Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 If you think back to yesterday, models always had this as a nighttime show..Only this morning did some folks start saying it would be earlier. Nothing has changed since last night. It's always been a later in the evening /overnight event..some weenies just thought the MCS was the show, but some of us said that would decay and clouds would erode which happened. Patience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Well if you can believe the HRRR it has a cluster moving through between 8-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 28, 2012 Author Share Posted May 28, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Box dropped their sps ftl. Beautiful might though. Currently at my high. 75.9/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:50 PM, CT Blizz said: Too much worry. Those clouds will tend to break up as MCS weakens. All sys go AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Kind of interesting...outside eating dinner on the deck and all of a sudden clouds roll in and the wind picks up for the first time today. Felt much more humid during the process. Looking at radar, it looks like you could depict the WF moving on through. Let's get some boomers in here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 My dew is up to 72..Now THIS is what it's all about. High dews= storm chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:04 PM, CT Blizz said: My dew is up to 72..Now THIS is what it's all about. High dews= storm chances Where's the lift going to come from? Your weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:06 PM, weatherwiz said: Where's the lift going to come from? Your weenie? thats gotta be one powerful weenie BTW tomorrow night looks pretty good for areas that are N and W of NYC, and CT might also get into some of tomorrows action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:06 PM, weatherwiz said: Where's the lift going to come from? Your weenie? The s/w over Western NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Tomorrow is much better across northern sections where you'll have a better combination of shear/instability. Not very impressed down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:13 PM, weatherwiz said: Tomorrow is much better across northern sections where you'll have a better combination of shear/instability. Not very impressed down here Why? I like tomorrow night more than today for places south of where today was supposed to be big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:17 PM, Snowlover76 said: Why? I like tomorrow night more than today for places south of where today was supposed to be big. Seeing how nothing is really going on now I'll take a much closer and more detailed look but I wasn't impressed with the deep layer shear here...was generally 25-30 knots...while up north closer to 35-45 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Tomorrow is the more classic set-up for thunderstorms in New England ... i.e. unexciting. Got a trough, got some shear, got some instability. Yup, you'll get thunderstorms. Yup, some will be strong, some marginally severe. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 There certainly will be some severe tomorrow but I don't know if I foresee anything widespread, except perhaps across upstate NY. Across SNE shear is just rather meh. Updrafts/downdrafts won't really be separated too much...I could see some hail/wind reports but I really think heavy rain will really be the main threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:37 PM, weatherwiz said: There certainly will be some severe tomorrow but I don't know if I foresee anything widespread, except perhaps across upstate NY. Across SNE shear is just rather meh. Updrafts/downdrafts won't really be separated too much...I could see some hail/wind reports but I really think heavy rain will really be the main threat. Post up the HRR image for tonight's bombs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 We neeeed some lift...its damn unstable. We could really get something good going, if we could just get something going lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:40 PM, CT Blizz said: Post up the HRR image for tonight's bombs I think you mean that 00z SPC image that Wiz was about for 22z or 23z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 28, 2012 Author Share Posted May 28, 2012 ACK might catch that light sprinkle...congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:40 PM, CT Blizz said: Post up the HRR image for tonight's bombs 20z run 8:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:32 PM, wxwatcher91 said: Tomorrow is the more classic set-up for thunderstorms in New England ... i.e. unexciting. Got a trough, got some shear, got some instability. Yup, you'll get thunderstorms. Yup, some will be strong, some marginally severe. lol That sums it up for me Sam. Garden variety t-storms,meh. We don't do severe summer weather that well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:48 PM, weatherwiz said: 20z run 8:00 PM 10:00 PM 11:00 PM Looks like azz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 I think it's on drugs...it's almost 7 and no signs of any development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 What is azz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 11:01 PM, SquatchinNY said: What is azz? All Zones Zero, it's a pro met term I believe. No development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 11:05 PM, ski MRG said: All Zones Zero, it's a pro met term I believe. No development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 3:10 PM, NorEaster27 said: threat looks pretty meh for a lot of areas. On 5/28/2012 at 3:24 PM, ChrisM said: What? Probably the best threat since June 1 of last year for a lot of places lol On 5/28/2012 at 3:25 PM, OSUmetstud said: He's a troll...don't pay him mind. Anyway...it does look decent, though certainly not close to June 1st, 2011 levels. On 5/28/2012 at 3:31 PM, NorEaster27 said: the MCS is decaying as it runs into CIN and building heights. The warmfront is also basically stalled with the greatest shear well to its north and the greatest CAPE displaced well to the south. On 5/28/2012 at 3:34 PM, CT Rain said: Keep in mind the thermodynamic environment at 11 a.m. isn't going to persist all day... that CIN is being eliminated as the boundary layer warms and moisture pools. On 5/28/2012 at 3:43 PM, OSUmetstud said: MCSs almost always decay around this time no matter what the environment....it throws out boundaries for convection later...when you actually want it to fire. ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Gorgeous cu tower to the n, very high Edit: imploded lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 28, 2012 Author Share Posted May 28, 2012 Not looking too shabby for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 CIN on the increase again. So either elevated convection tonight or hopefully that s/w can be enough to break it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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