snywx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Full sunshine now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 0z euro from last night kept NYC mostly to fully cloudy the entire day today. It had partial clearing for most of NJ from 10am to 4pm, before clouding up again. It brings the clearing line near NYC at 18z but not through LI. It looks like so far, its doing a great job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Temperatures should begin soaring any minute now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Full sunshine now.. Same here. Clouds completely broke up in the past 20 minutes, temp now up 5 degrees to 73F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Temperatures should begin soaring any minute now... That's a nifty little graph you posted right there. Thanks for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Visible satellite imagery indicates most places from Western LI SW should be under full sun within the next 20 minutes or so. NJ is basically cleared out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Pretty much full sun now in the City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 It took 2 1/2 days to get rid of this pesky marine airmass but finally some nicer times ahead for a few days at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Up to whopping 71F here in New Brunswick. (lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 77F and mostly sunny here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 75/65 here... Partly sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 It took 2 1/2 days to get rid of this pesky marine airmass but finally some nicer times ahead for a few days at least. Cleared out nicely yesterday up here.. Reached 70*as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Full sun and torching...but a noticeable NW wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Cleared out to my south and breaking up to the north. Sitting in the sunshine at 74 degrees with a scent of cool air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Mostly sunny here in Queens now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 73 / 65. Bring on some late afternoon / evening boomers. Severe? I doubt to much other then a few isolated boarderline reports but I will enjoy the sight of a few flashing of lightning and the sounds of a few rumbles of thunder. Had a few of each during the early morning hours the past few days. Gets my storm chase blood flowing. 7 weeks from yesterday till I hit the road for my chasecation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 You're chasing in July? Where? 73 / 65. Bring on some late afternoon / evening boomers. Severe? I doubt to much other then a few isolated boarderline reports but I will enjoy the sight of a few flashing of lightning and the sounds of a few rumbles of thunder. Had a few of each during the early morning hours the past few days. Gets my storm chase blood flowing. 7 weeks from yesterday till I hit the road for my chasecation! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 You're chasing in July? Where? Canada. Up to 76/64 here. Decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 turning into a nice day with just scatted storms later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 With the sun breaking through even out here in Port Jefferson LI, there's almost a wistful poetic vision, like Billy Tyne from the Perfect Storm with his line: " The fog's just lifting. Throw off your bow line. Throw off your stern. Etc." instead, you just wish, "the surface winds are from the southeast. The sounding show a twist through 0-6k with strong helicity and shear. The cape is high....etc" Ahhh, just to dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 22z on the SPC WRF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 You're chasing in July? Where? Chasing last week of June. Several reasons for it. One it is the easiest time for both my wife and I to get 2 weeks off work at the same time. Two I will not chase in May as it is just too darn crowded with chasers. Three I have chased a number of times in late June and had a great time and good success. The days are as long as they get thus chasing late into the evening is easy. Climatology suggest chasing further north in ND, SD, MT, WY, NE etc and that is the most beautiful chase country around. Storm motion is generally much slower thus chasing individual storms can be a much more leisurely paced endeavor. Late June for me has been and will always be my prime time chase season. The tour company I have worked with in the past even has a early thru mid July tour which is very popular. Last year they had a very active tour with multiple tornados. Of course I do not chase just to witness tornados I chase becasue I love the entire experience of it! And yes I did chase into Canada once! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 22z on the SPC WRF The HRRR seems consistent in just bringing through showery crap through most of NJ/NYC with only weak convection in Eastern PA later. Guess we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 22z on the SPC WRF NMM is very similar. Here's 21z. That's 5-6pm based on these 2 models: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 You can add the Suny MM5 as well. 3 hour precip from 18z to 21z today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 79/64 now and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 So close. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0694 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1226 PM CDT FRI MAY 04 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NE OHIO...MUCH OF PA...SRN NJ INTO DELMARVA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 041726Z - 041930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MAINLY UNORGANIZED CLUSTERS OR PULSE-TYPE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG-TO-SEVERE WIND GUSTS. AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE NRN CHESAPEAKE INTO CNTRL PA AND NERN OH IN A WARM...MOIST AIR MASS AHEAD OF A SFC COLD FRONT. THIS COLD FRONT WAS POSITIONED FROM S-CNTRL NY WWD ACROSS NRN OH. FURTHER S ACROSS CNTRL PA INTO ERN VA...A SFC TROUGH AND WARM FRONT WAS PROVIDING ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AS TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED THROUGH THE UPPER 70S INTO THE LOW 80S...MLCAPE VALUES ARE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 1500-2000 J/KG BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HELP OVERCOME MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 20-30 KT TO SUSTAIN UPDRAFTS. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL SUPPORT MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG/GUSTY WINDS IN MAINLY DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. ..LEITMAN/MEAD.. 05/04/2012 ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...AKQ...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...CLE... LAT...LON 39387441 40067476 40487507 41207575 41717670 42047928 41898031 41688114 41378119 40938042 39637876 38287727 38307598 38807508 39347449 39387441 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 35kt Efffective Bulk shear over parts Northern NJ and Staten Island: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Nice increase in θe over the past 3 hours (~4K/hr in spots), corresponding with the increase in temperatures and slowly increasing dewpoints associated with the slow advection eastward. Not completely convinced it will be enough yet, but definitely a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 81/66 here with bright sunshine.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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