weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:15 AM, CT Rain said: Yeah I said I wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado somewhere in the northeast. Key to hit home to viewers today is areal coverage will be limited but any storms that do form could be high end severe. It's actually challenging to communicate without people taking parts of your forecast out of context. It's amazing how often people take what mets say out of context. You mention a chance for s t'storm and some people will assume it's going to rain all day Today is tough to convey to people though, people will think that storms being rather isolated is a good thing but all that really does is enhance the severe threat b/c you won't have storms disrupting updrafts. I think up north we see development start off as individual cells and quickly become supercells, however, I think they may converge into a line and form a bowing line as it nears northern CT but we'll see. Have to watch for any development ahead of any line with outflow focusing as lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 This looks like it may be setting up as one of the most damaging days in SNE severe wx history. Widespread outbreak this evening. All we need now is Tornado Tony in the thread to make it official Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Here come's the EML Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Sun starting to burn through the fog now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 12z soundings should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:43 AM, CT Rain said: 12z soundings should be fun. I know! Can't wait. Completely bored right now...waiting for 6z GFS bufkit, then 12z soundings, then new day 1 outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Is the sun out at home? Nice sunny morning in BTV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:49 AM, CT Blizz said: Is the sun out at home? Nice sunny morning in BTV It is imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Wiz, any baseball game scoring today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Still stuck in the soup up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 11:06 AM, HubbDave said: Wiz, any baseball game scoring today? Wiz will be stuck on the Northway near Glens Falls while a tornado tears through MA/CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 10:42 AM, weatherwiz said: Sun starting to burn through the fog now No fog to burn through up here, but a lot of mid-level clouds. Pockets of blue b eginning to show up within it though. Hopefully, we can get something to fire up here. I expect at least someone on the board should experience something of note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 I was sort of hoping that everything waits until tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 11:06 AM, HubbDave said: Wiz, any baseball game scoring today? Nope. I didn't do baseball this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 6z GFS bufkit at GFL has 700-550mb lapse rates of 8.7 C/Km at 0z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 GFS overall not as impressive with helicity as the NAM is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Two things working against us: Blizz calling for heavy damage No baseball for Wiz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 0-6km shear has increased over the past few hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 watch the old MCS over lake ontario now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Impressive 12z soundings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 Not sure how early convection over Lk Ontario will influence downstram development? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 wow doesn't get more classic than this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 I sort of like those storms moving SSE trough western ma and ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:33 PM, CoastalWx said: I sort of like those storms moving SSE trough western ma and ct. Early outbreak? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:31 PM, CT Rain said: wow doesn't get more classic than this June 1 2011? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:34 PM, CT Rain said: Early outbreak? lol Oh no....lol. I meant the spc wrf depiction. Somewhere in that area. Maybe overnight complex as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:38 PM, CT Blizz said: June 1 2011? Except we don't have 50+kits of shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:39 PM, CoastalWx said: Oh no....lol. I meant the spc wrf depiction. Somewhere in that area. Maybe overnight complex as well? Oh I thought you were talking about the MCS heading into SYR. That may screw this whole thing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 28, 2012 Share Posted May 28, 2012 On 5/28/2012 at 12:41 PM, CT Rain said: Oh I thought you were talking about the MCS heading into SYR. That may screw this whole thing up. I just saw that on satellite. Hmmm. Maybe debris clouds will stay west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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