hckyplayer8 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 11 am advisory has it up to 60 mph but apparently its still subtropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Looks like it will go south of the border...St Augustine or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 That's tight. hahaha...j/k! I just like to publicly humiliate pathetic storm systems. looks like it's almost annular! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 looks like it's almost annular! :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Just got off the beach at Little Talbot Island, Fl about 10 miles south of fl-ga border. Surf is quite rough. Winds I would say sustained 20-23 on the beach. Gusts to 30 or so maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 11 am advisory has it up to 60 mph but apparently its still subtropical. Probably as strong as it's gonna get without a real inner core. Going to be lots of tree damage since tropical cyclones rarely hit that part of the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 No longer a sts, now a trop storm and winds up to 65 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALhurricane Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Beryl now fully tropical with 65 mph winds per the latest advisory. Not too shabby for late May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Well I just made a post update to my blog... just saw that they dropped the subtropical storm classification. I actually think the HRRR has a good handle on the forecast track, as this should continue to move westward until making landfall, although the model is likely too fast (by around 4-6 hours). The radar reflectivity suggests that Beryl is trying to develop an eyewall, although still quite ragged. http://philstropicalweatherblog.wordpress.com/2012/05/27/beryl-transitioning-into-to-a-tropical-cyclone-will-make-landfall-in-the-southeast-united-states-tonight/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carley5 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 very impressive for may Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJW155 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 I just got back from the beach. (Neptune Beach) Surf is rough and the water is reaching the sand dunes. The lifeguard chairs are under water. Not sure why they didn't move them? Don't know how strong the wind is, probably about 30 mph? Really cool watching the sand blow around. Reminds me of drifting snow during a blizzard. The wind dies down as soon as you get off the beach though. No rain yet either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Can we call this thing a hurricane and end the North Florida hurricane drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 This storm is certainly getting better organized. These broken bands have evolved in what looks to be a developing partial eyewall. While I still think its unlikely Beryl can become a hurricane due the cooler shelf waters its yet to traverse, its looks rather impressive right now. Unfortunately we won't have recon again in the system before landfall, so radar estimated winds are the best we will have to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Wood Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 This storm is certainly getting better organized. These broken bands have evolved in what looks to be a developing partial eyewall. While I still think its unlikely Beryl can become a hurricane due the cooler shelf waters its yet to traverse, its looks rather impressive right now. Unfortunately we won't have recon again in the system before landfall, so radar estimated winds are the best we will have to do. That convection on the SW Quadrant burst quite nicely then fizzled. Have to wonder how much the cooler SST's had to do with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Lol 65 mph, almost as strong as Irene over NJ. Environment starting to moisten up. Would be interesting if this had another 48 hrs over water. Also it could ave been the first Hurricane in Jacksonville in forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 That convection on the SW Quadrant burst quite nicely then fizzled. Have to wonder how much the cooler SST's had to do with it. Good observation, lets see if this new band that is swinging through is able to rotate around the circulation without falling apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Winds picking up considerably here just south of downtown jax over the last 20 minutes or so. And getting quite gusty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Good lord if only this was late June instead of late May. Any yes I still realize how ridiculous that sounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Beryl couldn't have picked a better location. May actually be a beneficial TC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 I wish this was 3 weeks later when im in Florida.. Much needed drought relief on the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Updated My overwatch product for FL and GA areas, http://smartwxmodel.net/Storm2.htm Just seeing Jacksonville, Mayport, Malcolm McKinnon, with winds up to 35 next few hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Beryl looking really nice on visible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 LSR just came across of the Jacksonville beach pier having winds of 35 gusting to 55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Recon has taken off! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Sort of has the appearance of a west Pacific tropical cyclone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 So with Jacksonville radar showing 70 kt winds at 10,000ft and using this scaler by Franklin. We're looking at a 60-65 mph TS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 I personally wouldn't be suprised if recon foud a hurricane, and I do believe that as a proactive thing the NHC could hoist a hurricane warning from Jacksonville to Daytona Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 This buoy http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41012 is getting pretty close to the center B 1950 30.04 -80.53 33 264 340 35.0 46.6 14.1 10 6.5 27 29.51 -0.11 74.8 77.4 71.8 - - According to this at 1950 Zulu the center was 33 miles from the buoy.....which is sustained at 35 knts gusting to 46.6 knts http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 That is the longest damn thread title I've ever seen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted May 27, 2012 Share Posted May 27, 2012 Beryl is still lacking deep convection and is running out of time before making landfall. Unless RECON finds something very impressive on the center pass, I suspect that it will remain a TS. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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