johnc Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 DP in the low 60s here... mostly sunny now. isolated t-storms in central PA it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fsu_wxgirl Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Based on the HRRR Model it looks like there may be a good chance around 5:00ish...just in time for rush hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I'll go with the odds & guess that a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is not issued. It sure does "feel" like thunderstorm weather, though. I just doubt anything will be quite severe, though maybe this really should go in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I'll go with the odds & guess that a Severe Thunderstorm Watch is not issued. It sure does "feel" like thunderstorm weather, though. I just doubt anything will be quite severe, though maybe this really should go in the banter thread. Ehh, there's synoptics behind this. Def some good discussion and solid weather information sharing going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 Ehh, there's synoptics behind this. Def some good discussion and solid weather information sharing going on. Oh, most definitely! I was talking about my post and not the thread in general. My own post was probably too bantery for this thread since I said "feels" like thunderstorm weather as opposed to offering any analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 doesn't look good for severe storms or many t-storms. Never a good sign as long as i have lived here when storms from the west move east and weaken is never good. Unless later on we tape better dynamics just dont see much of anything noteworthy. The cape and LI are increasing but just seems like their is no ignitor to get the storms going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted May 4, 2012 Author Share Posted May 4, 2012 if we cleared off around 10 or 11 in the n/w burbs, it would have been a better setup. those two hours would have helped instability wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 doesn't look good for severe storms or many t-storms. Never a good sign as long as i have lived here when storms from the west move east and weaken is never good. Unless later on we tape better dynamics just dont see much of anything noteworthy. The cape and LI are increasing but just seems like their is no ignitor to get the storms going I think the best chance will be with the cluster NW of state college. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 I think the best chance will be with the cluster NW of state college. yea the ruc and nam are still holding on with the storm idea later on. Though once past 7 we lose the sun, so its gotta be solely driven by the impulse. Some of the short range models like the hrrr do increase the coverage of shear a little as the night goes so we shall see if that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted May 4, 2012 Share Posted May 4, 2012 those storms should hold their intensity if not get a little stronger through 8pm. After that it will be interesting to see how things pan out with the loss of the heating, but we will have the trigger to continue to keep storms going with some instability left over Bulk shear has increased over the region 25-30, LI in the -5 to -7 range and cape is 1500-2500 range. I think its going to be mainly a heavy rain threat with some thunder and lightning with maybe a cell or two warned. Hail parameters are bleak, freeze level is pretty high up and lapse rates are really that great either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Some really crazy lightning with the storm in Berks County right now. It's missing me to the west but the lightning strikes are so vivid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Getting light rain with frequent lightning (cloud to cloud) and thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted May 5, 2012 Author Share Posted May 5, 2012 A solid thunderstorm...nothing special but it has some nice lightning with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 A solid thunderstorm...nothing special but it has some nice lightning with it. Yeah, just posted that in the banter thread Guess it should be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 0.35" and counting. Still frequent thunder/lightning (no close cloud to ground strikes though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Radar showing a heavy thunderstorm near Exton. It will move for West Chester and possibly SW Delco if it holds together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Storm over here, still getting light rain. total rain: 0.44" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Incoming! Looking like a good spot here in northern NCC DE. Line seems to be consolidating and strengthening slightly. Can hear thunder already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Interesting look to the storm as it approaches the PA/DE border between Concordville and Kennett Square. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Looked like they were going to hit me but split at the last second. Still a good light show though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Thunder and lightning in the distance here in Woodbury, NW Gloucester county NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted May 5, 2012 Share Posted May 5, 2012 Had a nice downpour with some thunder and lightning here. Still some lightning embedded in the area of moderate rain behind the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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