Kmlwx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 fail 24 hour ban as punishment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 fail Actually there is a meso out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0816.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 mehriffic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0816.html Norfolk seems to be in the bullseye right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I missed it by 8 mins... so can I get a 8 hr ban from 04z to 12z? 60% chance watch issuance... maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Still going with a Meh on this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 we just tend to get worked up about "drought" that lasts like 4 weeks around here. i guess since our weather blows we need something to talk about.. Our soil blows, so it exaggerates the dryness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Got our first strikes over by Harrisonburg and Bowling Green.. Nice convective shower to my south... even a bit of a lowering and visible base to cloud top shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 im preparing to yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I can't decide what is more exciting.....last winter's snow or today's severe....eh, i'll check back in a couple months when the winter forecasts start coming out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I think today is a good example of the "active severe season" Accuwx forecasted for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Cell that has yet to hit the ground is pushing 35kft near Stafford, no hail on DP yet. Edit: Hail at 14kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Cell that has yet to hit the ground is pushing 35kft near Stafford, no hail on DP yet. Edit: Hail at 14kft. Do you still have your presentation about dual pol from last years conference? Would love to take a look at it as I just got the DP add-on for GR Analyst. Not sure if you'd be willing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Do you still have your presentation about dual pol from last years conference? Would love to take a look at it as I just got the DP add-on for GR Analyst. Not sure if you'd be willing. It's been in my signature since last year ↓↓↓ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I ignore all signatures! Doh! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I've been watching the cell just NE of Orange,VA. It's got some broad mid-level rotation and occasionally one of the lower scans picks it up too. It's not moving much either which means it's interacting with some of the upper level winds. I can't find Jason/Ellinwood on the SN but if anything that would be a good cell to track locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I've been watching the cell just NE of Orange,VA. It's got some broad mid-level rotation and occasionally one of the lower scans picks it up too. It's not moving much either which means it's interacting with some of the upper level winds. I can't find Jason/Ellinwood on the SN but if anything that would be a good cell to track locally. I am watching the "complex" of storms as they move NE... don't see much besides broad rotation that you see... I do see a few hail signs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 I am watching the "complex" of storms as they move NE... don't see much besides broad rotation that you see... I do see a few hail signs. Food for thought and more of a complex theory/ phenomena that goes on that you can see with Dual-Pol is the concept of the ZDR column. So in a updraft you have recycled fat raindrops that get "sucked" up beyond the environmental freezing level.. So updrafts will show up at a local maximum in ZDR when everything else is grapuel (~0 Db). http://www.wdtb.noaa.gov/courses/dualpol/Applications/ZDRcolumn/player.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 Wow, wasn't paying attention to the higher scans and big cell just crashed to earth by DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 15, 2012 Share Posted May 15, 2012 First ST Warning: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 747 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN CITY OF FREDERICKSBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... NORTHERN SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... STAFFORD COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... SOUTHEASTERN FAUQUIER COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 830 PM EDT * AT 746 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF STAFFORD...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FREDERICKSBURG...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... STAFFORD... AQUIA CREEK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 I've been watching the cell just NE of Orange,VA. It's got some broad mid-level rotation and occasionally one of the lower scans picks it up too. It's not moving much either which means it's interacting with some of the upper level winds. I can't find Jason/Ellinwood on the SN but if anything that would be a good cell to track locally. they're north of walkerton to the east of 95 nearer the bay. looks like ellinwood's first target was a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 I think today is a good example of the "active severe season" Accuwx forecasted for us. very marginal day.. not sure it means anything if it didn't perform. actually it probably performed to about its best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 the fredericksburg cell is outflowing now but it did have some rotation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 ive heard some thunder.. not sure from what. maybe the little cell that popped south and died. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 ive heard some thunder.. not sure from what. maybe the little cell that popped south and died. Must be. I've been hearing the same rumbles for about 20 min now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Must be. I've been hearing the same rumbles for about 20 min now. i guess it might be the stuff to the southwest.. anvil crawlers or something? looks like mark and jason scored a nice cell http://twitpic.com/9ligit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 Seeing some great lightning to my south out over the Eastern Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 i guess it might be the stuff to the southwest.. anvil crawlers or something? looks like mark and jason scored a nice cell http://twitpic.com/9ligit The lightning is NW of me, maybe the Dulles cell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXW176 Posted May 16, 2012 Share Posted May 16, 2012 The lightning is NW of me, maybe the Dulles cell? We've had a couple of decent flashes out this way in the past few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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