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June 2012 General Discussion


Chicago Storm

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WHAT COULD BE MORE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST IS

TEMPERATURES. WITH THE AREA NOW STRONGLY FORECAST TO BE UNDER

RIDGING...AND IN BROAD BREEZY SOUTHERLY FLOW...WE COULD BE DEALING

WITH ANOTHER LONG STRETCH OF 80S AND PERHAPS 90S. NEW ECMWF REALLY

CAME IN WARM...WITH 850MB TEMPS FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY HOVERING

AROUND 20C OR SO...RESULTING IN HIGHS OF 90-95. HAVE BOOSTED

TEMPERATURES UP ABOVE THE CONSENSUS AND THESE MAY STILL BE TOO

COOL.

La Crosse says my weekend may be spent at the swimming pool.

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What a waste of what could of been today without the clouds around here, nice s/w moving east across IA with associated 50kt+ jet streak and good moisture/instability to work with as well as the front. It will be interesting to see if anything can fire on it later.

There has been a bit of sun -- in fact, it was quite sunny for a little while around 1 PM -- but I don't think it's going to be sufficient though the temperature is around 87 now, with a dewpoint hovering around 67 or 68. But, it's looking increasingly like a waste of a mix of otherwise good ingredients. That's a shame since the next veritable chance of rain looks to be early next week. Drought seems imminent; there's only been 1.23" of rain here in the last five weeks, most of it during the 31 May event.

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