Met1985 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Ya Flash flood watches issued for parts of NH and Maine. These stroms just keep on training over the same places. Severe thunderstorm crossing over into Bridport VT right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 everyone should aim their leafblowers skyward and see if we can't create some lift! This made me chuckle. Getting raked pretty good here ... severe thunderstorm warning is up and the thunder is pounding. Looks like the SCF took the KFS to Ray's woodshed yet again. Congrats and enjoy. I could never get excited about 'chasing' after a weather event. These are things I can only enjoy at home. Sitting in a car or a Dunkin' Donuts just can't cut it for me. To each their own. Hopefully, today will give SNE something--anytihng--of note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Despite BOX strong wording today..it looks we see nothing..All the action looks like it stays to our NW today..so not sure what they are seeing,. Tomorrow might end up being a decent day for storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Well there's the NNE storms AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Today looks good for at least wrn MA and srn VT and NH to see some good storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Interesting temperature zones this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Looks like another line of strong storms will be moving thru here over the next couple hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Today looks good for at least wrn MA and srn VT and NH to see some good storms. Yeah not sure what BOX is seeing for our area though. They claim we get ripped. don't see it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Though big severe is unlikely here today with such little shear. Big CAPE kicks big ass. We should get some nice stuff to fire especially given height falls continuing all day and outflow boundaries migrating south from earlier/ongoing convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Wow BTV 72/70 in +TSRA. Dew point of 70F means there is some juice in the atmosphere...gotta be pretty uncomfortable too. Tropical stuff that far north. Those storms are loving that Champlain Valley airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 At least it's not dry back home...big rain with these storms. * Flash Flood Watch for all of northern New York and Vermont. * Through this evening * widespread 1 to 2 inch rainfall totals occurred across the region last night. More thunderstorms are expected today with another 1 to 3 inches of rain possible into early tonight. Areas most susceptible to flooding will be in Vermont north of Rutland and Windsor counties... and in Essex and Clinton counties of New York. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Wow BTV 72/70 in +TSRA. Dew point of 70F means there is some juice in the atmosphere...gotta be pretty uncomfortable too. Tropical stuff that far north. Those storms are loving that Champlain Valley airmass. Nice cell near Middlebury as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Front will probably come through quick around here to get ideal destabilization. Looks like ENY is a pretty good spot to be today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Yeah not sure what BOX is seeing for our area though. They claim we get ripped. don't see it I don't see what you mean. Looks like they highlighted western areas. Tomorrow looks like our best shot here in the eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Front will probably come through quick around here to get ideal destabilization. Looks like ENY is a pretty good spot to be today. let's see if activity can happen far enough south in NY...if it does, I'll head west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The morning of a FROPA / multicell day doesn't feel the same as the morning with potential from an EML and directional shear. Sigh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Though big severe is unlikely here today with such little shear. Big CAPE kicks big ass. We should get some nice stuff to fire especially given height falls continuing all day and outflow boundaries migrating south from earlier/ongoing convection. The mid level lapse rates are absurd right now but I'm afraid they can only get worse form here on out. Let's hope this EML is slow to erode, which is possible with the slow height falls / arrival of system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 The mid level lapse rates are absurd right now but I'm afraid they can only get worse form here on out. Let's hope this EML is slow to erode, which is possible with the slow height falls / arrival of system. They will weaken, but if we can maintain something near 7c/KM...that's usually pretty good for these parts. I'll be interested to see Albany's sounding..even OKX shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 They will weaken, but if we can maintain something near 7c/KM...that's usually pretty good for these parts. I'll be interested to see Albany's sounding..even OKX shortly. I wish you guys the best of luck up there because I'm afraid down here it will take another miracle again. Of course, with a front, moisture and CAPE, I see no reason why thunderstorms won't blast to the shore overnight; but, I'm just not feeling the severe potential down this way outside of a few isolated wind reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I wish you guys the best of luck up there because I'm afraid down here it will take another miracle again. Of course, with a front, moisture and CAPE, I see no reason why thunderstorms won't blast to the shore overnight; but, I'm just not feeling the severe potential down this way outside of a few isolated wind reports. We need all the luck we can get in BOS. I'm not really sure how well these will hold to the coast, but I'm interested in tomorrow around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 As if the unidirectional profiles aren't bad enough, we can't even get the speed shear. The deep layer shear doesn't really break 25 knots down my way. You can get a momemtum driven cold pool in our area with this setup but I am not sure today will be able to do it. I would definitely keep the SLT risk out of this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 As if the unidirectional profiles aren't bad enough, we can't even get the speed shear. The deep layer shear doesn't really break 25 knots down my way. You can get a momemtum driven cold pool in our area with this setup but I am not sure today will be able to do it. I would definitely keep the SLT risk out of this area. Do you live in nrn NJ? I think that area has a chance at decent storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 As if the unidirectional profiles aren't bad enough, we can't even get the speed shear. The deep layer shear doesn't really break 25 knots down my way. You can get a momemtum driven cold pool in our area with this setup but I am not sure today will be able to do it. I would definitely keep the SLT risk out of this area. I agree down your way. Up here in N CT/W Mass I think there is potential given big cape and at least some modest shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 nice in the tropics today, 83/74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Still some good lapse rates on OKX and ALB soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Sick 12z OKX sounding That's very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 still impressive mid level lapse rates of -7 to -8 this morning around the NYC / NNJ area along with impressive CAPE for 9AM. Too bad shear is non existant. Upton really downplaying any severe threat but I think severe hail can be had in a few storms today down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Sick 12z OKX sounding That's very impressive. Throwing a party with no guests, is it still a party? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 That was good to see Ryan, down by OKX. The models really weaken the EML during the day. I can't really see why other than downstream stuff in the OV, but I guess crappy lapse rates could advert in from PA. Still, I think near 6.5-7C/KM are possible I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Interesting temperature zones this morning. Right before that cell popped by Hubbdave last night winds picked up out of the east as the boundary sagged west. Dews dropped almost ten degrees into the middle and upper 50s. 61/56 made for decent sleeping weather. That pool of low level moisture should work further east today as winds shift out of the south/southwest. It will be the catalyst for generating the high SB and ML cape later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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