were baking in the 90's next weekend either..

Tom Skilling:

"Despite break in heat later this week, above normal temps predicted overall next 15 days: Days 1-5: +7.5-degrees; Days 6-10: +1.4-deg and Days 11-15: +2.1-deg."

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Tom Skilling:

"Despite break in heat later this week, above normal temps predicted overall next 15 days: Days 1-5: +7.5-degrees; Days 6-10: +1.4-deg and Days 11-15: +2.1-deg."

The difference between here and Chicago this month has been significant so far. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few below normal days coming. NW flow thunderstorms would be nice.

.LONG TERM...

.FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.

ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY THE 12Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT

IN BRINGING A WEAK SHORTWAVE INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY

FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION SATURDAY.

WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS WISCONSIN A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES

ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY...WITH HE MAIN LOW MOVING ACROSS IOWA

AND INTO ILLINOIS. BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF BRING A MODERATE

TO HEAVY RAIN EVENT MAINLY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

CPC has been advertizing the shift of the ridge to the west. The shift will allow the jet stream to shift the storm track further south. Gotta watch the MJO, it is moving into its cooler phases again.

Down to 86° under cloudy conditions.

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I can't believe the swamp pu$$ies on this forum really in fact get out and enjoy this weather without chilling in a chemical bath pool or at the beach. Thankfully only 2 more days of this and a bonus the days start getting shorter, too when the heat leaves for a nice stretch.

About to have an evening grillout on the shore of Mendota while burning some trees down. Good weather in the evening at least.

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Lightning from the storms to the north is vivid enough I can see it from 50 miles away.

Storms just kind of sitting there.

Still 82° out! Smells kinda funky outside when its this warm at night, lol!

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Ran to the gas station a bit earlier and was surprised at how humid it felt. Hadn't looked at the weather station in awhile, so when I came back and looked at it I was expecting a dewpoint somewhere in the low 70s....but it was only 66 lol. The overall lack of humidity this season so far makes even these dewpoints feel muggy. Eventually we'll get some 75+ dews in here and it will feel unbearable after the way it's been so far this season.

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12z Euro/00z GFS are trying to build Torchageddon eastward into the OV around midweek next week. Wonder if the 00z Euro will follow up.

Complete 180 from 12z runs, went even cooler. Run to run continuity is definitely not there with the Euro.

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I know that this is irrelevant to most posters here (MI & WI), but the drought continues for northern IN. Hopes for some rain with the frontal passage Thursday is diminishing. As Aerosmith says, "It's the same ol' story, same old song and dance."

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY... FORECAST PERIOD TO BEGIN

WITH SFC COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA. SFC AND UPPER LOW ONCE

AGAIN DETACHED WELL TO THE NORTH OF THIS FEATURE AND WILL RESULT

IN LIMITED FORCING AND MASS CONVERGENCE ALONG WHATS SURE TO BE A

MOISTURE DEFICIENT FROPA.

Meanwhile, burn bans are becoming more prevalent. Fireworks retailers are not happy. Hopefully, the Euro verifies going into next week with the ridge retrograding and putting this area into the ring of fire bullseye. In the meantime, I will be happy to see 70's and 80's with no rain rather than mid 90's with no rain.

burn-ban-map.png?_AVOID_CACHE_=1340074302219

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looks like another poorly timed frontal passage is on tap for Wed night.

It had been looking like the fropa timing would be ideal for eastern Iowa, but the models have been gradually slowing it down. Now it appears the northwest half of Iowa will have the best timing and the storms may be in weakening mode as they move through eastern Iowa. At least we should get something out of it. Locations east of the river may not get much.

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Seasons official have switched. When it was winter, it basically felt like spring, in spring it was like summer, now summer approaching (official) cooler temps are on the way.fall is knockin on the door :D..So in fall, winter should arrive. haha

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