Hoosier Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 RAP shows widespread 100s across eastern MO/western IL tomorrow, with widespread mid-upper 90s across the rest of IL (except far northern IL). That thing is on crack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 That thing is on crack. FWIW, it was the only model that had a clue on temps up here and in NW Ohio/Indiana today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UW-weather Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Sunday will be a very warm day for many, likely the warmest of the year. Highs will be in the mid 90s throughout much of the midwest (see map). The warm up is due to a weakening storm system that will eventually become occluded on Sunday. As noted in the map on the left, there will be a very sharp cut off from the hot weather, to the comfortable temps in the 70s. It depends on where this front sets up during the afternoon on sunday as to who will be in the 90s and who will not. For more click here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Looks like another heavy rain threat along US 20 tonight. That area was added to D0 on this weeks drought monitor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 FWIW, it was the only model that had a clue on temps up here and in NW Ohio/Indiana today. Maybe so but it seems too aggressive with surface temps given the airmass aloft. I would shave a few degrees where it's showing 100's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 That area was added to D0 on this weeks drought monitor. Yeah, it was about time for D0 around here. Ground has cracks in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 FWA dropped more than I thought, but still tied: RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 125 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TIED AT FORT WAYNE... A RECORD WARM MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 69 DEGREES WAS TIED AT FORT WAYNE YESTERDAY. IN OTHER WORDS...THE 69 DEGREE READING TIED FOR THE WARMEST LOW TEMPERATURE FOR THIS DATE. THE EARLIER RECORD WAS ESTABLISHED IN 1918. Today's point is 93°, while the record is 95° (1911), probably safe unless we overperform like yesterday. Tomorrow's point is now 97° for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Meanwhile, on this date in 1961, South Bend reported snow flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 a lot of the far northern tier of Illinois got a bunch of rain this boring with more on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 MAY SEE SOME AREAS IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE LAKESHORE GET SOME RELIEF FROM THE HEAT SUNDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Seriously, has like 10 sprinkles here.. looks good on radar, but not a lot of rainfall at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Aahaha oh jeez. RUC going ham tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Point forecast dropped 1° ~ 94°. I think a lake breeze might be possible tomorrow, early before S winds ramp up. Edit: Milwaukee has some new thoughts on tomorrow temperatures. 000 FXUS63 KMKX 262026 AFDMKX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 326 PM CDT SAT MAY 26 2012 .SHORT TERM... TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX CURRENTLY OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. BIGGEST QUESTION IS HOW FAR SOUTH THE COMPLEX GOES...AS IT HAS SLOWLY INCHED SOUTHWARD...BUT GENERALLY MAINTAINED EASTWARD PROGRESSION. BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP LOOKS TO BE MAINLY NORTH OF A LONE ROCK TO MILWAUKEE LINE...THOUGH IT COULD DIP A BIT FARTHER SOUTH. LOOKS FAIRLY QUIET FOR LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...BUT CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE SURFACE WARM FRONT FINALLY MAKES IT NORTH OF THE AREA BY EARLY OR MID SUNDAY MORNING. AFTER THE FRONT GETS THROUGH...SKIES WILL TURN MOSTLY SUNNY BY AFTERNOON. LOOKS HOT WITH RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE SUNDAY...WITH BIGGEST ISSUE WHETHER THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE LAKE BREEZE OFFSHORE. MAY TAKE A WHILE FOR TEMPS TO GET INTO THE 90S FROM MILWAUKEE SOUTHWARD...BUT DO THINK WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO EVENTUALLY PUSH THE HOT AIR TO THE LAKE. NORTH OF THERE...WENT A BIT COOLER NEAR THE LAKE DUE TO LOWER CONFIDENCE IN LAKE BREEZE GETTING PUSHED OFFSHORE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Point forecast dropped 1° ~ 94°. I think a lake breeze might be possible tomorrow, early before S winds ramp up. Point here got dropped back to 94 too. Not sure exactly why that was but I think we'll end up somewhere in the 94-96 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 I wouldn't be shocked if some isolated station hits 100 tomorrow but wouldn't expect it to be anything like the RUC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 I wouldn't be shocked if some isolated station hits 100 tomorrow but wouldn't expect it to be anything like the RUC. Wonder why they're even still running the RUC. Is there a 24-hour version of the RAP (like there is for the RUC) somewhere out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 It looks like no records set or tied for FWA today. Highest hourly temp was 91°, with the record for the date being 93° (1911). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 The past few runs of the NAM/GFS have been showing some precip around here tomorrow morning/early afternoon, which knocks a few degrees high temps. The ECMWF does not show this. Given the horrible performance the past 24hrs, i'll believe it when I see it (precip). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Looks like the RAP took some of whatever the RUC was smoking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Looks like the RAP took some of whatever the RUC was smoking... Is that 100-105° over IL!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 The RR is once again showing an area of 100+ 2M temps on Sun. Unlike last nights runs that showed widespread 100's for Sat across MO/IL with high DP's and unfavorable thermal profiles, the runs tonight mix out DP's and have better thermal profiles. (Pocket of 22-25C at 850mb in the 100F+ 2M temp area) FWIW...An area of SE. Missouri in the Rolla area did see temps around 100 today. RR meso-analysis had 850mb temps around 22C and decent mixing in this area. Once again a case of "I'll believe it when I see it". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 While the RR is scorching IL...it develops some showers in the morning for SEMI, the result being most of SEMI barely edging to 90* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 The past few runs of the NAM/GFS have been showing some precip around here tomorrow morning/early afternoon, which knocks a few degrees high temps. The ECMWF does not show this. Given the horrible performance the past 24hrs, i'll believe it when I see it (precip). I wouldn't hold my breathe. I see what you mean though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Whil the RR is scorching IL...it develops some showers in the morning for SEMI, the result being most of SEMI barely edging to 90* So far, the RR way off. It looks like we're going to get some hazy sunshine, at least to start off. We'll have to watch out for some stratocumulus development if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Well, now that DTX has cut the temp for Detroit under 90 (89) for the high, I'm expecting mid 90s! Looks like the W/F has not event entered S/E Mi. Chicago will roast today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Lake enhance OFB is quickly moving through SE. WI. High temps might end up cooler if it doesn't mix out soon. RR is handling current temp trends well, but that might mean nothing if the OFB doesn't mix fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Lake enhance OFB is quickly moving through SE. WI. High temps might end up cooler if it doesn't mix out soon.RR is handling current temp trends well, but that might mean nothing if the OFB doesn't mix fast. Entering far NE. IL now. Those that didn't want max heat potential in this area might luck out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 The Cubs are really good this year... Still sitting in the 60Fs... but clear skies look to rule ... http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/wisc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Those storms in Central Lower Michigan have been producing some fairly decent winds, 45-50 MPH wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 73F/64F ...getting steamy out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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