ski MRG Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 3:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Good trends....keep it boring over the summer, unless the excitement is of tropical origin. Ray!! I'm with you on that. A nice seasonably warm summer that is over and done with quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Well defined blocking in the North Atlantic appearing to take shape by day 8 (Sunday). That should increase backdoor potential, precluding any longer duration anomalous warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 5:13 PM, wxwatcher91 said: Well defined blocking in the North Atlantic appearing to take shape by day 8 (Sunday). That should increase backdoor potential, precluding any longer duration anomalous warmth Yeah that's been visible for a few days now. I guess the KFS has the NAO raging +. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Pretty classic sea breeze day here. 66 at beaches 73 at my house. Appears the True sea breeze has only gone about a mile inland as it has passed me at work. 70 here. 81 at bdl.... My 84 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 LOL, if the GFS is right Kevin will need warm up pants with temps in the upper 40s around 7-8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Let's hope the predominance of - NAO starts a 11 month run. When forecasting severe heat in SNE it's smart to check out blocking first. This KFS mega death heat ridge had phail written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Euro is losing the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Kind of interesting to see how the models handle moisture backing in from the SE tomorrow and Tuesday. SPC 4km WRF has a good slug coming into SNE by noon or so Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Return visit with the heat next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 6:31 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro is losing the heat. 80ish for race day on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 7:00 PM, CT Blizz said: 80ish for race day on Euro Most of the race in the 60s and 70s. Congrats on the great weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 5:34 PM, Ginx said: Let's hope the predominance of - NAO starts a 11 month run. When forecasting severe heat in SNE it's smart to check out blocking first. This KFS mega death heat ridge had phail written all over it. XXX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 20, 2012 Author Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 4:41 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Usually to get T-storm threats you need to endure a gross, hot and humid stretch....not worth it to me, especially considering where I live. The only exciting summer weather that I look forward to is tropical activity....and I mean real tropical activity, not that premature ejac. of a fiasco we have now. You mean that 80F with very distant lightning, and a light sprinkle moving through, isn't your thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Wow 86 at BDL. Not bad on a se wind. That wind is probably better than a S-SSE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 87 at LSC today LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 8:21 PM, ctsnowstorm628 said: 87 at LSC today LOL Warmer 850 temps and downsloping doing its job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 7:54 PM, CoastalWx said: Wow 86 at BDL. Not bad on a se wind. That wind is probably better than a S-SSE wind. Little over performing but not by much. Figured 83-86 would do it...even though my p/c call was 84. There was def goin to be an easterly component to it, but the key was how southerly it go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 8:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Warmer 850 temps and downsloping doing its job. Yessir. Saw that coming too. Went 88 up there for AOT so not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Dry breeds torch. No soil moisture = take temps up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 8:32 PM, CT Blizz said: Dry breeds torch. No soil moisture = take temps up That will change a bit this week. Soils not that try either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 8:34 PM, CoastalWx said: That will change a bit this week. Soils not that try either. For .25 or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 The 18z NAM is sort of comical for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 8:38 PM, CT Blizz said: For .25 or so? With all this subtropical moisture coming in and the chance of diurnal showers later in the week...I think many areas will get more than that. Probably some areas that don't, but models suck with these deals. There are about 3 lows that are spinning around out there, including that disaster Alberto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 8:40 PM, CT Rain said: The 18z NAM is sort of comical for Tuesday. Yeah not sure about that, but the euro and ensembles aren't far off...especially for the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 5:28 PM, CoastalWx said: LOL, if the GFS is right Kevin will need warm up pants with temps in the upper 40s around 7-8am. On 5/20/2012 at 6:31 PM, CoastalWx said: Euro is losing the heat. My p/c is now down to 71* for a high on Sunday. Cool race, fkw (for Kevin's win). Sitting at 78.6 off my high of 78.9. Too warm for my liking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 Hit 81.1F here today Just did the mowing. Holy cow was that lawn lush. BOX has killed off any heat this upcoming week. Highest is Sat at 77F Typical May ORH is at +1.9F before today, so maybe +2.2F or so...AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 As expected huge difference between inland and coastal locations. Hope everyone had a great weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 86 at bdl, things worked out nicely, + 14 on the high, 80 at orh +11 on the day there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 20, 2012 Share Posted May 20, 2012 On 5/20/2012 at 9:48 PM, litchfieldlibations said: 86 at bdl, things worked out nicely, + 14 on the high, 80 at orh +11 on the day there. 86 beat my thoughts, I figured 84 or so. I think SE winds are a favorable direction vs like a 160 or 180 due north up the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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