Typhoon Tip Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 I'm too lazy to do either of the following: 1) BUFKIT convective analysis... I feel that the current Specials for convective potential today is a bit too suppressed in latitude when looking at area obs and balancing those against the current synopsis. Cold front is slower than the NAM/GFS blend off the 00z run, and therefore much of the area even up into southern VT/NH have DPs between 65 and 70, and continue to broil up over 80 now already in a few spots. Generally mid 70s. CAPE production may just exceed expectation. Shear doesn't appear good on the surface, but I'm too lazy to dig any deeper than these general observations at the moment... 2) Start a new thread, because no one should be doing a full-time job out of this thing. 35 pages is too long imo - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 The NAM has TTs of 60 in BUF on Sunday night. imo, there's a bit of a conditional higher end severe weather threat there from northern Michigan into the eastern Lakes on that night. We'll have to see if there's enough lift and moisture to get an MCS to initiate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Absolute perfection, cooler packed, its beach time baby! Thick fog out this way. 67/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Full sun. Already 71.3/67 and it's only 10:15. At least the winds picked up a bit. Back to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 The NAM has TTs of 60 in BUF on Sunday night. imo, there's a bit of a conditional higher end severe weather threat there from northern Michigan into the eastern Lakes on that night. We'll have to see if there's enough lift and moisture to get an MCS to initiate. Still looking like 1985? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 I'm too lazy to do either of the following: 1) BUFKIT convective analysis... I feel that the current Specials for convective potential today is a bit too suppressed in latitude when looking at area obs and balancing those against the current synopsis. Cold front is slower than the NAM/GFS blend off the 00z run, and therefore much of the area even up into southern VT/NH have DPs between 65 and 70, and continue to broil up over 80 now already in a few spots. Generally mid 70s. CAPE production may just exceed expectation. Shear doesn't appear good on the surface, but I'm too lazy to dig any deeper than these general observations at the moment... 2) Start a new thread, because no one should be doing a full-time job out of this thing. 35 pages is too long imo - Bright sun here... all systems go for convection. Have no idea what BOX is talking about in their AFD. Marine/stratus pretty much burned off as scheduled here with TDs creeping above 20c ahead of the (slower than progged) front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Winds just kicked around to the wnw FTW. Dryer air incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 64/64 - Dense fog. Visibility seems to have improved to slightly greater than 1/4 mile now but the trees and gutters are still dripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 75/67, mostly cloudy. Gross, give me 87/47 over this crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 3* dp drop in 20 minutes ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Still looking like 1985? lol no. That was a single model run on the euro that made that plains shortwave progressive and sharp. Synoptically, it's similar to July, 1995 with the strong ridge over the midwest/east and the troughing over Quebec causing a ridiculous jet streak. However, the airmass in 1995 was allowed to bake and moisten under the ridge for a week or so before the shortwave moved in. There's a big difference from the high bl moisture present in 1995 and dews in the mid to upper 70s vs. this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Days like these make me love the shoreline. Yeah we had crappy fog til 1030, but it's now 78/71 while inland bakes. The only thing inland has is warmer evenings until june which I do envy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Unbelievable day, MPM fail. Its beautiful down here, and will have dozens of clams for the grill later.....................viva la summer!!!!!! Doom and Gloom Denial LOL LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 75/64, cloudy with a nice breeze. We had a few misty showers a while ago.Nothing torch-like here yet. Very comfortable, lawn mowed, now replacing garden fence, golf and then BBQ with family and friends. It's great to be an American on Memorial Day Weekend. Before you know it Labor Day will be here and we can kiss another warm season good-bye. Schweeet!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 80.2/72.3 Stagnant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 79/67, cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 sizzle sizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 sizzle sizzle Pleasant 70's with a refreshing breeze. Fizzle Fizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Summer's here. I never thought I'd appreciate humidity this much but my old man skin loves it and therefore, so do I. Very early thoughts suggest that we'll have some fun during the winter of 2012-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 LOL "simply sensational" wow. Simply drunk? Coolandcloudylibations Failure Sunny 80 perfect breeze humid Failure Failure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Failure Sunny 80 perfect breeze humid Failure Failure It wasn't in reference today. Stop trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 nws now partly sunny monday 30% chance of an afternoon tstorm high of 79. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 It wasn't in reference today. Stop trolling. He's acting like we said both daye are 59 and rain. I said both days could have problems...but that at least one day may not be bad. Most of the time, you do not give a chamber of commerce forecast for the coast with moist onshore flow. Obviously there are exceptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 storms firing to our SW-drifting SE, looks like most of NE stays dry today.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 He's acting like we said both daye are 59 and rain. I said both days could have problems...but that at least one day may not be bad. Most of the time, you do not give a chamber of commerce forecast for the coast with moist onshore flow. Obviously there are exceptions. Tomorrow could be interesting....what do you think Scott? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Fingers crossed but the forecasts for my big day tomorrow have been really heading in the right direction. It looks like things might work out just perfectly to get nice mild but not hot conditions and plenty of sun. Spectacular out there today even though it's a bit humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Nice storm Beryl Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 My daughter just skyped with me from on Ormond Beach; pretty good surf in the back ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 77.8F/70 Been a while since I saw a td of 70 Dripping while mowing/doing yardwork We got the window boxes done. Saw a gorgeous snake (black racer? milk snake?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 77.8F/70 Been a while since I saw a td of 70 Dripping while mowing/doing yardwork We got the window boxes done. Saw a gorgeous snake (black racer? milk snake?) Wow--you've got a lot of good stuff coming. BEAUTIFUL here! High of 76.9 at 12:30. Now sitting at 75.9/54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.