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June 2012 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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Outside of ragweed season, which absolutely makes me feel miserable, it is the mold spores that get to me. Days in which the count is high or very high - usually over 30,000 affects my allergies. Not many mold spores in this dry regime we have. The warmer it is with wet conditions brings on the mold spore allergies for me... allergies don't crop up for me often during cool and wet for some reason.

About 65° right now with light southeast winds.

@ DLL: Looks like you'll be in the rain awhile! :maprain:

... I tell you, the 4km nested run of the NAM did not handle the rain very good north of I-80!

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I only had allergies (ragweed) for a 3-4 year stretch about when I was around 20 years old. Oddly it went away and I don't have any at all anymore. Kind of weird, but it's almost like my body built up a resistance to it or something.

They never went away for me. The symptoms merely changed with age. As a child my eyes would itch like crazy and my nose would run like a faucet. Now I just get those obnoxious itchy lumps on the roof of my mouth. It's the worst on windy days. Nothing else really bothers me like ragweed though.

I also sometimes get a pretty bad allergic reaction in my mouth to fresh cantaloupe, but only if I eat it. It's weird though as it's only the fresh local grown kind that does it.

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If it doesn't rain, which is a somewhat sizable assumption, I buy into that forecast. Also, debris cloudiness from MCSs elsewhere cannot interfere with insolation, either. We'll see.

He (Skilling) did say debris clouds could interfere with temperatures, especially for Sunday.

Probably get to 84° or so here tomorrow.

Quote from Skilling's blog:

String of seven 90-degree days not out of the question--the longest here in a June in 7 years

Friday's predicted low 90s appear just the beginning. Barring any, as yet unforeseen meteorological developments, such as the arrival of a cooling thunderstorm outflow in the days ahead, Chicago could tack another seven consecutive 90-degree or higher readings onto its already impressive tally of 90s. In other words, the string of 90s with the developing hot spell could continue through next Thursday before the heat breaks. That would make this the longest series of back-to-back June 90s in Chicago in the 7 years since 2005.

0z GFS - 72 hour rainfall. 3.5"-4.0" for La Crosse!

GFS_3_2012061500_F72_PCPIN_72_HR.png

Quote regarding crops and the needed rainfall:

The nation's Heartland is headed into a period of moisture "feast or famine" over the coming week.

Repetitive and potentially flooding thunderstorm downpours may, with some regularity, impact a corridor of the western and northern Midwest from Omaha to Minneapolis, Duluth and Marquette, Michigan over the next 5 days. At the same time just several hundred miles away, the increasingly worrisome lack of regular rainfall and growing moisture deficits this situation has produced, will continue to stress crops and other vegetation from Chicago east and south.

The most immediate chance that at least scattered thunderstorms may reach the Chicago area, comes Saturday night and early Sunday when a disturbance aloft taps the region's rising humidities to generate several thunderstorm clusters.

At this point, the miniscule 0.01" of rain on the books thus far this June is less than 1 percent of the precipitation which generally falls the first half of the month.

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Lake temps are about to take another jump...liking chances of another august with low 80s temps

I have yet to see a 80° water temperature observation for Lake Michigan! 78° is the highest I've ever seen.

...

Low of 53° last night. Got some debris clouds moving into this area as well.

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I have yet to see a 80° water temperature observation for Lake Michigan! 78° is the highest I've ever seen.

...

Low of 53° last night. Got some debris clouds moving into this area as well.

pretty sure it happened the year before last. 65 right now and will make a run for 70 by late next week which leaves close to two months of warming to go.

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As far as water temperatures, I look at the readings from GLERL. I know the shallow areas next to the beach can reach 80°+, but that's kind of a false representation of the water temperature.

mswt-00.gif

Wish the 0.50"+ rains would shift west off of the lake. The fish don't need the rain!

GFS_3_2012061506_F72_PCPIN_72_HR.png

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Up to 84°, with the lake breeze starting its push inland. 75° downtown Waukegan at this hour.

Skilling thinks Sunday will be a bit cooler with debris clouds and/or a good chance of rain in the morning.

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Up to 84°, with the lake breeze starting its push inland. 75° downtown Waukegan at this hour.

Skilling thinks Sunday will be a bit cooler with debris clouds and/or a good chance of rain in the morning.

Both the local Skyvision Plus model (used for our Fox affiliate) and the LSX WRF indicate stormy chances late tomorrow, and even some CAPE in the case of the LSX WRF, though very little shear.

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