dendrite Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Where are these 40's and 50's you speak of? Maine? Not in SNE Well obviously not the last few days, but I was referring to last week. Tomorrow will be raw though...especially for CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 O look, another 3 day stretch off and on showers and rain.......can we go back to mid March please? Boy those words felt funny lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Where are these 40's and 50's you speak of? Maine? Not in SNE My high temps May 1-4: 41 46 51 48 Then two lovely 61s, and similar for today before tomorrow drops back to perhpas a max of 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 We'll see what the GFS and euro do, but this whole rain event may not be a big deal at all for most outside of the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 We'll see what the GFS and euro do, but this whole rain event may not be a big deal at all for most outside of the Cape. And NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 maybe some hailers around fri and/or sat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 maybe some hailers around fri and/or sat? Yeah Friday looks like worst day of the week on the GFS..lol. Still not sure about Saturday...I'm glad models have it crappy now, because this may end up a bit more progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 If that trough sharpens up a bit more, it's a hell of a soaking for se mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 The models are even starting to back off on the rain tomorrow. Let's hope it trends dry! Today is a nice day so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Afraid of being too far east tuesday and too far west wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Maybe some convection with the front next Monday depending on timing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Looks like there could be good shear with the front...just need slower timing and instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 What's with the 12z gfs for Thursday's event? First it slides by to the east, giving some RA to eastern NE, and by Friday 06z it's just west of Moncton, NB. So far, seems logical. Over the next 24 hr, it backs SW all the way to Cape Cod, bringing another inch+ to central/eastern Maine. Then it stalls and fills, slowly enough to ruin Saturday up here. I hope the other models are more sensible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Nice weekend fail on the gfs now. That ULL rots over SNE Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 while not the 2-4" totals we were seeing guidance pump out over the weekend - hopefully still some welcomed/needed rain this week. 12z euro is about 1/2 to 3/4" for CT, >3/4" for just about all of MA with higher totals SE...and up to 1.5" or better out my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Interesting model shift over the last 24 hours...some people will be pissed this weekend if it devolves like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 still a near normal temp pattern overall. some slightly above days, some below. nothing extreme by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 while not the 2-4" totals we were seeing guidance pump out over the weekend - hopefully still some welcomed/needed rain this week. 12z euro is about 1/2 to 3/4" for CT, >3/4" for just about all of MA with higher totals SE...and up to 1.5" or better out my way. When does that fall?Also how does Saturday look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 When does that fall? Also how does Saturday look? for your area...mainly later tomorrow night/wed morning then some again wed night. saturday the euro still has the cold pool over the area but in terms of POPs the euro doesn't offer much...just some really light QPF in a small area of C MA / CT sat midday/afternoon. think there could be a few isolated / scattered showers over the area but both the euro and ggem now have the ULL basically to our east by 12z SAT so it'll be tougher to generate anything in that set-up. the GFS parks it more overhead so it's easier to pop some showers - which it does. given how the trend has been to be a bit more progressive with everything with time, i'd think right now that saturday is an OK day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 LOL at the euro retro storm. I still think the models are sort of "wet" looking or at the very least..offer precip chances over the next two weeks. Maybe another rain maker next week too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 LOL at the euro retro storm. I still think the models are sort of "wet" looking or at the very least..offer precip chances over the next two weeks. Maybe another rain maker next week too. yeah that system at the end of the euro run would just be a nice widespread soaker. no stupid frontal zone stalling out there...just a good expansive rain shield on that kind of storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 for your area...mainly later tomorrow night/wed morning then some again wed night. saturday the euro still has the cold pool over the area but in terms of POPs the euro doesn't offer much...just some really light QPF in a small area of C MA / CT sat midday/afternoon. think there could be a few isolated / scattered showers over the area but both the euro and ggem now have the ULL basically to our east by 12z SAT so it'll be tougher to generate anything in that set-up. the GFS parks it more overhead so it's easier to pop some showers - which it does. given how the trend has been to be a bit more progressive with everything with time, i'd think right now that saturday is an OK day. This is kind of what i was afraid of..I know the last system gave us all good rain, but I had a feeling this might happen. it seems like in drier patterns modelled qpf always peters out as we get closer. i mean 1/2 an inch of rain this time of year really doesn't do much except green grass up..I thought this might happen last week and it didn't..but i just hope this isn't a precursor for the summer..though I'm afraid it might be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 This is kind of what i was afraid of..I know the last system gave us all good rain, but I had a feeling this might happen. it seems like in drier patterns modelled qpf always peters out as we get closer. i mean 1/2 an inch of rain this time of year really doesn't do much except green grass up..I thought this might happen last week and it didn't..but i just hope this isn't a precursor for the summer..though I'm afraid it might be QPF didn't dry up, heaviest is over the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 QPF didn't dry up, heaviest is over the Cape. Well it had all of us with inches of rain..now it;'s 1/2 inch or less..so it did shift and dry up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 Well it had all of us with inches of rain..now it;'s 1/2 inch or less..so it did shift and dry up No dry, shift like your hand on ChrisM's lap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 No dry, shift like your hand on ChrisM's lap. What in ****s sake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 No dry, shift like your hand on ChrisM's lap. What would Danielle Niles think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2012 Share Posted May 7, 2012 What would Danielle Niles think? She would laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 8, 2012 Share Posted May 8, 2012 I think heaviest rain is probably offshore unless the trough sharpens up a bit, but a decent drink for most. Looks like BOS-ORH-BDL doesn't get that much at all now. All mostly offshore. However, another low looks a little more ominous next week, as we discussed earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 8, 2012 Share Posted May 8, 2012 Also, while the pattern may warm up more towards the end of the month, I see no big heat in site at all right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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