SquatchinNY Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Could I have a POU sounding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 That's legit Thoughts for here sam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 House shaking Termites? Enjoy the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloudsncontrails Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Storms in NY state are ours sometime around midnight You mean those storms that are already starting to fall apart 200 miles away from Hartford? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Could I have a POU sounding? Here's OKX. They don't launch for balloons for POU so if you want a sounding you'd have to get a RAP sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I think in addition to those storms...have to watch VT and NH too as better shear is there for updraft maintenance. This is also where a better LLJ might spark more storms. currently have three leaf blowers pointing at the sky to assist any updrafts but not having much luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 currently have three leaf blowers pointing at the sky to assist any updrafts but not having much luck. Need theta-e release from greenhouse. Moisture pooling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Lift just isn't there...not sure how much we'll see overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Lift just isn't there...not sure how much we'll see overnight I think maybe NNE is better off as stronger forcing from s/w and llj will be up there. We'll have to see if anything can pop downstream of that area into SNE..or maybe even propagate down and clip ern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I think maybe NNE is better off as stronger forcing from s/w and llj will be up there. We'll have to see if anything can pop downstream of that area into SNE..or maybe even propagate down and clip ern areas. Yeah that's possible. Cap is still fairly strong so hopefully the forcing/LLJ combo can be enough. Those cells that developed in NY did quite well but couldn't hold together...they should not be dying out that quickly in the environment that is in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Almost time to just start looking at tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Wound up being a nice 10 minute storm or thereabouts No hail, no damage Very muggy now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Tomorrow looks pretty good for ern NY into NNE imo. Good shear and instability combo..although more typical lapse rates around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Has the towel been thrown in yet by the Whale fan in W. Hartford ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Has the towel been thrown in yet by the Whale fan in W. Hartford ? I'm about to. Although you still have to watch for something to pop overnight...would be very isolated but it's going to be very unstable through the night. The cells in NY aren't doing much anymore and they are in an extremely unstable airmass with decent shear...lift just is not there...that s/w must not be enough. Cap just too strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Wait and see if anything pops up north. It may be something where it comes in almost predawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Epic phail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Epic phail? Possibly for SNE, but that depends on up north since some of that may slip down after 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Pretty impressive hodo's tomorrow across northern NY on the 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Scott, Take a look at some of those hodo's on twisterdata for tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Pretty impressive hodo's tomorrow across northern NY on the 0z NAM I'm not seeing a whole lot, unless I'm missing something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 I'm not seeing a whole lot, unless I'm missing something... Not classic but they are decent looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 That, on the other hand, looks pretty decent along the St. Lawrence Valley, WRT the STI map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Scott, Take a look at some of those hodo's on twisterdata for tomorrow! Tomorrow looks like a wind threat I think up north. Maybe a spin up possibly if some of those cells get close to the remnant WF washing out up there. There may be a weakening EML too. Maybe 6.5 to 7C/KM rates in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Tomorrow looks like a wind threat I think up north. Maybe a spin up possibly if some of those cells get close to the remnant WF washing out up there. There may be a weakening EML too. Maybe 6.5 to 7C/KM rates in the mid levels. Yeah definite wind threat...just have to watch if any individual cells develop ahead of any line segments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Man sne is a ****ty place to live if you love severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Man sne is a ****ty place to live if you love severe That's why you should not spend time getting excited about it. If it happens...great, but more often than not...it's a disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 Damn...2000 J/KG of MLcape and LI values of -9C at 10:00 at night in SNE...in late May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 29, 2012 Share Posted May 29, 2012 That's why you should not spend time getting excited about it. If it happens...great, but more often than not...it's a disappointment. You know how much easier that is said than done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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