weatherwiz Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I will take that pattern and sleep with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 lol...the euro has 2m 90s in the torch spots of the Merrimack valley at d10. EC ens are hot until the following Tuesday. The hottest temps still stay a bit west of us with the ridge axis over the Great Lakes, but we get more of a piece of it this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Wow at the torch. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 34/34, some patchy frost noted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Just showers and storms early next week and no ridiculous noreaster AMOUT. Muggy..very similiar to earlier this week..No sandbagging for SOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 34/34, some patchy frost noted. A touch of frost here too this morning. The sun's hitting the yard now, so poof, gone. Duly noted all the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 53 sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Nice coastal next week. Euro has a BDF very close to BTV on Sunday the 27th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I think Steve's graphic was soil moisture content...probably a different metric than whatever the US drought monitor does. No I used the Palmer index which most Hydrologists use, the Palmer blend is by far the preferred drought indicator tool used to assess soil/hydrologic conditions. Tips drought monitor site uses media reports and Ag reports which they gather. Here is the latests CPC Palmer index and blend which IMHO accurately depict the hydro conditions existing today. Main stem rivers are normal, groundwater is normal, reservoirs are normal, soil conditions are moist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Ahh yes, the Robert Palmer index..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Early thinking is that June will start out warm as well it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Ahh yes, the Robert Palmer index..lol. awesome harp in this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 lol...the euro has 2m 90s in the torch spots of the Merrimack valley at d10. EC ens are hot until the following Tuesday. The hottest temps still stay a bit west of us with the ridge axis over the Great Lakes, but we get more of a piece of it this run. The 0z ECM and 0z GFS were a textbook Sonoran heat release with 30C 850s advected NE by a developing -PNA. Looks brutally hot in the long range. 34/34, some patchy frost noted. I also noted a little frost on the front lawn of Hampshire Country School at about 1100' in the Monadnocks. Went for a run at 6:45am and it looked a touch white, but quickly extinguished by the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Nice coastal next week. Euro has a BDF very close to BTV on Sunday the 27th. I violated one of my Cardinal rules in reading KFS before actually looking at the Euro myself, your post made me look. Nice coastal AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Memorial weekend looks darn hot for now. Question is does it last into Sunday. Looks like Saturday it hottest NNE then shifts south Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Nothing but showers and storms as low over mid atl cuts west of us AWT..there will be no coastal..and it's progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 00z EC has the 500 ridge axis too far north for ideal heat. EC ensembles is a bit more favorable. 594dm ridge over Georgian Bay, lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Nothing but showers and storms as low over mid atl cuts west of us AWT..there will be no coastal..and it's progressive LOL, is this what the KFS has? Taste it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 LOL, is this what the KFS has? Taste it. I''m just not seeing the all day or multi day windswept, washout you and Ginx are . I see a day or 2 like we just had this week. Temps in the low 70's..dews around 60 ..with times of showers and storms, and one day in the warm sector ahead of the cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I''m just not seeing the all day or multi day windswept, washout you and Ginx are . I see a day or 2 like we just had this week. Temps in the low 70's..dews around 60 ..with times of showers and storms, and one day in the warm sector ahead of the cold front Who said multi day event with 3-4" of rain? Chalk it up to a lousy Monday aftn to Tuesday aftn. It will be damp and cool with some rain. Who cares, it's the middle of the week. Why are you so afraid of it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Who said multi day event with 3-4" of rain? Chalk it up to a lousy Monday aftn to Tuesday aftn. It will be damp and cool with some rain. Who cares, it's the middle of the week. Why are you so afraid of it? So what would you forecast then highs in the 50;s with rain showers lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I''m just not seeing the all day or multi day windswept, washout you and Ginx are . I see a day or 2 like we just had this week. Temps in the low 70's..dews around 60 ..with times of showers and storms, and one day in the warm sector ahead of the cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... MANY GROUND WATER WELLS MONITORED BY THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY HAVE BEEN IMPACTED BY THE SHORT TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND INDICATE BELOW NORMAL LEVELS...BUT OTHERS WERE WITHIN THE NORMAL RANGE AS OF MAY. OTHERWISE...IMPACTS RELATED TO THE DRY CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN REDUCED. RECENT RAINS DURING LATE APRIL THROUGH MID MAY BOOSTED RIVER LEVELS INTO THE NORMAL RANGE. AS OF MAY 17...THE 14 DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW WAS WITHIN THE NORMAL RANGE ALONG THE MAJORITY OF GAGED RIVERS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. RECENT PRECIPITATION HAD ALSO IMPROVED SOIL MOISTURE TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. AS OF EARLY MAY...THE MAJORITY OF RESERVOIRS IN SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WERE AT NORMAL LEVELS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS WAS LARGELY DUE TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL DURING LAST AUGUST THROUGH NOVEMBER... WHICH SERVED TO FILL THE RESERVOIRS. THE RECENT RAINS HAVE ALSO GIVEN SOME RESERVOIRS A BOOST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 So what would you forecast then highs in the 50;s with rain showers lol? I could see cstl areas struggling for 60 Monday. If clouds come in quickly, then interior struggles for 70. Tuesday depends on how fast the low moves out but i would also say mostly 60s maybe 70 inland. You are lucky the timing of this is at night or else you would be in the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Looks like we have no days below 80 after Friday for awhile are 2 days awhile? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 I could see cstl areas struggling for 60 Monday. If clouds come in quickly, then interior struggles for 70. Tuesday depends on how fast the low moves out but i would also say mostly 60s maybe 70 inland. You are lucky the timing of this is at night or else you would be in the 50s. From a low with tropical origins with SE flow in late May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 From a low with tropical origins with SE flow in late May? There is no such thing as a low bringing 70 dews in late May. East winds, possibly even NE are not warm wind directions. It's so called tropical origins never really get to make it this far north and is mostly in the form of warmer air aloft. If this were to stay in tact and cut west, then I could see more humid air, but temps still would not be all the warm. Tuesday could be one of those more muggy days, but temps may be highly muted if there are clouds. However areas like western MA may have a nice Monday..maybe even CEF. It depends on how quick clouds come in. Still lots of time to figure out, I just wouldn't plan on the best weather Monday and Tuesday, that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Morning low of 35° F here this morning after a nice, brisk day yesterday. Anyone remember what today is? The anniversary of 5/18/02, the latest measurable snow event ever recorded for many in W NE and E NY. I think 2K here in the Berks had 5-6" in that event and there was 2-3" in the Pittsfield area. Even Albany got 2.2" out of it. 8" was recorded in legendary Woodford, VT at 2.4K. There are more totals at http://www.cbs6albany.com/weather/features/historical-data/notable-storms.shtml Just scroll down to 2002 and click on May 18. Amazing event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Morning low of 35° F here this morning after a nice, brisk day yesterday. Anyone remember what today is? The anniversary of 5/18/02, the latest measurable snow event ever recorded for many in W NE and E NY. I think 2K here in the Berks had 5-6" in that event and there was 2-3" in the Pittsfield area. Even Albany got 2.2" out of it. 8" was recorded in legendary Woodford, VT at 2.4K. There are more totals at http://www.cbs6alban...e-storms.shtml . Just scroll down to 2002 and click on May 18. Amazing event. I remember that. That was a crazy day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 18, 2012 Share Posted May 18, 2012 Morning low of 35° F here this morning after a nice, brisk day yesterday. Anyone remember what today is? The anniversary of 5/18/02, the latest measurable snow event ever recorded for many in W NE and E NY. I think 2K here in the Berks had 5-6" in that event and there was 2-3" in the Pittsfield area. Even Albany got 2.2" out of it. 8" was recorded in legendary Woodford, VT at 2.4K. There are more totals at http://www.cbs6alban...e-storms.shtml . Just scroll down to 2002 and click on May 18. Amazing event. We're sorry, the file you were looking for could not be found. It may have moved to a new location. Please use the navigation below to help you locate the file. Or use the form to the right to email us for help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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